Odds overview
Chelsea are clear favourites: a Chelsea win is available at 1.68, while the draw and a Tottenham Hotspur win are quoted at 4.30 and 4.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.50. Chelsea (-1.5) is available at 2.65, while Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5) is offered at 7.30.
Why Chelsea are favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 1.68 for a Chelsea win, compared with 4.60 for Tottenham Hotspur and 4.30 for the draw.
• Chelsea average 2.43 goals per match in the current Premier League season, ranking third in the league on that measure.
• There is a considerable gap in the standings: Chelsea are fourth, while Tottenham Hotspur are 16th.
• Tottenham Hotspur have another injury crisis: six players are injured, while a further five are doubtful.
Form and Line-up Chelsea
Chelsea played their first low-scoring match of this league campaign in the previous round, though it was no goalless draw — they beat Everton 2:0 in Liverpool. The victory was marred by a serious injury to goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez, who was taken straight to hospital. Chelsea's defence will now be less secure at the back. Given that Xabi Alonso's side already concede an average of 1.86 goals per game, Tottenham Hotspur will have an even better chance of scoring.
- Each of Chelsea's last 10 Premier League home matches had more than 3.5 yellow cards.
- In 8 of Chelsea's last 10 Premier League home matches, their opponents had fewer than 5.5 shots on target.
- In 8 of Chelsea's last 10 Premier League home matches, their opponents committed more than 10.5 fouls.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Mike Penders, Josh Acheampong, Maxence Lacroix, Levi Colwill, Jorrel Hato, Moisés Caicedo, Jordan Henderson, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers, João Pedro
Unavailable: Emiliano Martínez, Emmanuel Emegha, Reece James, Jamie Gittens (injured); Malo Gusto, Pep Chavarría (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur beat Coventry City 3:1 this Monday. It was their first win of the season, while James Maddison's goal was his first since May 2025. The London club have moved out of the relegation zone, but remain just one point clear of it. Roberto De Zerbi's side are still winless away from home — with two draws and one defeat.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in each of Tottenham Hotspur's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur committed more than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in 8 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Antonín Kinský, Andrew Robertson, Tosin Adarabioyo, Jan Paul van Hecke, James Maddison, Archie Gray, Sandro Tonali, Dominic Solanke, Mohammed Kudus, Omar Marmoush, Micky van de Ven
Unavailable: Lucas Bergvall, Mykhailo Mudryk, Pedro Porro, Sávio, Wilson Odobert, Xavi Simons (injured); Rodrigo Bentancur (suspended)
The teams' chances
A Chelsea win has average odds of 1.68, fair odds of 1.76 and a 57.0% probability. The draw is available at 4.30, with fair odds of 4.49 and a 22.3% probability; the corresponding figures for a Tottenham Hotspur win are 4.60, 4.81 and 20.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea win | 1.68 | 1.76 | 57.0% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.49 | 22.3% |
| Tottenham Hotspur win | 4.60 | 4.81 | 20.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.50 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.50, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring match. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.65 is favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 2.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
On the -1.5 handicap line, Chelsea (-1.5) are available at 2.65 and Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5) at 7.30. For the +1.5 handicap, the odds are 1.05 on Chelsea (+1.5) and 1.45 on Tottenham Hotspur (+1.5); on the -1 line, they are 2.10 on Chelsea (-1) and 6.40 on Tottenham Hotspur (-1). Chelsea (+1) are quoted at 1.07, compared with 1.75 for Tottenham Hotspur (+1), while the zero-handicap options are Chelsea (0) at 1.30 and Tottenham Hotspur (0) at 3.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | -1.5 | 7.30 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 2.10 | -1 | 6.40 |
| 1.07 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.30 | 0 | 3.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.55 looks more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.35, the outcome in which at least one team fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
11/50
|
11/10
|
| 888sport |
1/5
|
11/50
|
23/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Chelsea — 2 goals; Tottenham Hotspur — 1 goal.
Chelsea team goals
For Chelsea's team goals, Under 0.5 is available at 6.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.07. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 2.35 and Over 1.5 at 1.57; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.75 and Over 2 is 2.00. For the 2.5-goal line, the odds are 1.45 for Under 2.5 and 2.60 for Over 2.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.50 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.35 | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.75 | 2 | 2.00 |
| 1.45 | 2.5 | 2.60 |
Tottenham Hotspur team goals
For Tottenham Hotspur's team goals, Under 0.5 is quoted at 2.75 and Over 0.5 at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.91 and Over 1 at 1.83; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.42 and Over 1.5 at 2.65.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.91 | 1 | 1.83 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
