Odds overview
Slovakia are favourites: a Slovakia win is available at 1.62, compared with 5.60 for the Faroe Islands, while the draw is 3.70. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.56 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.30. On the handicap, the Faroe Islands (1) at 1.66 look preferable to Slovakia (1) at 2.12.
Why Slovakia are favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: a Slovakia win is offered at 1.62, compared with 3.70 for the draw and 5.60 for a Faroe Islands win.
• Slovakia have made a strong start to the tournament, winning twice in a row — against Moldova (2:0) and Kazakhstan (2:1).
• The Faroe Islands have yet to win in the current competition, drawing both their matches — 1:1 with Kazakhstan and 1:1 with Moldova.
Form and Line-up Faroe Islands
The Faroe Islands are resilient at home, having avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
The islanders make extensive use of the flanks and throw-ins, ranking third in the league for average throw-ins (25.0). The coaching staff also made five changes to the starting line-up before the recent match against Moldova.
- The Faroe Islands took more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were fewer than 5.5 yellow cards in 8 of the Faroe Islands' last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- The total number of fouls was below 23.5 in 9 of the Faroe Islands' last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Faroe Islands line-up (5-4-1): Mattias Lamhauge, Jann Benjaminsen, Samuel Chukwudi, Gunnar Vatnhamar, Andrias Edmundsson, Viljormur Davidsen, Áki Samuelsen, Géza Dávid Turi, Mattias Hellisdal, Hanus Sørensen, Adrian Justinussen
Form and Line-up Slovakia
Slovakia have been consistent in the UEFA Nations League, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition.
Slovakia have been extremely solid defensively: opponents have recorded just 0.31 xG against them, one of the three best figures in the league. There were also more than 7.5 corners in 9 of Slovakia's last 10 matches.
- Slovakia took more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were fewer than 3.5 offsides in 8 of Slovakia's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Slovakia's opponents received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Slovakia line-up (4-3-3): Martin Dúbravka, Martin Valjent, Milan Škriniar, Adam Obert, David Hancko, Tomáš Suslov, Stanislav Lobotka, Ondrej Duda, Mário Sauer, David Strelec, Lukas Haraslin
The teams' chances
A Slovakia win is quoted at 1.62; its margin-free probability is 57.9%, with fair odds of 1.73. The figures for the draw are 3.70, 25.4% and 3.94, and for a Faroe Islands win they are 5.60, 16.7% and 5.97: Slovakia remain clear favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands win | 5.60 | 5.97 | 16.7% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.94 | 25.4% |
| Slovakia win | 1.62 | 1.73 | 57.9% |
Total goals analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.56 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.30. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is 1.75 against 2.00 for Under 2, while at 3.5 the market sees a high-scoring match as unlikely: Under 3.5 is 1.18 and Over 3.5 is 4.15.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.56 | 2.30 |
| 2 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.18 | 4.15 |
Handicap analysis
The Faroe Islands handicap (1) is available at 1.66, while Slovakia's handicap (1) is 2.12: the market gives the home side's handicap option a slightly better chance.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | 1 | 2.12 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
83/100
|
33/100
|
17/100
|
| William Hill |
29/20
|
1/4
|
3/25
|
| 888sport |
91/100
|
9/25
|
9/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals analysis
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Faroe Islands — 0.5 goals; Slovakia — 1.5 goals.
Faroe Islands team total goals
For the Faroe Islands' team total, Under 0.5 and Over 0.5 are almost level at 1.86 and 1.88 respectively. Under 1.5 at 1.13 is much shorter than Over 1.5 at 4.85; Over 2.5 is available at 9.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 0.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 4.85 |
| 2.5 | 9.50 |
Slovakia team total goals
For Slovakia's team total, Over 0.5 at 1.20 is much more likely than Under 0.5 at 3.95. The odds at the 1.5-goal line are close — 1.76 for Under and 1.99 for Over; Under 2.5 at 1.21 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 at 3.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 1.76 | 1.5 | 1.99 |
| 1.21 | 2.5 | 3.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Mohammed Al-Hakim (Sweden)
Matches — 10 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) — 4;
Matches with a red card — 1 in 10;
Matches with a penalty — 2 in 10.
Mattias Lamhauge
Andrias Edmundsson
Gunnar Vatnhamar
Hanus Sørensen
Jóannes Danielsen
Martin Agnarsson
Géza Dávid Turi
Poul Kallsberg
Joannes Bjartalid
Petur Knudsen
Ari Petersen
Bárður á Reynatrøð
Heini Vatnsdal
Samuel Chukwudi
Mattias Hellisdal
Aron Benjaminsen
Adrian Justinussen
Dominik Greif
Ivan Mesík
Denis Vavro
Martin Valjent
Milan Škriniar
Stanislav Lobotka
Tomáš Rigo
Dávid Ďuriš
Leo Sauer
Dominik Takáč
Martin Dúbravka
Dávid Hancko
Ľubomír Šatka
Lukáš Haraslín
Ondrej Duda
Erik Prekop
Adrián Kaprálik
David Strelec
Ivan Schranz
Tomáš Bobček
