Odds overview
Celta de Vigo have a slight edge in the 1X2 market: Celta to win is offered at 2.55, compared with 2.70 for Celtic, while the draw is 3.50. At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is considered more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.00. For handicap (0), Celta at 1.85 have shorter odds than Celtic at 1.95.
Why Celta de Vigo are favourites
Bookmakers offer close odds on the match result: Celta de Vigo to win is 2.55, Celtic to win is 2.70, and the draw is 3.50.
- Both teams lost their opening European matches. Celta de Vigo conceded late in both defeats, while Celtic were well beaten, conceding seven goals across two matches.
- Celta de Vigo play in Spain's La Liga, a higher-level competition than the Scottish league.
- Celtic have won only twice in their last six matches in all competitions; Celta de Vigo's two UEFA Europa League defeats are their only losses in their last eight matches.
Form and Line-up Celtic
In the Scottish Premiership, Celtic have looked strong in attack, beating Motherwell (2:0) and thrashing Hearts 7:1. Their European trip to Benfica, however, ended in a heavy 1:4 defeat, with the Lisbon side scoring three goals in the first half. Before that, Celtic lost at home to Ferencváros (1:3) in the UEFA Europa League despite dominating possession (63%) and xG (1.30).
- More than 8.5 corners were taken in 8 of Celtic's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Celtic's opponents took more than 11.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Fewer than 4.5 cards were shown in 9 of Celtic's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable Celtic line-up (4-2-3-1): Viljami Sinisalo, Colby Donovan, Dane Murray, Liam Scales, Kieran Tierney, Callum McGregor, Mika Baur, Benjamin Nygren, Haissem Hassan, Sebastian Tounekti, Camilo Durán.
Absentees: Alistair Johnston (injured), Cameron Carter-Vickers and Yang Hyun-jun (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up Celta de Vigo
In La Liga, Celta de Vigo have played pragmatically, drawing with Elche (0:0) and beating Deportivo Alavés (2:1). In Matchday 2 of the UEFA Europa League, they lost 1:2 at home to Juventus, conceding the decisive goal in the 90+2 minute. Before that, Celta lost to Cyprus's Omonia (0:1), who generated just 0.30 xG across the match.
- Celta de Vigo committed more than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in 9 of Celta de Vigo's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- More than 2.5 offsides were recorded in 8 of Celta de Vigo's last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
Probable Celta de Vigo line-up (3-4-3): Ionuț Radu, Javi Rodríguez, Yoel Lago, Marcos Alonso, Javi Rueda, Ilaix Moriba, Aleix Febas, Sergio Carreira, Hugo Álvarez, Ferran Jutglà, Williot Swedberg.
Absentees: Pablo Durán, Borja Iglesias, Jones El-Abdellaoui, Miguel Román and Carl Starfelt (all injured).
The teams' chances
Celtic to win is offered at 2.70, with fair odds of 2.83 and a 35.3% probability. The draw is 3.50, with fair odds of 3.67 and a 27.3% probability. Celta de Vigo to win is quoted at 2.55, with fair odds of 2.67 and a 37.4% probability: Celta are only slightly ahead.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to win | 2.70 | 2.83 | 35.3% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.3% |
| Celta de Vigo to win | 2.55 | 2.67 | 37.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is 2.00 and Over 2.5 is 1.80, giving the over a slight edge in the market. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.40 is favoured much more strongly than Over 3.5 at 2.75.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap prediction
Celtic (-1.5) at 4.80 and Celta de Vigo (-1.5) at 4.50 are considered unlikely. At the +1.5 line, Celtic (+1.5) have short odds of 1.15 and Celta (+1.5) are 1.13. For a -1 handicap, Celta (-1) at 3.90 have slightly shorter odds than Celtic (-1) at 4.20, while the sides are level at +1: Celtic (+1) and Celta (+1) are both 1.20. For handicap (0), Celta at 1.85 are favoured over Celtic at 1.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | -1.5 | 4.50 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.20 | -1 | 3.90 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 1.95 | 0 | 1.85 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.65, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one side will fail to score, is 2.20. The market leans towards goals from both teams.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
29/100
|
11/25
|
| William Hill |
53/100
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Celtic — 1.5 goals; Celta de Vigo — 1.5 goals.
Celtic team total goals
Celtic team total: Under 0.5 — 3.45, Over 0.5 — 1.25; Under 1 — 2.35, Over 1 — 1.55. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.57 and Over 1.5 is 2.30; at 2 goals, Under 2 is offered at 1.22, compared with 3.90 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.35 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.57 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.22 | 2 | 3.90 |
Celta de Vigo team total goals
Celta de Vigo team total: Under 0.5 — 3.65, Over 0.5 — 1.25; Under 1 — 2.60, Over 1 — 1.47. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.65 and Over 1.5 is 2.20; at 2 goals, Under 2 is 1.25, compared with 3.70 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.60 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Georgi Kabakov (Bulgaria)
Matches — 12 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.5;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 12;
Matches with penalties — 7 of 12.
