Odds overview
Chelsea are clear favourites at 1.68 to win, while the draw and a Tottenham Hotspur win are offered at 4.30 and 4.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.50. Chelsea (-1.5) are available at 2.65, while Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5) are offered at 7.30.
Why Chelsea are favourites
Bookmakers offer 1.68 on a Chelsea win, compared with 4.60 on Tottenham Hotspur and 4.30 on the draw.
• Chelsea average 2.43 goals per match in the current Premier League season, ranking third in the league on that measure.
• There is a considerable gap in the standings: Chelsea are fourth, while Tottenham Hotspur are 16th.
• Tottenham Hotspur have another injury crisis: six players are injured and a further five are doubtful.
Form and Line-up Chelsea
In the previous round, Chelsea played their first low-scoring match of the league season, but it was no goalless draw — they beat Everton 2:0 in Liverpool. The London club's victory was marred by a serious injury to goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez, who was taken straight to hospital. Chelsea's last line of defence will now be less secure. With Xabi Alonso's side already conceding an average of 1.86 goals per game, Tottenham Hotspur will have an even better chance of scoring.
- The total number of yellow cards exceeded 3.5 in each of Chelsea's last 10 Premier League home matches.
- In 8 of Chelsea's last 10 Premier League home matches, their opponents had fewer than 5.5 shots on target.
- In 8 of Chelsea's last 10 Premier League home matches, their opponents committed more than 10.5 fouls.
Probable Chelsea line-up (3-4-2-1): Mike Penders, Josh Acheampong, Maxence Lacroix, Levi Colwill, Jorrel Hato, Moisés Caicedo, Jordan Henderson, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers, João Pedro
Absentees: Emiliano Martínez, Emmanuel Emegha, Reece James, Jamie Gittens (injured); Malo Gusto, Pep Chavarría (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur beat Coventry City 3:1 this Monday. It was the team's first win of the season, while James Maddison's goal was his first since May 2025. The Londoners moved out of the relegation zone, but they remain just one point above it. Roberto De Zerbi's side are still winless away from home — with only two draws and one defeat.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in all of Tottenham Hotspur's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur committed more than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in 8 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable Tottenham Hotspur line-up (3-4-2-1): Antonín Kinský, Andrew Robertson, Tosin Adarabioyo, Jan Paul van Hecke, James Maddison, Archie Gray, Sandro Tonali, Dominic Solanke, Mohammed Kudus, Omar Marmoush, Micky van de Ven
Absentees: Lucas Bergvall, Mykhailo Mudryk, Pedro Porro, Sávio, Wilson Odobert, Xavi Simons (injured); Rodrigo Bentancur (suspended)
The teams' chances
A Chelsea win has average odds of 1.68, fair odds of 1.76 and a probability of 57.0%. The draw is offered at 4.30, with fair odds of 4.49 and a probability of 22.3%; the corresponding figures for a Tottenham Hotspur win are 4.60, 4.81 and 20.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea win | 1.68 | 1.76 | 57.0% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.49 | 22.3% |
| Tottenham Hotspur win | 4.60 | 4.81 | 20.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.50 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.50, suggesting that a high-scoring match is expected. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.65 is favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 2.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Chelsea (-1.5) are offered at 2.65 and Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5) at 7.30. At the 1.5 handicap line, the odds are 1.05 for Chelsea (+1.5) and 1.45 for Tottenham Hotspur (+1.5); at the -1 line, they are 2.10 for Chelsea (-1) and 6.40 for Tottenham Hotspur (-1). Chelsea (+1) are offered at 1.07 against 1.75 for Tottenham Hotspur (+1), while the zero handicap is available at 1.30 for Chelsea (0) and 3.30 for Tottenham Hotspur (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | -1.5 | 7.30 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 2.10 | -1 | 6.40 |
| 1.07 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.30 | 0 | 3.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.55 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.35, the latter meaning that at least one team fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Chelsea — 2 goals; Tottenham Hotspur — 1 goal.
Chelsea team total goals
For Chelsea's team goal total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 6.50 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.07. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 2.35 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.57; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.75 and Over 2 goals is 2.00. At the 2.5-goal line, the odds are 1.45 for Under 2.5 goals and 2.60 for Over 2.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.50 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.35 | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.75 | 2 | 2.00 |
| 1.45 | 2.5 | 2.60 |
Tottenham Hotspur team total goals
For Tottenham Hotspur's team goal total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.75 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.91 and Over 1 goal at 1.83; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.42 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.91 | 1 | 1.83 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches – 35 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) – 4.2;
Matches with a red card – 7 of 35;
Matches with a penalty – 5 of 35.
