Odds overview
The Faroe Islands are slight favourites in the 1X2 market, with a home win at 2.30, a draw at around 3.20 and a Kazakhstan win at around 3.35. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.57, compared with 2.40 for Over 2.5 goals, suggesting a low-scoring match. In the Draw No Bet (0) market, the Faroe Islands are at 1.63 and Kazakhstan at 2.30, giving the hosts the edge.
Why the Faroe Islands are favourites
A Faroe Islands win is offered at 2.30, a draw at 3.20 and a Kazakhstan win at 3.35.
• The Faroe Islands' opponents scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
• Kazakhstan have lost six consecutive away halves in the Nations League, underlining their struggles on the road. They also failed to score in that run.
Form and Line-up Faroe Islands
The Faroe Islands have been modest in attack, scoring no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. The team have also been disciplined, committing no more than 12 fouls in 8 of those 10 matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of the Faroe Islands' last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- The Faroe Islands and their opponents received no more than four yellow cards combined in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- No more than 24 fouls were recorded in 9 of the Faroe Islands' last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable Faroe Islands line-up (3-4-3): Mattias Lamhauge, Andrias Edmundsson, Gunnar Vatnhamar, Oddmar Færø, Viljormur Davidsen, Géza Dávid Turi, Emil Jönsson, Mattias Hellisdal, Hanus Sørensen, Jóannes Bjartalid, Áki Samuelsen
Form and Line-up Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan are preparing for their matches under John van 't Schip, who took charge only this August. The Dutch coach initially included Anarbekov, Alip, Vorogovskiy, Orazov, Chesnokov, Kenzhebek and Samorodov in his extended squad. However, forward Islam Chesnokov was injured in one of his recent matches for Krylia Sovetov, while Dastan Satpaev has also been recovering from a thigh injury for several weeks and was left out of the final 26-man squad.
- Kazakhstan scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- At least two goals were scored in 7 of Kazakhstan's last 10 matches across all competitions.
- No more than four goals were scored in 9 of Kazakhstan's last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable Kazakhstan line-up (4-3-3): Temirlan Anarbekov, Yan Vorogovskiy, Nuraly Alip, Damir Kasabulat, Aleksandr Mrynskiy, Galymzhan Kenzhebek, Ramazan Orazov, Bauyrzhan Islamkhan, Maksim Samorodov, Ramazan Karimov, Artur Shushenachev
Absentees: Islam Chesnokov, Alibek Kasym, Dastan Satpaev (injured)
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives the Faroe Islands a 41.6% chance, with average odds of 2.30 and fair odds of 2.41. A draw is rated at 29.9%, with average odds of 3.20 and fair odds of 3.35; Kazakhstan's chance of winning is 28.5%, with corresponding odds of 3.35 and 3.50.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.6% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.35 | 29.9% |
| Kazakhstan win | 3.35 | 3.50 | 28.5% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.57, compared with 2.40 for Over 2.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals is slightly favoured at 1.80, against 1.97 for Under 2 goals. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is much shorter at 1.17, while Over 3.5 goals is offered at 4.20.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.57 | 2.40 |
| 2 | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.17 | 4.20 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, the Faroe Islands (-1.5) are available at 4.50 and Kazakhstan (-1.5) at 7.10. At +1.5, the odds are 1.05 for the Faroe Islands (+1.5) and 1.15 for Kazakhstan (+1.5). At -1, the Faroe Islands (-1) are at 3.65 and Kazakhstan (-1) at 6.10; at +1, the respective odds are 1.08 and 1.25. At handicap (0), Faroe Islands Draw No Bet at 1.63 is favoured over Kazakhstan Draw No Bet at 2.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | -1.5 | 7.10 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.65 | -1 | 6.10 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.63 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No is shorter at 1.75 than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.03, so the market leans towards at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.03 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
3/10
|
91/100
|
| William Hill |
33/100
|
9/25
|
3/5
|
| 888sport |
9/50
|
3/10
|
1/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Faroe Islands — 1 goal; Kazakhstan — 1 goal.
Faroe Islands team total goals
For the Faroe Islands' team total, Over 0.5 goals is at 1.32, compared with 3.10 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is at 1.73 and Under 1 goal at 2.05; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is shorter at 1.45, while Over 1.5 goals is at 2.60.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
| 2.05 | 1 | 1.73 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
Kazakhstan team total goals
For Kazakhstan's team total, Over 0.5 goals is at 1.53, compared with 2.45 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is favoured at 1.60 over Over 1 goal at 2.30; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is at 1.25 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.45.
| Under | Team goal line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 0.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.60 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ishmael Barbara (Malta)
Matches — 7 (International Matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.3;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 7;
Matches with a penalty — 2 of 7.















