Why Braga Are Favourites for the Match
The imbalance in the odds is one of the clearest in recent times: from 1.33 for the visitors to win to 8.00 for success for the Minsk side.
The first match went Braga's way (1:0) — the team only need to avoid losing by more than one goal to go through.
Dinamo had a difficult route through Conference League qualifying. In the previous rounds, they went to a penalty shootout against Sileks (2:1 on aggregate) and had an unconvincing aggregate win over Neftchi (4:3).
Braga have been flawless in the European part of the season. Vicens' team comfortably got past Zeleznicar Pancevo (5:0 on aggregate).
In Belarusian competitions, Dinamo have looked assured — they have not lost in normal time since the start of May. However, the Minsk side have not played at home for more than a month — in Europe, they have suffered three defeats in five matches.
Braga's squad is 18 times more expensive — EUR155 million, while Dinamo Minsk's group is worth just EUR8.4 million.
Form and Line-up Dinamo Minsk
After the extraordinary thrashing of Neftchi on 22 July (4:2), when the Minsk side somehow conceded twice before the 10th minute, Dinamo stopped scoring. The return game against the Azerbaijanis and the first match against Braga (both 0:1) did not show how Shagoyko's team are ready to impose their game. The White-Blues control matches against lower-level opponents reasonably well, but in Europe they clearly look spent. A notable boost for the Belarusian club will be the cancellation of Abdullahi's suspension — his booking in the first match was wiped.
Key numbers for Dinamo Minsk:
Shagoyko's team have scored more than one goal in only one of their five European matches.
Dinamo have lost 0:1 three times in a month of Conference League qualifying.
Over 90 minutes on Braga's pitch, Dinamo had only one shot on target and 27% possession.
Probable Dinamo Minsk line-up (4-3-3): Ivan Shimakovich — Aleksei Vakulich, Vladislav Kalinin, Aleksei Ivanov, Gleb Gurban — Fawaz Abdullahi, Artem Sokolovski, Aleksandr Selyava — Evgeni Malashevich, Karen Vardanyan, Moustapha Djimet.
Form and Line-up Braga
Vicens' team are gradually building up energy in this spell of the season. Braga have already played four official matches since 22 July — nobody in the Primeira Liga reached that mark so quickly. In their opening match of the Portuguese league season, Braga did not handle the pressure. Away to Moreirense (2:2), the Red and Whites twice went ahead but allowed the underdogs to come back. The opposition scored the equaliser in the 91st minute despite creating far less xG (1.50-0.20).
Key numbers for Braga:
Before the draw with Moreirense, Vicens' team had kept clean sheets in three consecutive matches.
Braga scored against Dinamo only from the penalty spot — excluding that spot-kick, they had only two shots on target in 90 minutes.
Braga ended last season with a run of three away matches without a win.
Probable Braga line-up (4-3-3): Bernardo Fontes — Adrian Bajrami, Vitor Carvalho, Sergio Barcia, Victor Gomez — Denis Huseinbasic, Jean-Baptiste Gorby, Joao Moutinho — Ricardo Horta, Pau Victor, Gabriel Silva.
Who Will Referee the Match
Szabolcs Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 11 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match – 19;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.5;
Matches with red cards – 3 of 11;
Matches with penalties – 6 of 11.
