Odds overview
The teams look evenly matched in the 1X2 market: Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest are both around 2.70 to win, while the draw is 3.30. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.85 and Over 2.5 at 1.95, giving a slight edge to a lower-scoring game. Crystal Palace (0) and Nottingham Forest (0) are both offered at 1.90, with neither side favoured.
Why there is no clear favourite
Bookmakers rate the teams equally: Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest are each 2.70 to win, while the draw is quoted at 3.30.
• Crystal Palace's matches have been high-scoring at the start of the season: their first five Premier League games have produced an average of 3.4 goals per match.
• Nottingham Forest have defended well this season, conceding an average of just 1.0 goal per match.
• Oliver Glasner is Nottingham Forest's new head coach, having previously worked at Crystal Palace, so he knows the players his new team will face.
Form and Line-up Crystal Palace
During the international break, Crystal Palace lost 0:2 to Bristol City in a friendly. Palace had the territorial advantage but failed to take their chances and conceded both goals from set pieces. Eleven players who had joined their national teams did not feature. Palace sit 15th in the Premier League, and their only win, against Fulham (3:2), came away from home.
- Fewer than 11.5 corners were taken in 9 of Crystal Palace's last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Crystal Palace's opponents committed at least 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Crystal Palace's opponents were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable Crystal Palace line-up (3-4-2-1): Walter Benítez, Jaydee Canvot, Chris Richards, Honest Ahanor, Tyrick Mitchell, Adam Wharton, Quinten Timber, Anan Khalaili, Daichi Kamada, Yeremy Pino, Jørgen Strand Larsen
Absentees: Chadi Riad (injured), Axel Disasi (suspended), Dean Henderson, Jean-Philippe Mateta (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Nottingham Forest
In the fifth round of the Premier League, Nottingham Forest suffered a surprise 0:1 defeat to Coventry, while a late goal by Igor Jesus was ruled out by the officials after a VAR intervention for an attacking foul. During the international break, the players who remained at the club continued training at the training ground. Oliver Glasner's squad are currently among the healthiest in the league: only Nicolò Savona is recovering slowly, while Nikola Milenković has returned to training on the pitch but remains doubtful for the match.
- The total number of fouls exceeded 20.5 in 8 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Fewer than 4.5 offsides were recorded in 9 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- More than 8.5 shots on target were recorded in 8 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable Nottingham Forest line-up (3-4-2-1): Matz Sels, Jair, Ousmane Diomande, Murillo, Daniel Muñoz, James McAtee, Xaver Schlager, Neco Williams, Morgan Gibbs-White, Dan Ndoye, Liam Delap
Absentees: Nicolò Savona (injured), Nikola Milenković (doubtful)
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest a 35.5% chance each: the average odds are 2.70 for either side, and the fair odds are 2.82. The draw is rated at 29.0%, with average odds of 3.30 and fair odds of 3.44.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace to win | 2.70 | 2.82 | 35.5% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.44 | 29.0% |
| Nottingham Forest to win | 2.70 | 2.82 | 35.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.85 and Over 2.5 at 1.95. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is considerably shorter at 1.32, compared with 3.10 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
Handicap prediction
Handicap odds are identical for the two teams: Crystal Palace (-1.5) and Nottingham Forest (-1.5) are both 4.80, while Crystal Palace (+1.5) and Nottingham Forest (+1.5) are both 1.13. Crystal Palace (-1) and Nottingham Forest (-1) are offered at 4.10, Crystal Palace (+1) and Nottingham Forest (+1) at 1.18, and Crystal Palace (0) and Nottingham Forest (0) at 1.90.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | -1.5 | 4.80 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.10 | -1 | 4.10 |
| 1.18 | 1 | 1.18 |
| 1.90 | 0 | 1.90 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.75 and is considered more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.00, the outcome in which at least one team fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
9/25
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
33/100
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Crystal Palace — 1 goal; Nottingham Forest — 1 goal.
Crystal Palace team total goals
Crystal Palace team total goals: Under 0.5 is available at 3.20 and Over 0.5 at 1.30; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 2.20 and Over 1 is 1.63. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.52, compared with 2.45 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 1.52 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Nottingham Forest team total goals
Nottingham Forest team total goals: Under 0.5 is available at 3.20 and Over 0.5 at 1.30; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 2.20 and Over 1 is 1.63. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.52, compared with 2.45 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 1.52 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
