Odds overview
Celta de Vigo to win at 1.82 looks more favourable than the draw at 3.95 and Racing Santander to win at 4.10. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 is available at 1.68, considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.20. Celta de Vigo Draw No Bet is offered at 1.37, compared with 2.85 for Racing Santander Draw No Bet, also indicating the hosts have the edge.
Why Celta de Vigo are favourites
The bookmakers make the hosts favourites: Celta de Vigo to win is available at 1.82, the draw is at 3.95, and Racing Santander to win is offered at 4.10.
- Expectations of the hosts contribute to their status as home favourites, although Racing are ahead of Celta de Vigo in the La Liga table before Matchday 7, while the Galicians have yet to win in the league.
- At the same time, the visitors have serious defensive problems: Racing rank first in the league for expected goals conceded, at an average of 2.33 per match.
Form and Line-up Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo lost to Omonia Nicosia in European competition, conceding the decisive goal in the closing minutes. The trip to Cyprus complicated their preparations for the La Liga matchday, reducing the team's recovery time before returning to Balaídos.
Celta de Vigo drew their most recent home league match against Málaga. Goals remain rare in Celta de Vigo matches: their games average 1.5 goals, the lowest figure among all 20 La Liga clubs.
- Celta de Vigo have scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches
- A maximum of 10 corners have been taken in 9 of Celta de Vigo's last 10 home La Liga matches
- Celta de Vigo have received no more than two yellow cards in their last 10 home La Liga matches
Probable Celta de Vigo line-up (3-4-3): Andrei Radu, Javi Rodríguez, Carl Starfelt, Marcos Alonso, Álvaro Núñez, Miguel Román, Hugo Burcio, Sergio Carreira, Pablo Durán, Couhaib Driouech, Ferran Jutglà
Form and Line-up Racing Santander
Racing lost to Barcelona in the previous matchday but still showed attacking intent in defeat, scoring two goals. The extensive rotation, with eight changes from the match against Alavés, was motivated by a desire to manage the players' workload.
The upcoming trip to Vigo was already factored into the visitors' selection for the midweek match, so Racing approach the Matchday 7 fixture with a clear squad strategy.
- At least 8 corners have been taken in 8 of Racing's last 10 away matches in all competitions
- Racing have received at least two yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
- Racing have been caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
Probable Racing Santander line-up (4-4-2): Julen Agirrezabala, Manu Hernando, Pedro Felipe, Facundo González, Aaron Martín, Matteo Prati, Sergio Canales, Íñigo de Vicente, Maguette Gueye, Juan Arana, Asier Villalibre
Team chances
Celta de Vigo to win is offered at 1.82; the fair odds are 1.90 and the probability is 52.5%. For the draw, the figures are 3.95, 4.13 and 24.2%; for Racing Santander to win, they are 4.10, 4.29 and 23.3%: the draw and an away win are close in probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo win | 1.82 | 1.90 | 52.5% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.13 | 24.2% |
| Racing Santander win | 4.10 | 4.29 | 23.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.68 is more favourable than Under 2.5 at 2.20. At the 3.5 line, by contrast, Under 3.5 is at 1.47 versus 2.60 for Over 3.5, so the expectation is limited to three goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 1.47 | 2.60 |
Handicap prediction
Celta de Vigo (-1.5) is available at 2.90, compared with 7.00 for Racing Santander (-1.5). At the 1.5 line, Celta de Vigo (+1.5) is shorter at 1.05 versus 1.35 for Racing Santander (+1.5). Celta de Vigo (-1) is at 2.40 and Racing Santander (-1) at 6.10; at the 1 line, the respective odds are 1.08 and 1.58. In the Draw No Bet market, Celta de Vigo at 1.37 is considerably shorter than Racing Santander at 2.85.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | -1.5 | 7.00 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.40 | -1 | 6.10 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 1.37 | 0 | 2.85 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.63 is more favourable than Both teams to score - No at 2.20: the market more often expects goals from both teams than a scenario in which at least one does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.63 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Celta de Vigo — 1.5 goals, Racing Santander — 1 goal.
Celta de Vigo team total
Celta de Vigo team total: Over 0.5 at 1.11 is considerably more favourable than Under 0.5 at 5.20, while Over 1 at 1.25 is more favourable than Under 1 at 3.65. At the 1.5 line, the odds are close: Over 1.5 is 1.77 and Under 1.5 is 1.97. At the 2 line, Under 2 at 1.52 is shorter than Over 2 at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.65 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.52 | 2 | 2.45 |
Racing Santander team total
Racing team total: Over 0.5 at 1.40 is more favourable than Under 0.5 at 2.75. At the 1 line, Under 1 and Over 1 are quoted at the same odds of 1.88. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.88 | 1 | 1.88 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ricardo de Burgos (Spain)
Matches — 22 (La Liga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellow cards — 3.9;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 22;
Matches with penalties — 9 of 22.
