Odds overview
Everton are slight favourites: they are available at 2.20 to win, with the draw at 3.55 and Newcastle United at 3.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.05. On a handicap of 0, Everton at 1.60 are favoured over Newcastle United at 2.30.
Why Everton are favourites
The bookmakers favour Everton: a home win is available at 2.20, the draw at 3.55 and a Newcastle United win at 3.20.
- Everton have won three and drawn one of their five home matches across all competitions this season.
- Everton have won three of their previous four meetings with Newcastle United across all competitions.
Form and Line-up Everton
Everton have knocked out Preston North End (4:0) and Wolverhampton Wanderers (1:0) in this season's EFL Cup. They have gone three league matches without a win, although their October schedule has been fairly difficult. First, they surrendered a lead against a rejuvenated Hull City (2:2), then lost without scoring to two London clubs — Chelsea (0:2) and Arsenal (0:2).
- Everton have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Everton have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Under 3.5 goals has landed in 8 of Everton's last 10 home matches across all competitions.
Probable Everton line-up (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Jake O'Brien, James Tarkowski, James Garner, Harrison Armstrong, Hayden Hackney, Tyler Dibling, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyrique George, Thierno Barry
Absentees: Jack Grealish, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mikolenko (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Newcastle United
Newcastle United have knocked out West Bromwich Albion (3:2) and Millwall (1:0) in the 2026/27 EFL Cup. Matthias Jaissle's side scored both winning goals in the 81st minute. In the Premier League, they ended a run of two defeats with a 2:0 away win over Crystal Palace. It was Newcastle United's third win without conceding across all competitions this season.
- Newcastle United have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Newcastle United's opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Newcastle United have scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Probable Newcastle United line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukáš Horníček, Amar Dedić, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall, Nicolás González, Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga, Joe Willock, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa
Absentees: Ewen Jaouen, Tino Livramento (injured)
The teams' chances
Everton are offered at 2.20 to win, with fair odds of 2.31 and an implied probability of 43.3%. The draw is available at 3.55, with fair odds of 3.72 and a probability of 26.9%; Newcastle United are at 3.20, with fair odds of 3.36 and a probability of 29.8%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton win | 2.20 | 2.31 | 43.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
| Newcastle United win | 3.20 | 3.36 | 29.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 is shorter at 1.75 than Under 2.5 at 2.05. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is clearly favoured at 1.42 over Over 3.5 at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Everton (-1.5) are available at 3.60 and Newcastle United (-1.5) at 5.70. On a +1.5 handicap, Everton (+1.5) have shorter odds at 1.09 than Newcastle United (+1.5) at 1.25. Everton (-1) are at 3.00 and Newcastle United (-1) at 4.90; on the +1 line, the respective odds are 1.12 and 1.35. On a handicap of 0, Everton at 1.60 are favoured over Newcastle United at 2.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | -1.5 | 5.70 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 3.00 | -1 | 4.90 |
| 1.12 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.60 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.63, while No is at 2.20: the market slightly favours both sides scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.63 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
29/100
|
67/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Everton at 1.5 goals and Newcastle United at 1 goal.
Everton team goals
For Everton, Over 0.5 goals at 1.18 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.10. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.35 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.85, while the odds at 1.5 are almost equal: Under 1.5 is 1.78 and Over 1.5 is 1.98. At 2 goals, the market favours Under 2 at 1.35 over Over 2 at 2.95.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.85 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.78 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.95 |
Newcastle United team goals
For Newcastle United, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.30 and Under 0.5 at 3.15. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.65 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.18, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.50 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.50.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.18 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Farai Hallam (England)
Matches — 13 (Premier League and English cups, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.8;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 13;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 13.
