Odds overview
Celta de Vigo are slight favourites in the 1X2 market: a Celta de Vigo win is 2.60, compared with 2.80 for Elche and 3.30 for a draw. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is considered more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.00. With a handicap of 0, Celta de Vigo Draw No Bet has shorter odds at 1.85 than Elche Draw No Bet at 1.97.
Why Celta de Vigo are favourites
Bookmakers give the visitors a slight edge: a Celta de Vigo win is offered at 2.60, an Elche win at 2.80 and a draw at 3.30.
- Celta de Vigo are joint top of La Liga for defensive record, conceding an average of just 0.86 goals per game.
- Elche have conceded the second-most goals in the league, allowing opponents an average of 2.43 goals per match.
- Celta de Vigo have lost to Elche only twice in their last 10 meetings.
Form and Line-up Elche
Elche ended a poor run in Matchday 7 of La Liga with a 3:1 away win over Espanyol Barcelona. Before that, they lost to Real Madrid (2:3), Real Sociedad (2:3) and Racing Santander (2:3), and drew with Athletic Bilbao (1:1).
- Elche committed more than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
- Elche's opponents took fewer than 13.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 8 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
- More than 1.5 goals were scored in 7 La Liga matches involving Elche this season.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Matías Dituro, Rubén Sánchez, Víctor Chust, Pedro Bigas, Roy Revivo, Gonzalo Villar, Tom Lemaire, Javi Morcillo, Tete Morente, Fer Niño, Germán Valera.
Absentees: Federico Redondo (suspended); Buba Sangaré and Yago Santiago (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo thrashed Racing Santander 5:0 in Matchday 7 of La Liga, but the Galicians had dropped points in every match before that — four draws and two defeats. The Celts also made a poor start in the UEFA Europa League, losing to Omonia (0:1).
- Celta de Vigo scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
- Celta de Vigo's opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
- Celta de Vigo took fewer than 11.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 9 of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Ionuț Radu, Yoel Lago, Sebastián Cáceres, Marcos Alonso, Javi Rueda, Ilaix Moriba, Aleix Febas, Sergio Carreira, Hugo González, Ferran Jutglà, Hugo Álvarez.
Absentees: Jones El-Abdellaoui, Miguel Román and Carl Starfelt (all injured); Andrés Antañón (doubtful).
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Celta de Vigo a 36.8% chance of winning at fair odds of 2.72, Elche a 34.2% chance at 2.93, and a draw a 29.0% chance at 3.45. The average odds are 2.60 for a Celta de Vigo win, 2.80 for an Elche win and 3.30 for a draw.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche win | 2.80 | 2.93 | 34.2% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.45 | 29.0% |
| Celta de Vigo win | 2.60 | 2.72 | 36.8% |
Total goals betting
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.80, compared with 2.00 for Over 2.5 goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is markedly shorter at 1.30, while Over 3.5 goals is 3.15.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.15 |
Handicap betting
Elche (-1.5) are offered at 5.20 and Celta de Vigo (-1.5) at 4.90. At the +1.5 handicap line, the odds are almost equal: Elche (+1.5) are 1.12 and Celta de Vigo (+1.5) are 1.11. Celta de Vigo (-1) are shorter at 4.10 than Elche (-1) at 4.30; at +1, Celta de Vigo (+1) are 1.16 compared with 1.18 for Elche (+1). With a handicap of 0, Celta de Vigo Draw No Bet are shorter at 1.85 than Elche Draw No Bet at 1.97.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | -1.5 | 4.90 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4.30 | -1 | 4.10 |
| 1.18 | 1 | 1.16 |
| 1.97 | 0 | 1.85 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is 1.75, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.00.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
9/25
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
33/100
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Elche — 1 goal; Celta de Vigo — 1 goal.
Elche team total goals
Elche team total goals: Over 0.5 goals is quoted at 1.32, compared with 3.10 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is shorter at 1.70 than Under 1 goal at 2.08; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is favoured at 1.48, while Over 1.5 goals is 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
| 2.08 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.48 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
Celta de Vigo team total goals
Celta de Vigo team total goals: Over 0.5 goals is 1.30 and Under 0.5 goals is 3.30. Over 1 goal at 1.60 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 2.30, while at the 1.5-goal line Under 1.5 goals is 1.55 compared with 2.40 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
