Odds overview
England are clear favourites: an England win is available at 1.14, compared with 8.40 for a draw and 19.00 for a Czech Republic win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.41 is strongly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.70. England (-1.5) are quoted at 1.55, compared with 2.32 for Czech Republic (-1.5).
Why England are favourites
An England win is available at odds of 1.14, a draw at 8.40 and a Czech Republic win at 19.00.
- England come into the match after a 7:0 thrashing of Croatia in which they built a decisive lead before half-time.
- Czech Republic lost their first three UEFA Nations League matches, falling to Croatia (1:2), England (0:2) and Spain (1:3).
Form and Line-up England
Thomas Tuchel's side began the UEFA Nations League with a 2:3 home defeat to Spain but then beat Czech Republic 2:0 in Prague.
In the pre-match league statistics, England's opponents average 10?5 throw-ins per game — the second-lowest figure among the tournament's 54 teams.
- England have not lost the corner count in their last 10 UEFA Nations League home matches.
- More than 7.5 corners were taken in 8 of England's last 10 UEFA Nations League home matches.
- England's opponents took fewer than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League home matches.
Probable England line-up (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, Lewis Hall, Ezri Konsa, Marc Guéhi, Jarell Quansah, Alex Scott, Elliot Anderson, Bukayo Saka, Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon, Harry Kane.
Tino Livramento, Kobbie Mainoo, Cole Palmer, Marcus Rashford, Declan Rice and Nico O'Reilly will miss the match.
Form and Line-up Czech Republic
Czech Republic are going through a difficult spell on the international stage under Santi Denia. In the pre-match UEFA Nations League statistics, they average just 5.5 shots per game, ahead of only two of the tournament's 54 teams on that measure.
- Czech Republic scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League away matches.
- Czech Republic committed more than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League away matches.
- Czech Republic committed more fouls than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League away matches.
Probable Czech Republic line-up (4-4-2): Antonín Kinský, Michal Sacek, Robin Hranac, Štěpán Chaloupek, Ladislav Krejčí, Jiří Sláma, Lukas Cerv, Lukas Ambros, Alex Král, Adam Hložek, Ondrej Lingr.
The teams' chances
An England win is offered at 1.14, with fair odds of 1.20 and an 83.6% probability. A draw is quoted at 8.40, with fair odds of 8.81 and an 11.4% probability; a Czech Republic win is available at 19.00, with fair odds of 19.93 and a 5% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| England win | 1.14 | 1.20 | 83.6% |
| Draw | 8.40 | 8.81 | 11.4% |
| Czech Republic win | 19.00 | 19.93 | 5.0% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.70, while Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.41. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 4.55 against 1.15 for Over 2; at the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.72 is slightly shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.03.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.70 | 1.41 |
| 2 | 4.55 | 1.15 |
| 3.5 | 1.72 | 2.03 |
Handicap prediction
England (-1.5) at 1.55 are shorter than Czech Republic (-1.5) at 2.32, indicating England's advantage in the handicap market.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | -1.5 | 2.32 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/50
|
2/25
|
5/1
|
| William Hill |
3/100
|
7/50
|
3/1
|
| 888sport |
1/50
|
2/25
|
4/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: England — 2.5 goals; Czech Republic — 0.5 goals.
England team total goals
England team total goals: Under 0.5 is quoted at 7.40 against 1.04 for Over 0.5. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 2.75 has longer odds than Over 2 at 1.42; at 2.5, Under 2.5 is offered at 2.08 against 1.69 for Over 2.5. At the 3-goal line, Under 3 is quoted at 1.50 and Over 3 at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.40 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.75 | 2 | 1.42 |
| 2.08 | 2.5 | 1.69 |
| 1.50 | 3 | 2.50 |
Czech Republic team total goals
Czech Republic team total goals: Under 0.5 at 1.63 is favoured over Over 0.5 at 2.17. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is available at 1.07, while Over 1.5 is quoted at 6.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 0.5 | 2.17 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 6.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Serdar Gözübüyük (Netherlands)
Matches — 12 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.5;
Matches with a red card — 1 out of 12;
Matches with a penalty — 4 out of 12.
