Odds overview
Dinamo Zagreb are favourites: a home win is available at around 1.98, while the draw and an Anderlecht win are both at 3.70. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.76 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 at 1.99. In the handicap market, Anderlecht (-1) at 1.45 is notably shorter than Dinamo Zagreb (-1) at 2.57.
Why Dinamo Zagreb are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Dinamo Zagreb win is offered at 1.98, while an Anderlecht win and a draw are both available at 3.70.
- Dinamo Zagreb have been reliable defensively at home in the UEFA Europa League: their opponents have had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 European home matches.
- Anderlecht have struggled to dominate away from home: the Belgian club have not won the shots-on-target count in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Dinamo Zagreb
On 10 October, Dinamo Zagreb lost 1:2 away to Hajduk in the Croatian league. At home in European competition, however, they take a more restrained approach: the Croatian side have had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
- The two teams have had no more than 10.5 shots on target combined in Dinamo Zagreb's last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
- There have been fewer than 25.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 9 of Dinamo Zagreb's last 10 home matches in the competition.
- Dinamo Zagreb have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home matches in the European competition.
Probable Dinamo Zagreb line-up: Dominik Kotarski, Kirill Kravtsov, Miha Zajc, Dion Drena Beljo, Scott McKenna, Matteo Pérez Vinlöf, Sergi Domínguez, Moris Valincic, Mateo Lisica, Arber Hoxha, Luka Stojkovic.
Form and Line-up Anderlecht
Anderlecht come into the match after a 1:0 away win over Cercle Brugge in the Belgian league. The Belgian side regularly create attacking chances in Europe, recording at least 5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in Anderlecht's last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
- There have been more than 2.5 offsides in 8 of Anderlecht's last 10 away matches in the competition.
- Anderlecht have committed more than 11.5 fouls in each of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable Anderlecht line-up (4-4-2): Colin Coosemans, Ali Maamar, Giulian Biancone, Léo Petrot, Ludwig Augustinsson, Marten Winkler, Ilias Koutsoupias, Marco Kana, Oliver Antman, Tawfik Bentayeb, Danylo Sikan.
The teams' chances
A Dinamo Zagreb win is offered at 1.98; the fair odds are 2.07, implying a 48.3% probability. The draw and an Anderlecht win are both available at 3.70, with fair odds of 3.87 and an implied probability of 25.8% for each outcome.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb to win | 1.98 | 2.07 | 48.3% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.87 | 25.8% |
| Anderlecht to win | 3.70 | 3.87 | 25.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.76 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 at 1.99. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Under 2 at 2.93, while at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.38 is favoured over Over 3.5 at 2.81.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.99 | 1.76 |
| 2 | 2.93 | 1.35 |
| 3.5 | 1.38 | 2.81 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1 handicap line, Anderlecht (-1) at 1.45 has shorter odds than Dinamo Zagreb (-1) at 2.57. At the 0 line, Dinamo Zagreb (0) at 1.47 have shorter odds than Anderlecht (0) at 2.51.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.57 | -1 | 1.45 |
| 1.47 | 0 | 2.51 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/50
|
1/4
|
19/20
|
| William Hill |
1/4
|
3/10
|
83/100
|
| 888sport |
11/50
|
29/100
|
91/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Dinamo Zagreb — 1 goal; Anderlecht — 1.5 goals.
Dinamo Zagreb team total goals
Dinamo Zagreb team total goals: Over 0.5 at 1.18 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 4.15. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 3.10 and Over 1 at 1.32 are listed, as are Under 1 at 1.90 and Over 1 at 1.82 — the odds in the second pair are almost equal. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.82 has slightly shorter odds than Over 1.5 at 1.92.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.82 |
| 1.82 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
Anderlecht team total goals
Anderlecht team total goals: Over 0.5 at 1.37 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 2.85. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.41 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.70, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is available at 1.12 compared with 5.40 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 0.5 | 1.37 |
| 1.41 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
| 1.12 | 2 | 5.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Orel Grinfeld (Israel)
Matches — 7 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.4;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 7;
Matches with a penalty — 2 out of 7.
