Odds overview
Everton are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.62, while the draw is quoted at 4.05 and an away win at 5.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.05. In the handicap market, Wolverhampton (+1.5) at 1.47 have a clear edge over Everton (-1.5) at 2.60.
Why Everton are favourites
The bookmakers' odds favour the home side: Everton to win is quoted at 1.62, the draw is available at 4.05, and Wolverhampton to win at 5.50.
- Everton have been reliable at home in the League Cup, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
- The home side's defensive organisation restricts the visitors' attack: Everton's opponents have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home cup matches.
Form and Line-up Everton
Everton began their cup campaign with a convincing 4:0 win over Preston North End before drawing 0:0 with Tottenham in the league.
In home cup matches, Everton have controlled shots against them confidently: in 9 of 10 games, opponents had fewer than 14 shot attempts, while the combined total for both teams did not exceed 9 shots on target.
- Everton's opponents have taken no more than 5 corners in their last 10 League Cup matches
- Everton have had more than 11 shot attempts, including blocked shots, in 9 of their last 10 League Cup matches
- At home, referees have shown no more than 3 yellow cards in 8 of Everton's last 10 League Cup matches
Probable Everton line-up (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko, Harrison Armstrong, James Garner, Brennan Johnson, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyrique George, Thierno Barry
Form and Line-up Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton have won two successive away matches, beating Sheffield Wednesday 2:0 in the League Cup and Sheffield United 1:0 in the Championship.
In cup matches, the visitors have maintained a high level of intensity, committing at least 10 fouls in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition.
- Wolverhampton have scored at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 10 home League Cup matches
- Wolverhampton have had at least 4 shots on target in their last 10 home League Cup matches
- Wolverhampton have received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home League Cup matches
Probable Wolverhampton line-up (4-2-3-1): Jose Sa, Jackson Tchatchoua, Ladislav Krejci, Nasser Djiga, Hugo Bueno, Marshall Munetsi, Andre, Rodrigo Gomes, Fer Lopez, Mateus Mane, Adam Armstrong
Team chances
Everton to win is available at 1.62, with fair odds of 1.69 and a 59.0% probability. The respective figures for the draw are 4.05, 4.24 and 23.6%, while for Wolverhampton to win they are 5.50, 5.75 and 17.4%: the market rates an Everton victory considerably more highly.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton win | 1.62 | 1.69 | 59.0% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.24 | 23.6% |
| Wolverhampton win | 5.50 | 5.75 | 17.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.05, indicating a slight preference for a scenario with three or more goals. At the 3.5-goal line, however, Under 3.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 2.70.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.05 | 1.78 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Handicap prediction
Everton (-1.5) is available at 2.60, while Wolverhampton (+1.5) is quoted at 1.47. At the one-goal handicap, Everton (-1) is available at 2.02 compared with 1.80 for Wolverhampton (+1). The Draw No Bet market supports the home side more strongly: Everton are at 1.22 and Wolverhampton at 3.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.47 | |
| 2.02 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.80 | |
| 1.22 | 0 | 3.80 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.78 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.00. The market is slightly more likely to expect goals from both teams, although the outcome in which at least one team does not score is also rated closely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
9/50
|
163/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Everton — 1.5 goals, Wolverhampton — 0.5 goals.
Everton team total
Everton team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.08 is strongly favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 6.10, while Over 1 goal at 1.17 is favoured over Under 1 goal at 4.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is available at 1.70 compared with 2.10 for Under 1.5 goals; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.60 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.10 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 4.20 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.25 |
Wolverhampton team total
Wolverhampton team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.58 is favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 2.30. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1 goal at 2.40, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 0.5 | 1.58 |
| 1.55 | 1 | 2.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Thomas Bramall (England)
Matches — 28 (the Premier League and English cups, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.8;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 28;
Matches with penalties — 8 of 28.














