Odds overview
Celta de Vigo to win at 1.82 looks more appealing than the draw at 3.95 and Racing Santander to win at 4.10. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.68, notably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. Celta de Vigo Draw No Bet is offered at 1.37 versus 2.85 for Racing Santander Draw No Bet, which also indicates the hosts' advantage.
Why Celta de Vigo are favourites
The bookmakers make the hosts favourites: a Celta de Vigo win is quoted at 1.82, the draw is at 3.95, and a Racing Santander victory is available at 4.10.
- Expectations of the hosts contribute to their status as home favourites, although Racing are above Celta de Vigo in the La Liga table ahead of Matchday 7 and the Galicians have yet to win in the league.
- At the same time, the visitors have serious problems at the back: Racing rank first in the league for expected goals conceded, at an average of 2.33 per match.
Form and Line-up Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo lost their European match against Omonia after conceding the decisive goal in the closing minutes. The trip to Cyprus complicated their preparations for the La Liga round, reducing the team's recovery time before returning to Balaidos.
Celta de Vigo drew their most recent home league match against Malaga. Goals remain a rare occurrence in Celta de Vigo matches: their games average 1.5 goals, the lowest figure among all 20 La Liga clubs.
- Celta de Vigo have scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches
- A maximum of 10 corners were taken in 9 of Celta de Vigo's last 10 home La Liga matches
- Celta de Vigo have received no more than two yellow cards in their last 10 home La Liga matches
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Andrei Radu, Javi Rodriguez, Carl Starfelt, Marcos Alonso, Alvaro Nunez, Miguel Roman, Hugo Burcio, Sergio Carreira, Pablo Duran, Kuhayb Driouech, Ferran Jutgla
Form and Line-up Racing Santander
Racing lost to Barcelona in the previous round but showed their attacking ability even in defeat, scoring two goals. The extensive rotation, with eight changes from the match against Alaves, was intended to manage the players' workload.
The visitors' staff had already factored the upcoming trip to Vigo into their midweek team selection, so Racing approach the Matchday 7 game with a clear squad strategy.
- At least 8 corners were taken in 8 of Racing's last 10 away matches in all competitions
- Racing have received at least two yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
- Racing have been caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Julen Agirrezabala, Manu Hernando, Pedro Felipe, Facundo Gonzalez, Aaron Martin, Matteo Prati, Sergio Canales, Inigo de Vicente, Maguette Gueye, Juan Arana, Asier Villalibre
Team chances
A home win is quoted at 1.82; the fair odds are 1.90 and the probability is 52.5%. The figures for the draw are 3.95, 4.13 and 24.2%, while those for an away win are 4.10, 4.29 and 23.3%: the draw and an away victory are close in probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo win | 1.82 | 1.90 | 52.5% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.13 | 24.2% |
| Racing Santander win | 4.10 | 4.29 | 23.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.68 is more appealing than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals is at 1.47 versus 2.60 for Over 3.5 goals, so expectations are limited to three goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 1.47 | 2.60 |
Handicap prediction
Celta de Vigo (-1.5) are available at 2.90 versus 7.00 for Racing Santander (-1.5). At the 1.5 line, Celta de Vigo (+1.5) are shorter at 1.05 versus 1.35 for Racing Santander (+1.5). Celta de Vigo (-1) are quoted at 2.40 and Racing Santander (-1) at 6.10; at the 1 line, the respective odds are 1.08 and 1.58. In the Draw No Bet market, Celta de Vigo at 1.37 are notably shorter than Racing Santander at 2.85.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | -1.5 | 7.00 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.40 | -1 | 6.10 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 1.37 | 0 | 2.85 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.63 is more appealing than Both teams to score - No at 2.20: the market is more likely to expect goals from both teams than a scenario in which at least one fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.63 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/50
|
1/4
|
19/20
|
| 888sport |
11/50
|
1/4
|
19/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Celta de Vigo — 1.5 goals; Racing Santander — 1 goal.
Celta de Vigo team total
Celta de Vigo team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.11 is substantially more appealing than Under 0.5 goals at 5.20, while Over 1 goal at 1.25 is more appealing than Under 1 goal at 3.65. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Over 1.5 goals is at 1.77 and Under 1.5 goals at 1.97. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.52 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.65 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.52 | 2 | 2.45 |
Racing Santander team total
Racing team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is more appealing than Under 0.5 goals at 2.75. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal and Over 1 goal are quoted equally at 1.88. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.35 is notably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.88 | 1 | 1.88 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
