Odds overview
Dinamo Zagreb are favourites: a home win is around 1.65, while the draw is 4.30 and an NEC Nijmegen win is 4.80. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.35. In the main handicap market, Dinamo Zagreb (0) are at 1.27, compared with 3.45 for NEC Nijmegen (0).
Why Dinamo Zagreb are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Dinamo Zagreb win is offered at 1.65, while the draw is 4.30 and an NEC Nijmegen win is 4.80.
- The Croatian club have taken four points from two matches at the start of the UEFA Europa League league phase and have yet to concede in the competition, leaving them 14th in the table.
- NEC Nijmegen have conceded heavily: ahead of this match, they are averaging three goals conceded per game in the European competition.
Form and Line-up Dinamo Zagreb
Before returning to European action, Dinamo Zagreb thrashed Slaven Belupo 5:1 in the Croatian league, establishing a two-goal lead by half-time. Manager Mario Kovacevic said the team had come through a period of illness, while extensive rotation in that match allowed several key players to rest.
The Croatian club have been measured in the UEFA Europa League: against Anderlecht, Dinamo Zagreb took 11 shots, three of them on target, and have yet to concede in the competition.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 shots on target in Dinamo Zagreb's last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
- There have been fewer than 25.5 shot attempts in 9 of Dinamo Zagreb's last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
- Dinamo Zagreb have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Dominik Kotarski, Moris Valincic, Niko Galesic, Scott McKenna, Bruno Goda, Josip Mišić, Dani Rodríguez, Luka Stojković, Kirill Kravtsov, Mislav Oršić, Dion Drena Beljo
Form and Line-up NEC Nijmegen
The Dutch club come into the match after a dramatic 2:2 home draw with Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie, equalising in stoppage time after a missed penalty. In that match, the visitors restored Tobias Storm to the starting line-up after he had been ill.
In the domestic league, NEC Nijmegen put considerable pressure on the opposition goal, taking 24 shots and hitting the target 7 times against Fortuna Sittard, but their defensive balance remains vulnerable in European competition.
- Fewer than 4.5 goals have been scored in 9 of NEC Nijmegen's last 10 matches across all competitions.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- NEC Nijmegen's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of the club's last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Gonzalo Crettaz, Deveron Fonville, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Tobias Storm, Clement Bischoff, Dennis Geiger, Darko Nejašmić, Kevin Kers, Jamiro Gregory Monteiro Alvarenga, Noé Lebreton, Bryan Linssen
The teams' chances
A Dinamo Zagreb win is offered at 1.65, with fair odds of 1.73 and a 57.9% probability. The draw is 4.30, with fair odds of 4.50 and a 22.2% probability. An NEC Nijmegen win is 4.80, with fair odds of 5.03 and a 19.9% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb win | 1.65 | 1.73 | 57.9% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.50 | 22.2% |
| NEC Nijmegen win | 4.80 | 5.03 | 19.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 2.35 and Over 2.5 at 1.55, so the market favours a higher-scoring match. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is offered at 1.60, compared with 2.35 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5) are at 2.60, while NEC Nijmegen (-1.5) are at 7.80. At the 1.5 handicap line, Dinamo Zagreb (+1.5) are at 1.05, compared with 1.47 for NEC Nijmegen (+1.5). Dinamo Zagreb (-1) are quoted at 2.05 and NEC Nijmegen (-1) at 6.70; Dinamo Zagreb (+1) are at 1.06 and NEC Nijmegen (+1) at 1.77. On the zero handicap line, Dinamo Zagreb (0) at 1.27 are considerably shorter than NEC Nijmegen (0) at 3.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | 7.80 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| 2.05 | -1 | 6.70 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.27 | 0 | 3.45 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.60, while Both teams to score — No is at 2.25. The shorter odds favour goals from both teams, while the second option means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
11/50
|
6/5
|
| William Hill |
9/50
|
11/50
|
6/5
|
| 888sport |
9/50
|
11/50
|
6/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Dinamo Zagreb — 2 goals; NEC Nijmegen — 1 goal.
Dinamo Zagreb team total goals
Dinamo Zagreb team goals: Under 0.5 — 6.30, Over 0.5 — 1.07; Under 1.5 — 2.30, Over 1.5 — 1.60. At the 2-goal line, Under is offered at 1.75 and Over at 2.03; at 2.5 goals, the respective odds are 1.45 and 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.75 | 2 | 2.03 |
| 1.45 | 2.5 | 2.65 |
NEC Nijmegen team total goals
NEC Nijmegen team goals: Under 0.5 — 2.65, Over 0.5 — 1.45. At the 1-goal line, Under is offered at 1.78 and Over at 1.98; at 1.5 goals, Under is 1.35 compared with 2.85 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.78 | 1 | 1.98 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
