Odds overview
Manchester United to win at 2.20 looks preferable to Everton to win at 3.20 and the draw at 3.55. Over 2.5 goals is available at around 1.70, compared with 2.17 for Under 2.5 goals. Manchester United Draw No Bet at 1.63 is shorter than Everton Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Why Manchester United are the match favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Manchester United to win is available at 2.20, while Everton to win is offered at 3.20 and the draw at 3.55.
- The visitors have the highest attacking potential in the league: their expected-goals figure of 3.32 xG put them top in the Premier League pre-match snapshot.
- Manchester United thrashed Ipswich 5:2 in the previous round.
Form and Line-up Everton
Everton have taken 4 points from their opening two Premier League rounds, with a 3:1 goal difference, and remain unbeaten in the league. At home, they beat Crystal Palace 2:0, while away they snatched a 1:1 draw against Bournemouth after creating 1.66 xG worth of chances.
Everton also enjoyed themselves in the EFL Cup, beating Preston North End 4:0 thanks to Thierno Barry's hat-trick. In the Premier League, they are joint third from bottom for goals conceded, averaging 0.5.
Key numbers:
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Everton's last 10 Premier League home matches
- Everton's opponents had no more than four shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches
- The two teams combined for no more than 10 shots on target in 9 of Everton's last 10 Premier League home matches
Probable Everton line-up (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford — Merlin Rohl, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko — Harrison Armstrong, James Garner — Iliman Ndiaye, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyrique George — Thierno Barry
Absentees: Christian Norgaard (injury)
Form and Line-up Manchester United
Manchester United made an uneven start to the season: Michael Carrick's side lost 0:2 away to Hull City in the opening round. However, Kobbie Mainoo impressed in the holding role, with the head coach specifically praising his work in central midfield.
In Premier League away matches, Manchester United's opponents had no more than five shots on target in all 10 cases, while United's away fixtures have produced no more than four offsides between the two sides in each of their last 10 matches.
Key numbers:
- No more than 11 corners were taken in 8 of Manchester United's last 10 Premier League away matches
- There were no more than 10 shots on target in 9 of Manchester United's last 10 Premier League away matches
- No more than four yellow cards were shown in 8 of Manchester United's last 10 Premier League away matches
Probable Manchester United line-up (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens — Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw — Youri Tielemans, Kobbie Mainoo — Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford — Matheus Cunha
Absentees: Matthijs de Ligt, Amad Diallo, Carlos Baleba, Manuel Ugarte, Tom Heaton (injuries)
Team chances
Manchester United to win has average odds of 2.20, fair odds of 2.31 and a probability of 43.3%; the figures for Everton to win are 3.20, 3.36 and 29.8%, while the draw is at 3.55, 3.72 and 26.9%. The market rates a Manchester United win more highly than an Everton win or a draw.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Everton to win | 3.20 | 3.36 | 29.8% |
Draw | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
Manchester United to win | 2.20 | 2.31 | 43.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.17. At the 3.5 mark, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.48 is clearly preferable to Over 3.5 goals at 2.55.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.17 | 1.70 |
3.5 | 1.48 | 2.55 |
Handicap prediction
For Everton (-1.5), the odds of 5.80 are higher than 3.65 for Manchester United (-1.5). Everton (+1.5) is available at 1.25, compared with 1.09 for Manchester United (+1.5); at the -1 line, Everton (-1) is at 5.00 and Manchester United (-1) at 3.00. For the +1 handicap, the odds are 1.35 for Everton (+1) and 1.12 for Manchester United (+1), while on the zero line, Everton Draw No Bet is at 2.30 versus 1.63 for Manchester United Draw No Bet.
Home | Handicap | Away |
5.80 | -1.5 | 3.65 |
1.25 | 1.5 | 1.09 |
5.00 | -1 | 3.00 |
1.35 | 1 | 1.12 |
2.30 | 0 | 1.63 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.58 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.30: the market is more likely to expect goals from both teams. The Both teams to score - No bet means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.58 |
No | 2.30 |
Double chance prediction
The lowest odds among the double-chance markets are 1.32 for 12. X2 is offered at 1.38, while 1X is at 1.68.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.68 | 1.32 | 1.38 |
Team total prediction
The team-total odds reflect higher expectations for Manchester United's scoring.
Everton team total
Everton team total: at the 0.5 line, Over 0.5 goals at 1.28 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.30; at the 1-goal mark, Over 1 goal at 1.57 is available against 2.30 for Under 1 goal. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.55 is preferable, while Over 1.5 goals is at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.30 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
2.30 | 1 | 1.57 |
1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Manchester United team total
Manchester United team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.15 is notably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.40, while Over 1 goal at 1.32 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 3.10. At the 1.5 line, the odds are almost level: Under 1.5 goals at 1.83 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.92. At the 2-goal mark, Under 2 goals at 1.40 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.80.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.40 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
1.83 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
1.40 | 2 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
John Brooks (England)
Matches - 13 (Premier League, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match - 21;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows - 3.9;
Matches with red cards - 3 out of 13;
Matches with penalties - 5 out of 13.
