Odds Overview
CSKA Sofia are clear favourites: CSKA Sofia to win is priced at 1.45, while the draw is rated at 4.40 and OFI Crete to win at 6.90. In the 2.5-goal total, Over is slightly favoured at 1.80 against 1.95 for Under. On the handicap line, CSKA Sofia (-1) at 1.70 is notably shorter than 2.07 for OFI Crete (+1).
Why CSKA Sofia Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: CSKA Sofia to win is priced at 1.45, while OFI Crete can be backed at 6.90.
The hosts have had a week to prepare, as their Bulgarian league match against Lokomotiv Sofia was postponed at their request.
The Sofia club have already shown strong scoring form at home, beating Botev Plovdiv 5:0 in the domestic league.
OFI Crete came into the game with a busier schedule: three days after the first meeting with CSKA Sofia, the Greek club played a league match against Volos NFC, putting extra strain on the squad.
Form and Line-up CSKA Sofia
In the first game, CSKA Sofia lost 0:3 away to OFI Crete, conceding one of the goals from the penalty spot and being reduced to 10 men after Mohamed Brahimi was sent off. Head coach Hristo Yanev explained the defeat by basic errors and a lack of maturity, but stressed his side's readiness to fight in the return leg.
Earlier in their European campaign, the Sofia club lost 1:3 at home to Maccabi Tel Aviv while defending a three-goal lead from the first game. In CSKA Sofia's home matches in the UEFA Europa League, the teams' overall activity around the opposition goal has remained restrained: in 8 of 10 games, the sides produced no more than 25 shots between them.
Key numbers:
In 9 of CSKA Sofia's 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League, their opponents had no more than 5 shots on target.
In 9 of CSKA Sofia's 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League, at least 23 fouls were committed.
In 8 of 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League, CSKA Sofia were caught offside no more than once.
Probable line-up (4-2-2-2): Fedor Lapoukhov — Pastor — Jean-Philippe Gbamin — Facundo Rodriguez — Teodor Ivanov — Andrey Yordanov — Maks Ebong — Bruno Jordao — James Eto'o — Ioannis Pittas — Leandro Godoy.
Mohamed Brahimi and Stefano Sensi will miss the match through suspension.
Form and Line-up OFI Crete
The Greek club built an advantage in the first game, scoring three goals against CSKA Sofia through a penalty, a set-piece strike and a successful attack with a numerical advantage. In all of the club's last 10 official matches across all competitions, at least two goals were scored.
Key numbers:
In their last 10 away matches in all competitions, OFI Crete were caught offside no more than 2 times.
In 9 of OFI Crete's last 10 away matches in all competitions, Over 3.5 yellow cards came in.
In 9 of OFI Crete's last 10 away matches in all competitions, their opponents had at least 4 shots on target.
Probable line-up (5-4-1): Nikolaos Christogeorgos — Konstantinos Kostoulas — Christos Shelis — Dimitris Nikolaou — Lorenzo Dickmann — Nikolaos Athanasiou — Georgios Kanellopoulos — Andreas Bouchalakis — Giannis Apostolakis — Thiago Nuss — Giannis Theodosoulakis
Nikos Marinakis will not play because of injury.
Teams' Chances
CSKA Sofia to win at 1.45 corresponds to 64.9%: the no-margin price is 1.54. The draw is offered at 4.40 with a 21.4% probability and a no-margin price of 4.67, while OFI Crete to win is 6.90 with 13.6% and 7.33 respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
CSKA Sofia to win | 1.45 | 1.54 | 64.9% |
Draw | 4.40 | 4.67 | 21.4% |
OFI Crete to win | 6.90 | 7.33 | 13.6% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, Over at 1.80 is preferable to Under at 1.95. At the 3.5 mark, the picture is reversed: Under is priced at 1.38, Over at 2.80.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap Prediction
CSKA Sofia (-1.5) is available at 2.20, while OFI Crete (+1.5) is 1.60. On the one-goal line, CSKA Sofia (-1) is priced at 1.70 against 2.07 for OFI Crete (+1); with a Draw No Bet handicap, CSKA Sofia (0) is rated at 1.13 and OFI Crete (0) at 4.70.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
2.20 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.60 |
1.70 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 2.07 |
1.13 | 0 | 4.70 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.77 is priced lower than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.97, meaning the option where at least one team does not score is slightly more likely.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.97 |
No | 1.77 |
Double Chance Prediction
The most likely double chance is 1X at 1.08, followed by 12 at 1.19. X2 at 2.65 looks considerably less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.08 | 1.19 | 2.65 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: CSKA Sofia — 2 goals, OFI Crete — 0.5 goals.
CSKA Sofia Team Total
CSKA Sofia: Under 0.5 is priced at 6.20 against 1.07 for Over 0.5; on the 1.5 line, the odds are 2.20 and 1.60 respectively. For a total of 2, the prices are 1.70 for Under and 2.02 for Over, while on the 2.5 line it is 1.45 for Under against 2.60 for Over.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.20 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
2.20 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
1.70 | 2 | 2.02 |
1.45 | 2.5 | 2.60 |
OFI Crete Team Total
OFI Crete: for a total of 0.5, Under is priced at 1.95 and Over at 1.75. On the 1 line, Under at 1.30 is notably shorter than Over at 3.15, while on 1.5 it is 1.16 against 4.30.
Under | Team total | Over |
1.95 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
1.30 | 1 | 3.15 |
1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ivan Kruzliak (Slovakia)
Matches – 12 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match – 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4;
Matches with red cards – 0 of 12;
Matches with penalties – 6 of 12.
