Europa League
1st Qualifying Round
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Derry City
MATCH FINISHED
1
:
2
16 July, 18:30
CSKA Sofia
1
25/4
X
289/100
2
22/5
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Odds for upcoming matches

1 X 2
Under Over
20:00
1 29/100
X 6/1
2 8/1
Under 2.5 15/4
2.5
Over 2.5 1/5
20:00
1 333/100
X 333/100
2 3/4
Under 2.5 9/4
2.5
Over 2.5 2/5
20:00
1 59/50
X 31/10
2 2/1
Under 2.5 31/20
2.5
Over 2.5 53/100
17:45
1 21/20
X 16/5
2 11/5
Under 2.5 5/2
2.5
Over 2.5 33/100
20:00
1 11/4
X 3/1
2 91/100
Under 2.5 9/5
2.5
Over 2.5 11/25
All matches
Match stats
Logo Derry City Derry City
CSKA Sofia Logo CSKA Sofia
45 Ball possession (%) 55
7 Goal attempts 11
4 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked shots 0

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia: prediction & betting odds 16 July 2026

Published: 14 July 2026 22:00
Author: Simon Dalton Simon Dalton
Fact checked by: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
18+

Derry City and CSKA Sofia will play the second leg of their UEFA Europa League first qualifying round tie on 16 July at 18:30 BST at the Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium in Derry.

After a 3:2 win in Sofia, the Bulgarians hold a narrow advantage, and the main question is whether the Northern Irish side can catch them while in their worst form for years.

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Betting Tip

Derry City's season is frankly not coming together. Tiernan Lynch's side are only sixth in the League of Ireland Premier Division, with just six wins from 25 rounds. Right before their European week came a painful collapse — a 2:4 home defeat to Waterford FC, even though the visitors were bottom of the table. Derry City regularly concede avoidable goals and cannot cope with opponents' pressure across the full 90 minutes. Now the team will have to chase the deficit — which means opening up from the first minutes. For the visitors, who rely on quick transitions, that approach will be a real gift.

CSKA Sofia seriously refreshed their squad before last season — around EUR6.2 million was spent on reinforcements then. This summer Stefano Sensi joined the team, strengthening the midfield. The Bulgarians have already found their rhythm: three wins in four friendlies and a convincing victory in their first official match. Ioannis Pittas is in particularly good form right now — he scored twice in Sofia and added another goal in the latest friendly. The visitors are not looking to control possession — their main strength is intensity and aggressive pressing in the opposition half. Against opponents who are forced to open up, that tactic works especially effectively.

The first match showed the difference. CSKA Sofia led 3:1 in the 53rd minute and kept a two-goal advantage until the 88th, when James Olayinka reduced the deficit. At the same time, for the Army Men this was the first official match of the new season — by the second leg, the team should only be sharper.

Now to the odds. 2.08 on the visitors is a line that does not believe in the Brandywell factor. But what kind of fortress is it if the league's outsiders have just won there? In essence, at these odds you are being offered a bet on the stronger side: they are in better form, and their forward is on the rise. The hosts, meanwhile, are in crisis. That is exactly why the bet looks like value.

Betting prediction
CSKA Sofia to win
Cf
Odds
27/25
Read more

Forecast author

Simon Dalton
Simon Dalton
Expert
About author:

I have had an interest in sports since I was just a child, football being my main passion. These days I follow all the main sports and most of the minor ones too! I have been betting for a little over 10 years and have taught myself how to analyse the various tournaments, games and teams. I think there is a good chance that I can identify betting value and make my long run performance a positive one.

Interests:
Football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey
5 yrs. 1 mo.
Time on site
55,5 %
Win rate
-6,2 %
ROI
1.70
Avg. Odds
385
Forecasts made
10
Winning streak
Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

Derry City

Mark Connolly
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Brian Philip Maher
gk. 0 0
Barry Noel Cotter
df. 0 0
Brandon James Fleming
df. 0 0
Christy James Grogan
df. 0 0
Conor Barr
df. 0 0
Patrick McClean
df. 0 0
Adam Kieran O'Reilly
mf. 0 0
Ellis Darren Chapman
mf. 0 0
Michael Duffy
mf. 0 0
Olujimi James Ayodele Olayinka
mf. 0 0
Kévin David Nogueira Carvalho Santos
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Liam Kelly
0 0
Terence Aaron Doherty
0 0
Shea Preston Callister
gk. 0 0
Thomas Christopher Norcott
gk. 0 0
Cameron Dummigan
df. 0 0
Jamie Garry Stott
df. 0 0
Robert Slevin
df. 0 0
James Clarke
mf. 0 0
James Joseph McClean
mf. 0 0
Nick Twisk
mf. 0 0
CSKA Sofia

Daniel Morales
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Dimitar Ivanov Evtimov
gk. 0 0
Facundo Santiago Rodríguez Fábregas
df. 0 0
Pastor
df. 0 0
Teodor Ivanov
df. 0 0
Ángelo Martino
df. 0 0
Bruno André Cavaco Jordão
mf. 0 0
Isaac Solet Bomawoko
mf. 0 0
Petko Panayotov
mf. 0 0
Stefano Sensi
mf. 0 0
Ioannis Pittas
fw. 0 0
Santiago Leandro Godoy
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Daniel Nikolaev Nikolov
gk. 0 0
Aleks Aleksandrov Tunchev
df. 0 0
Andrey Yordanov Yordanov
df. 0 0
Tamimou Ouorou
df. 0 0
Georgi Brankov Chorbadzhiyski
mf. 0 0
James Armel Eto'o Eyenga
mf. 0 0
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
mf. 0 0
Mohamed Amine Brahimi
mf. 0 0
Alejandro Piedrahita Díaz
fw. 0 0
Joël Zwarts
fw. 0 0
Leonardo Pereira
fw. 0 0
Vasil Stanislavov Kaymakanov
fw. 0 0

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H2H: Derry City — CSKA Sofia

Europa League 2026/27
9 July, 2026
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Benfica
3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2
Bayer 04
3 3 0 0 8:0 9
3
Bournemouth
3 3 0 0 8:1 9
4
Ferencvárosi
3 3 0 0 9:3 9
5
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 3 0 0 4:1 9
6
Saint-Gilloise
3 2 1 0 8:1 7
7
Juventus
3 2 1 0 9:3 7
8
Beşiktaş JK
3 2 1 0 9:5 7
9
Sunderland
3 2 1 0 4:2 7
10
AZ Alkmaar
3 2 0 1 6:2 6
11
Omonia
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
12
Lyon
3 2 0 1 5:6 6
13
Rennes
3 1 2 0 4:3 5
14
Real Sociedad
3 1 1 1 8:3 4
15
Crystal Palace
3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16
Sparta Prague
3 1 1 1 5:3 4
17
Levski Sofia
3 1 1 1 3:3 4
18
Dinamo Zagreb
3 1 1 1 3:4 4
19
Sturm Graz
3 1 1 1 1:3 4
20
NEC Nijmegen
3 1 1 1 5:8 4
21
Red Bull Salzburg
3 1 1 1 3:6 4
22
Anderlecht
3 1 0 2 4:3 3
23
Hoffenheim
3 1 0 2 5:5 3
24
AC Milan
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
25
Celta
3 1 0 2 3:4 3
26
OFI Crete
3 1 0 2 3:4 3
27
Jagiellonia
3 1 0 2 4:6 3
28
União Torreense
3 1 0 2 4:7 3
29
NK Celje
3 0 1 2 2:7 1
30
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
3 0 1 2 1:6 1
31
Lillestrom
3 0 1 2 2:9 1
32
Lech
3 0 1 2 1:9 1
33
Viktoria Plzen
3 0 0 3 2:7 0
34
Marseille
3 0 0 3 1:6 0
35
Celtic
3 0 0 3 3:9 0
36
Ararat-Armenia
3 0 0 3 2:11 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Bournemouth
2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2
Ferencvárosi
2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 2 0 0 3:1 6
4
Saint-Gilloise
2 1 1 0 5:1 4
5
Juventus
2 1 1 0 7:2 4
6
Beşiktaş JK
2 1 1 0 6:3 4
7
Sturm Graz
2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8
Benfica
1 1 0 0 4:1 3
9
Bayer 04
1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10
Sunderland
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
11
AZ Alkmaar
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12
Omonia
2 1 0 1 2:4 3
13
Lyon
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
14
Rennes
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
15
Crystal Palace
1 1 0 0 4:0 3
16
Dinamo Zagreb
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
17
Hoffenheim
2 1 0 1 5:3 3
18
OFI Crete
2 1 0 1 2:2 3
19
Jagiellonia
2 1 0 1 3:4 3
20
Sparta Prague
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21
NEC Nijmegen
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
22
NK Celje
2 0 1 1 2:5 1
23
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
24
Lech
2 0 1 1 1:5 1
25
Real Sociedad
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26
Levski Sofia
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27
Red Bull Salzburg
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
28
Anderlecht
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
29
AC Milan
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30
Celta
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
31
União Torreense
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
32
Lillestrom
2 0 0 2 1:8 0
33
Viktoria Plzen
2 0 0 2 1:5 0
34
Marseille
1 0 0 1 0:1 0
35
Celtic
2 0 0 2 2:5 0
36
Ararat-Armenia
2 0 0 2 1:8 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Benfica
2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2
Bayer 04
2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3
Sunderland
2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4
Real Sociedad
2 1 1 0 7:1 4
5
Levski Sofia
2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6
Red Bull Salzburg
2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7
Bournemouth
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8
Ferencvárosi
1 1 0 0 3:1 3
9
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10
Saint-Gilloise
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
11
Juventus
1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12
Beşiktaş JK
1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13
AZ Alkmaar
2 1 0 1 4:1 3
14
Omonia
1 1 0 0 3:0 3
15
Lyon
2 1 0 1 2:4 3
16
Sparta Prague
2 1 0 1 4:2 3
17
NEC Nijmegen
2 1 0 1 4:7 3
18
Anderlecht
2 1 0 1 3:1 3
19
AC Milan
2 1 0 1 4:3 3
20
Celta
2 1 0 1 2:2 3
21
União Torreense
2 1 0 1 3:5 3
22
Rennes
2 0 2 0 2:2 2
23
Crystal Palace
2 0 1 1 4:5 1
24
Dinamo Zagreb
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
25
Lillestrom
1 0 1 0 1:1 1
26
Sturm Graz
1 0 0 1 0:3 0
27
Hoffenheim
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
28
OFI Crete
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
29
Jagiellonia
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
30
NK Celje
1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2 0 0 2 1:6 0
32
Lech
1 0 0 1 0:4 0
33
Viktoria Plzen
1 0 0 1 1:2 0
34
Marseille
2 0 0 2 1:5 0
35
Celtic
1 0 0 1 1:4 0
36
Ararat-Armenia
1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Legend
Qualification/Elimination
Round of 16
Play-off
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Odds

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DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
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TOTAL HOME GOALS
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