Odds overview
Cyprus are slight favourites: a home win is available at 2.30, while the draw and an Armenia win are offered at around 3.40 and 3.20 respectively. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.75 against 2.07 for Over 2.5, suggesting a slight preference for a low-scoring match. Cyprus Draw No Bet, a handicap of 0, is available at 1.65, while Armenia Draw No Bet is 2.25 — the hosts have the shorter odds.
Why Cyprus are favourites
Bookmakers give Cyprus a modest edge: a home win is available at 2.30, an Armenia win at 3.20 and the draw at 3.40.
• The hosts would look more convincing as favourites if they were more productive in attack: Cyprus had no more shots on target than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
• Armenia, meanwhile, are disciplined without the ball and limit their opponents' attacking opportunities: in 8 of their last 10 Nations League matches, their opponents had fewer than 13 shots.
Form and Line-up Cyprus
In their first two Nations League matches, Cyprus lost 1:2 to Montenegro before drawing 0:0 away to Latvia. Their opponents have also been restrained in their challenges: in each of Cyprus's last 10 matches in the competition, the opposing team received no more than two yellow cards.
- Cyprus scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
- Cyprus had fewer than 4.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
- Cyprus had fewer than 12.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
Probable Cyprus line-up (4-2-3-1): Fabiano, Nikolas Panayiotou, Georgios Malekkidis, Kostas Pileas, Leonidas Konomis, Kostakis Artymatas, Grigoris Kastanos, Marcus Edwards, Ioannis Kostis, Loizos Loizou, Ioannis Pittas
Absentees: Nick Tsaroulla, Christos Sotiriou (yellow-card accumulation)
Form and Line-up Armenia
Armenia lost their previous Nations League match 2:3 to Montenegro. They scored the same number of goals in the opening round but beat Latvia 2:0 on that occasion. Armenia have also been careful to watch the opposition's defensive line: they have yet to be caught offside and rank last in the league with an average of 0.0 offsides per match.
- Armenia committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
- More than 1.5 goals were scored in 8 of Armenia's last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Armenia's last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable Armenia line-up (5-4-1): Ognjen Čančarević, Arsen Bandikyan, Erik Piloyan, Argishti Petrosyan, Georgiy Harutyunyan, Nayair Tiknizyan, Edgar Sevikyan, Ugochukwu Iwu, Eduard Spertsyan, Zhirayr Shagoyan, Artur Miranyan
Absentees: Artur Serobyan (yellow-card accumulation)
Match outcome probabilities
A Cyprus win is offered at 2.30, with fair odds of 2.40 and a 41.7% probability. The draw is available at 3.40, with fair odds of 3.54 and a 28.2% probability; an Armenia win is offered at 3.20, with fair odds of 3.33 and a 30.0% probability. Cyprus have the highest estimated chance of winning, but Armenia and the draw remain close alternatives.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus to win | 2.30 | 2.40 | 41.7% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.54 | 28.2% |
| Armenia to win | 3.20 | 3.33 | 30.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is shorter at 1.75 than Over 2.5 at 2.07. The difference is greater at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 is available at 1.28 and Over 3.5 at 3.30.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.07 |
| 3.5 | 1.28 | 3.30 |
Handicap prediction
Cyprus (-1.5) are available at 4.30 and Armenia (-1.5) at 6.40. At the 1.5-goal handicap line, Cyprus (+1.5) are offered at 1.07 and Armenia (+1.5) at 1.20. Cyprus (-1) are quoted at 3.35 against 5.50 for Armenia (-1), while Cyprus (+1) are 1.10 against 1.28 for Armenia (+1). At a handicap of 0, Cyprus Draw No Bet at 1.65 is shorter than Armenia Draw No Bet at 2.25.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | -1.5 | 6.40 |
| 1.07 | +1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.35 | -1 | 5.50 |
| 1.10 | +1 | 1.28 |
| 1.65 | 0 | 2.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.80, while No is offered at 1.95. The shorter odds for Yes indicate a slight preference for both teams to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
3/10
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
33/100
|
3/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Cyprus — 1.5 goals; Armenia — 1 goal.
Cyprus team goal total
Cyprus team goals: Under 0.5 is available at 3.55 and Over 0.5 at 1.25; Under 1 is 2.50 and Over 1 is 1.50. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.60 against 2.25 for Over 1.5; at 2 goals, Under 2 is 1.22 and Over 2 is 3.80.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.50 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.22 | 2 | 3.80 |
Armenia team goal total
Armenia team goals: Under 0.5 is offered at 2.75 and Over 0.5 at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost level: Under 1 is 1.91 and Over 1 is 1.83. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is available at 1.35 and Over 1.5 at 2.90.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.91 | 1 | 1.83 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
