Odds Overview
Lillestrom are the favourites: the away win is priced at 1.98, while the home win and draw are around 3.40 and 3.75. Over 2.5 goals is marginally preferred to under 2.5 goals in the main total market — 1.85 versus 1.90. In the 0 handicap market, Lillestrom Draw No Bet at 1.50 is notably shorter than Egnatia Rrogozhine Draw No Bet at 2.50.
Why Lillestrom Are Match Favourites
Bookmakers consider the visitors favourites: Lillestrom to win is priced at 1.98, while Egnatia Rrogozhine are available at 3.40 and the draw at 3.75.
Egnatia have not won the first leg of a two-legged European tie this season.
The Norwegian league season is in full swing, while Egnatia are only preparing for the start of their domestic campaign.
Lillestrom's squad is worth twice as much as Egnatia's — €12m versus €6m. The Norwegian side also include Fredrik Gulbrandsen, a former Salzburg and Istanbul Basaksehir player.
Form and Line-up Egnatia
The Albanian club can produce high-scoring spells at home: on 13 August 2026, Egnatia Rrogozhine thrashed Shamrock Rovers 5:1 after losing the first match 1:3.
Earlier in Champions League qualifying, the team played two open matches against Celje: the home match ended 3:3, while the sides drew 2:2 after extra time away from home before Egnatia lost on penalties.
Key numbers:
Egnatia Rrogozhine have scored at least once in each of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Egnatia Rrogozhine's opponents have scored at least once in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
At least one goal has been scored in the first half in each of Egnatia Rrogozhine's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Egnatia line-up (3-5-2): Mario Dajsinani — Eljon Sota, Eneo Bitri, Albano Aleksi — Guillem Jaime, Karim Loukili, Fernando Medeiros, Alessandro Albanese, Andrey Yago — Ildi Gruda, Daniel Adje.
Absentees: Edison Ndreka (suspended).
Form and Line-up Lillestrom
Lillestrom come into the match after an away Norwegian league fixture against KFUM, played on 15 August and ending 1:1 thanks to Angolan Felix Va's 48th-minute goal; the visitors had five days to travel and prepare between the games.
The Norwegians have won only once in their last six away matches, but they have match practice from 17 rounds of the Norwegian league season.
Key numbers:
At least two goals have been scored in 9 of Lillestrom's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Fewer than four goals have been scored in 9 of Lillestrom's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Lillestrom have had no more than five shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Lillestrom line-up (4-5-1): Pontus Dahlberg — Lars Ranger, Ruben Gabrielsen, Stian Kristiansen, Frederik Elkaer — Yaw Paintsil, Ylldren Ibrahimaj, Kevin Krogard, Gustav Nyheim, Felix Va — Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Absentees: Espen Garnas (doubtful), Kamil Jebara (injured).
Team Chances
Lillestrom to win is 1.98; the margin-free estimate is 2.11 and 47.4%. Egnatia Rrogozhine to win is listed at 3.40, 3.62 and 27.6%, while the draw is 3.75, 4.00 and 25.0%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
Egnatia Rrogozhine win | 3.40 | 3.62 | 27.6% |
Draw | 3.75 | 4.00 | 25.0% |
Lillestrom win | 1.98 | 2.11 | 47.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.90 and over 2.5 goals at 1.85. In the 3.5-goal line, under is considerably shorter than over: 1.35 versus 2.95.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
3.5 | 1.35 | 2.95 |
Handicap Prediction
Egnatia Rrogozhine (-1.5) are priced at 6.50 and Lillestrom (-1.5) at 3.30; with a +1.5 handicap, Egnatia Rrogozhine (+1.5) are 1.25 and Lillestrom (+1.5) are 1.06. For the -1 handicap, Egnatia Rrogozhine (-1) are 5.70 and Lillestrom (-1) are 2.70; for the +1 handicap, they are 1.40 and 1.09 respectively. In the 0 handicap market, Egnatia Rrogozhine Draw No Bet is 2.50 and Lillestrom Draw No Bet is 1.50.
Home | Handicap | Away |
6.50 | -1.5 | 3.30 |
1.25 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
5.70 | -1 | 2.70 |
1.40 | 1 | 1.09 |
2.50 | 0 | 1.50 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is priced at 1.72, while both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is 2.05.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.72 |
No | 2.05 |
Double Chance Prediction
In the double-chance market, 1X is offered at 1.78, 12 at 1.25 and X2 at 1.30.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.78 | 1.25 | 1.30 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Egnatia Rrogozhine — 1 goal; Lillestrom — 1.5 goals.
Egnatia Rrogozhine Team Total
Egnatia Rrogozhine: under 0.5 goals — 2.70, over 0.5 goals — 1.40; on the 1-goal line, under 1 is 1.80 and over 1 is 1.90. For the 1.5-goal line, under 1.5 is 1.35 and over 1.5 is 2.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.80 | 1 | 1.90 |
1.35 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
Lillestrom Team Total
Lillestrom: under 0.5 goals — 4.15, over 0.5 goals — 1.18; under 1 — 2.85, over 1 — 1.37. On the 1.5-goal line, under 1.5 is 1.72 and over 1.5 is 2.00; on the 2-goal line, they are 1.35 and 3.00 respectively.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.15 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
2.85 | 1 | 1.37 |
1.72 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Willy Delajod (France)
Matches — 6 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellow cards — 3.1;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 6;
Matches with penalties — 1 out of 6.
