Odds overview
Celta are slight favourites: a home win is available at 2.40, while the draw and an Athletic Club win are quoted at 3.25 and 3.05. Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 looks more likely than over 2.5 goals at 2.07 in the main total market. Celta Draw No Bet at 1.70 is preferred to Athletic Club Draw No Bet at 2.15.
Why Celta are favourites
Celta to win is quoted at 2.40, the draw at 3.25 and an Athletic Club win at 3.05. The arguments in favour of the Galicians are:
- The visitors have made a poor start to the season: Athletic Club have lost both opening rounds, are conceding an average of three goals per game and sit 19th in the table.
- Defensive absences for the Basque side: key centre-back Dani Vivian will miss the match through injury, further weakening the visitors' already vulnerable defence.
- The hosts' attacking potential at home: Celta have scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
Form and Line-up Celta
At the start of the season, Celta are playing their second home match in three days after facing Osasuna (1:2), when they led until Marcos Alonso was sent off in the 51st minute and conceded the decisive goal from a penalty. The Galicians have already picked up one league point, drawing 0:0 with Valencia in their first match.
Key numbers:
- Celta have scored first in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- There have been fewer than 10 corners in 9 consecutive matches.
- Fewer than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of the last 10 matches.
Probable Celta line-up (3-4-3): Andrei Radu — Javi Rodriguez, Yoel Lago, Carl Starfelt — Sergio Carreira, Aleix Febas, Miguel Roman, Javi Galan — Jones El-Abdellaoui, Ferran Jutgla, Hugo Gonzalez.
Absentees: Marcos Alonso (suspended), Borja Iglesias (injured).
Form and Line-up Athletic Club
Athletic Bilbao have lost their first two rounds: first at home to Sevilla (1:3), where the pattern of the game was complicated by Yuri Berchiche's early dismissal, then away to Barcelona (0:2). The Basque side have been dreadful away from home in the league — six defeats in their last seven away matches.
Key numbers:
- Athletic Club have lost 4 consecutive matches.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of the previous 7 matches.
- The Basque side have conceded first in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Probable Athletic Club line-up (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon — Hugo Rincon, Yeray Alvarez, Aymeric Laporte, Johaneko Louis-Jean — Mikel Jauregizar, Peio Canales — Inaki Williams, Oihan Sancet, Nico Williams — Gorka Guruzeta.
Absentees: Andoni Gorosabel (doubtful), Dani Vivian, Benat Prados (both injured).
Team chances
Celta to win is available at 2.40; the fair odds are 2.53, with a 39.6% probability. The draw is quoted at 3.25, with fair odds of 3.42 and a 29.2% probability; an Athletic Club win is 3.05, 3.21 and 31.2% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta win | 2.40 | 2.53 | 39.6% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.42 | 29.2% |
| Athletic Bilbao win | 3.05 | 3.21 | 31.2% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, under at 1.75 is quoted shorter than over at 2.07. On 3.5, the advantage is even more pronounced for under — 1.28 against 3.30 for over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.07 |
| 3.5 | 1.28 | 3.30 |
Handicap prediction
For Celta (-1.5), the odds of 4.50 are shorter than 5.80 for Athletic Club (-1.5). On the 1.5 handicap, Celta are available at 1.09 and Athletic Club at 1.15; on the 1 line, it is 1.12 against 1.23. With a zero handicap, Celta at 1.70 are quoted shorter than Athletic Club at 2.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | -1.5 | 5.80 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.75 | -1 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is quoted at 1.80, while Both teams to score - No, meaning at least one team will not score, is at 1.95. The Yes option has a slight edge in the odds.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance prediction
In the double chance market, 12 is quoted shortest at 1.35, followed by 1X at 1.38; X2 is available at 1.57.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
19/50
|
7/20
|
57/100
|
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Celta — 1.5 goals, Athletic Bilbao — 1 goal.
Celta team total
Celta team total: over 0.5 at 1.25 is notably shorter than under 0.5 at 3.45. On the 1 line, over is available at 1.55 against 2.40 for under, while on 1.5, under is 1.57 against 2.35 for over. For the 2 line, under is quoted at 1.18 and over at 4.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.57 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
| 1.18 | 2 | 4.10 |
Athletic Bilbao team total
Athletic Bilbao team total: over 0.5 at 1.37 is quoted shorter than under 0.5 at 2.85. On the 1 line, the odds are close: over at 1.77 against 1.97 for under. On 1.5, under has the edge in the odds — 1.40 against 2.70 for over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 0.5 | 1.37 |
| 1.97 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
