Odds overview
Faroe Islands are slight favourites in the 1X2 market, with a home win at 2.30, while the draw and a Kazakhstan win are offered at around 3.20 and 3.35. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.57 against 2.40 for Over 2.5 goals, suggesting a low-scoring game. Faroe Islands Draw No Bet (0) is 1.63 and Kazakhstan Draw No Bet (0) is 2.30, giving the hosts the edge.
Why Faroe Islands are favourites
A Faroe Islands win is offered at 2.30, the draw at 3.20 and a Kazakhstan win at 3.35.
• Faroe Islands' opponents scored no more than one goal in 8 of the team's last 10 home matches across all competitions.
• Kazakhstan have lost six consecutive halves in away Nations League matches, underlining their difficulties on the road. They failed to score in those halves.
Form and Line-up Faroe Islands
Faroe Islands have been modest scorers, netting no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. The ‘fishermen’ have also been disciplined, committing no more than 12 fouls in 8 of those 10 games.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Faroe Islands' last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Faroe Islands and their opponents received no more than four yellow cards combined in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- No more than 24 fouls were recorded in 9 of Faroe Islands' last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Mattias Lamhauge, Andrias Edmundsson, Gunnar Vatnhamar, Oddmar Færø, Viljormur Davidsen, Géza Dávid Turi, Emil Jönsson, Mattias Hellisdal, Hanus Sørensen, Jóannes Bjartalid, Áki Samuelsen
Form and Line-up Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan are preparing for their matches under John van 't Schip, who took charge only this August. The Dutch coach initially included Anarbekov, Alip, Vorogovskiy, Orazov, Chesnokov, Kenzhebek and Samorodov in his extended squad. However, forward Islam Chesnokov was injured in one of his recent matches for Krylia Sovetov, while Dastan Satpaev has also been recovering from a thigh injury for several weeks and was left out of the final 26-man squad.
- Kazakhstan scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- At least two goals were scored in 7 of Kazakhstan's last 10 matches across all competitions.
- No more than four goals were scored in 9 of Kazakhstan's last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Temirlan Anarbekov, Yan Vorogovskiy, Nuraly Alip, Damir Kasabulat, Aleksandr Mrynskiy, Galymzhan Kenzhebek, Ramazan Orazov, Bauyrzhan Islamkhan, Maksim Samorodov, Ramazan Karimov, Artur Shushenachev
Absentees: Islam Chesnokov, Alibek Kasym, Dastan Satpaev (injured)
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Faroe Islands a 41.6% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.30 and fair odds of 2.41. The draw is rated at 29.9%, with average odds of 3.20 and fair odds of 3.35; Kazakhstan's chance of winning is 28.5%, with corresponding odds of 3.35 and 3.50.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.6% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.35 | 29.9% |
| Kazakhstan win | 3.35 | 3.50 | 28.5% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.57, compared with 2.40 for Over 2.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals has a slight edge at 1.80 against 1.97 for Under 2 goals. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is considerably shorter at 1.17, while Over 3.5 goals is 4.20.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.57 | 2.40 |
| 2 | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.17 | 4.20 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Faroe Islands (-1.5) are offered at 4.50 and Kazakhstan (-1.5) at 7.10. With a +1.5 handicap, the odds are 1.05 for Faroe Islands (+1.5) and 1.15 for Kazakhstan (+1.5). At -1, Faroe Islands (-1) are 3.65 and Kazakhstan (-1) are 6.10; at +1, the respective odds are 1.08 and 1.25. On the zero-handicap line, Faroe Islands (0) at 1.63 are favoured over Kazakhstan (0) at 2.30.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | -1.5 | 7.10 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.65 | -1 | 6.10 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.63 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No has shorter odds of 1.75, compared with 2.03 for Both teams to score — Yes, so the market favours at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.03 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
33/100
|
9/25
|
57/100
|
| William Hill |
33/100
|
9/25
|
3/5
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
9/25
|
3/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Faroe Islands — 1 goal; Kazakhstan — 1 goal.
Faroe Islands team total goals
Faroe Islands' team total: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.32, against 3.10 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is offered at 1.73 and Under 1 goal at 2.05; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is shorter at 1.45, while Over 1.5 goals is 2.60.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
| 2.05 | 1 | 1.73 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
Kazakhstan team total goals
Kazakhstan's team total: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.53, against 2.45 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is favoured at 1.60, compared with 2.30 for Over 1 goal; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.25 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.45.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 0.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.60 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.45 |
