Odds overview
Celta de Vigo are favourites at around 2.12 to win, compared with 3.30 for a draw and 3.70 for a Deportivo Alavés win. In the total goals market, Under 2.5 at 1.65 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.25. Celta de Vigo Draw No Bet (handicap 0) is 1.52, while Deportivo Alavés Draw No Bet (handicap 0) is 2.55.
Why Celta de Vigo are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Celta de Vigo are 2.12 to win, implying a fair probability of around 45.1%. A draw is offered at 3.30 (29.0%), while an away win for Deportivo Alavés is 3.70 (25.9%).
- Celta de Vigo have had the most organised defence in the opening stages of the league season: across eight matches, they have conceded just 0.75 goals per game on average, the best record in La Liga.
- Deportivo Alavés have yet to win away this season — they have drawn twice and lost once.
- Celta de Vigo have lost only once in six home meetings with Deportivo Alavés.
Form and Line-up Celta de Vigo
The Galicians drew 0:0 with Elche in the last league round, taking seven shots at their opponents' goal. Before that, Celta recorded three draws and a 5:0 win over Racing Santander. They also faced Juventus in the UEFA Europa League (1:2), taking the lead through Hernández before conceding goals to Woltemade and Kolo Muani.
- There have been fewer than 3.5 goals in 9 of Celta de Vigo's last 10 La Liga matches.
- Celta de Vigo have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in each of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Celta de Vigo have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Ionuț Radu, Álvaro Núñez, Yoel Lago, Marcos Alonso, Javier Rueda, Ilaix Moriba, Aleix Febas, Javi Galan, Ferran Jutglà, Iago Aspas, Hugo Álvarez.
Absentees: Borja Iglesias, Pablo Durán, Younes El Abdellaoui, Miguel Román and Carl Starfelt (all injured).
Form and Line-up Deportivo Alavés
Before Matchday 9, the Basque side were seventh in the table with 11 points and a 12:8 goal difference. In their previous La Liga match, Deportivo Alavés lost 1:2 at home to Atlético Madrid. It was their fourth consecutive match without a win — three defeats and one draw in the last four rounds.
- There have been fewer than 3.5 goals in 9 of Deportivo Alavés's last 10 La Liga matches.
- There have been more than 25.5 fouls in each of Deportivo Alavés's last 10 away matches in La Liga.
- Deportivo Alavés have taken fewer corners than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable line-up (5-3-2): Antonio Sivera, Ville Koski, Nahuel Tenaglia, Nicolás Valentini, Jonny Otto, Abde Rebbach, Pablo Ibáñez, Antonio Blanco, Denis Suárez, Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.
Absentees: Mikel Rodriguez and Facundo Garcés (both injured), Ángel Pérez (suspended).
The teams' chances
Celta de Vigo to win: 2.12, fair odds of 2.22 and a 45.1% probability. Draw: 3.30, fair odds of 3.45 and a 29.0% probability. Deportivo Alavés to win: 3.70, fair odds of 3.87 and a 25.9% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo to win | 2.12 | 2.22 | 45.1% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.45 | 29.0% |
| Deportivo Alavés to win | 3.70 | 3.87 | 25.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is favoured at 1.65 over Over at 2.25. At 2 goals, Under at 2.12 has longer odds than Over at 1.68, while at 3.5 goals, Under at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Over at 4.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
| 2 | 2.12 | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 1.20 | 4.10 |
Handicap prediction
Celta de Vigo (-1.5) are 4.20, while Deportivo Alavés (-1.5) are 7.80. At the +1.5 line, Celta de Vigo (+1.5) have shorter odds of 1.05 than Deportivo Alavés (+1.5) at 1.20. Celta de Vigo (-1) are 3.20 and Deportivo Alavés (-1) are 6.70; Celta de Vigo (+1) are 1.06 and Deportivo Alavés (+1) are 1.30. At handicap 0, Celta de Vigo Draw No Bet at 1.52 is considerably shorter than Deportivo Alavés Draw No Bet at 2.55.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | -1.5 | 7.80 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.20 | -1 | 6.70 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.52 | 0 | 2.55 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No has shorter odds of 1.80 than Yes at 1.95, so the market slightly favours at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/10
|
3/10
|
67/100
|
| 888sport |
29/100
|
3/10
|
3/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Celta de Vigo — 1 goal; Deportivo Alavés — 1 goal.
Celta de Vigo team goals
Celta de Vigo team goals: Under 0.5 — 3.55, Over 0.5 — 1.25; Under 1 — 2.30, Over 1 — 1.58; Under 1.5 — 1.55, Over 1.5 — 2.35. The market strongly favours at least one goal, but leans towards Under at the 1.5-goal line.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Deportivo Alavés team goals
Deportivo Alavés team goals: Under 0.5 — 2.40, Over 0.5 — 1.53; Under 1 — 1.60, Over 1 — 2.25; Under 1.5 — 1.25, Over 1.5 — 3.50. The visitors are more likely to score than not, although Under has shorter odds at the 1 and 1.5-goal lines.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.60 | 1 | 2.25 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.50 |
