Odds overview
Espanyol are favourites: the home win is available at 2.00, while the draw is at 3.35 and the away win at 4.05. In the totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 is notably more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. In the handicap market, Espanyol Draw No Bet at 1.43 looks preferable to Elche Draw No Bet at 2.85.
Why Espanyol are favourites for the match
Bookmakers make the home side favourites: an Espanyol win is available at 2.00, the draw at 3.35 and an Elche win at 4.05.
• Elche are bottom of the La Liga table after six rounds, with just 2 points and 16 goals conceded without a single win.
• The visitors' defence regularly collapses — Elche's opponents score an average of 2.67 goals per game, putting the side top of the league for goals conceded.
Form and Line-up Espanyol
In the previous round, Espanyol lost 1:2 away to Rayo Vallecano. Coach Manolo Gonzalez was unhappy with the first half, openly admitting the collective failure before the break, but noted the turnaround and a marked improvement in his side's play in the second half, when they pulled one of the two goals back.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in all six of Espanyol's matches in the 2026/27 La Liga season
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of Espanyol's last 10 home La Liga matches
- Espanyol's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice in each of their last 10 home La Liga games
Probable Espanyol line-up (4-2-3-1): Marko Dmitrovic, Alex Calatrava, Clemens Riedel, Leandro Cabrera, Roger Hinojo, Urko Gonzalez de Zarate, Gabriel Moscardo, Javi Hernandez, Rafel Bauza, Quilindschy Hartman, Roberto Fernandez
Absentees: Jofre Carreras (injured), Omar El Hilali (suspended)
Form and Line-up Elche
Elche lost 2:3 to Real Madrid in the sixth round. The team showed character by coming back from 0:2 in the second half, but conceded the decisive goal just before the final whistle. The visitors had only three days to recover before preparing for this away trip after such an energy-sapping match.
- Over 1.5 goals has landed in all six of Elche's matches in the current La Liga season
- Elche have committed 12 or more fouls in 9 of their last 10 away La Liga matches
- Elche have been caught offside no more than twice in each of their last 10 away La Liga games
Probable Elche line-up (4-5-1): Matias Dituro, Buba Sangare, Federico Redondo, Victor Chust, Roy Revivo, Marc Aguado, Martim Neto, German Valera, Gonzalo Villar, Tete Morente, Abiel Osorio
Absentees: Adam Boayar (injured)
Team chances
Espanyol to win is available at 2.00; the fair odds are 2.09 and the probability is 47.8%. The draw is at 3.35, with fair odds of 3.50 and a probability of 28.6%, while Elche to win is at 4.05, with fair odds of 4.23 and a probability of 23.6%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol win | 2.00 | 2.09 | 47.8% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.50 | 28.6% |
| Elche win | 4.05 | 4.23 | 23.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For a total of 2, Under 2 is rated higher at 2.40, while Over 2 is at 1.53. At the 3.5 mark, Under 3.5 goals at 1.27 is substantially more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 3.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap prediction
For Espanyol (-1.5), odds of 3.70 are shorter than for Elche (-1.5) — 8.00. At the 1.5 handicap, Espanyol (+1.5) is available at 1.04 and Elche (+1.5) at 1.23. Espanyol (-1) is at 2.90 versus 6.90 for Elche (-1); at the 1 line, Espanyol (+1) is at 1.06 and Elche (+1) at 1.35. At the zero handicap, Espanyol Draw No Bet at 1.43 is notably shorter than Elche Draw No Bet at 2.85.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | -1.5 | 8.00 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.90 | -1 | 6.90 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.43 | 0 | 2.85 |
Both teams to score prediction
The market barely separates the options: Both teams to score - Yes is at 1.87, while Both teams to score - No, meaning at least one team will not score, is at 1.88.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.87 |
| No | 1.88 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Espanyol — 1.5 goals; Elche — 1 goal.
Espanyol team total
Espanyol team total: Under 0.5 goals is at 4.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.20. At the 1 line, Under 1 is available at 2.85 and Over 1 at 1.37; at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is at 1.68 versus Over 1.5 goals at 2.12. For a total of 2, Under 2 is at 1.25 and Over 2 at 3.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.85 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1.68 | 1.5 | 2.12 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.45 |
Elche team total
Elche team total: Under 0.5 goals is at 2.45, while Over 0.5 goals is at 1.52. At the 1 line, Under 1 at 1.70 is shorter than Over 1 at 2.10, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.30 is notably preferable to Over 1.5 goals at 3.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 0.5 | 1.52 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 2.10 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jon Ander Gonzalez (Spain)
Matches — 26 (La Liga and Segunda Division, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.4;
Matches with red cards — 5 of 26;
Matches with penalties — 9 of 26.
