Odds overview
Slovakia are favourites: their win is available at 1.62, compared with 5.60 for a Faroe Islands win, while the draw is 3.70. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured at 1.56, while Over 2.5 goals is 2.30. In the handicap market, the Faroe Islands (+1) at 1.66 look preferable to Slovakia (+1) at 2.12.
Why Slovakia are favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Slovakia are 1.62 to win, while the draw is offered at 3.70 and a Faroe Islands victory at 5.60.
• Slovakia have started the competition confidently with two consecutive wins — against Moldova (2:0) and Kazakhstan (2:1).
• The Faroe Islands are yet to win in this edition, drawing both their matches — 1:1 with Kazakhstan and 1:1 with Moldova.
Form and Line-up Faroe Islands
The Faroe Islands are tough to beat at home: they have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
The islanders make extensive use of the flanks and throw-ins, ranking third in the league for average throw-ins (25.0). The coaching staff also made five changes to the starting line-up before the recent match against Moldova.
- The Faroe Islands won more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were fewer than 5.5 yellow cards in 8 of the Faroe Islands' last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were fewer than 23.5 fouls in 9 of the Faroe Islands' last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Faroe Islands line-up (5-4-1): Mattias Lamhauge, Jann Benjaminsen, Samuel Chukwudi, Gunnar Vatnhamar, Andrias Edmundsson, Viljormur Davidsen, Áki Samuelsen, Géza Dávid Turi, Mattias Hellisdal, Hanus Sørensen, Adrian Justinussen
Form and Line-up Slovakia
Slovakia have been consistent in the UEFA Nations League, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition.
The team have been exceptionally solid defensively: their opponents' expected goals tally (0.31 xG) is among the three lowest in the league. There were also more than 7.5 corners in 9 of Slovakia's last 10 matches.
- Slovakia won more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were fewer than 3.5 offsides in 8 of Slovakia's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Slovakia's opponents received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Slovakia line-up (4-3-3): Martin Dúbravka, Martin Valjent, Milan Škriniar, Adam Obert, David Hancko, Tomáš Suslov, Stanislav Lobotka, Ondrej Duda, Mário Sauer, David Strelec, Lukas Haraslin
The teams' chances
A Slovakia win is quoted at 1.62; its fair probability is 57.9%, with fair odds of 1.73. For the draw, the figures are 3.70, 25.4% and 3.94; for a Faroe Islands win, they are 5.60, 16.7% and 5.97. Slovakia remain clear favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands to win | 5.60 | 5.97 | 16.7% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.94 | 25.4% |
| Slovakia to win | 1.62 | 1.73 | 57.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is markedly shorter at 1.56 than Over at 2.30. At the 2-goal line, Over is 1.75 versus 2.00 for Under, while at 3.5 goals the market sees a high-scoring match as unlikely: Under is 1.18 and Over is 4.15.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.56 | 2.30 |
| 2 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.18 | 4.15 |
Handicap prediction
The Faroe Islands (+1) are available at 1.66, while Slovakia (+1) are 2.12: the market rates the home side's handicap option somewhat more highly.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | 1 | 2.12 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
6/5
|
1/4
|
13/100
|
| 888sport |
5/4
|
29/100
|
3/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team-goals lines for this match: Faroe Islands — 0.5 goals; Slovakia — 1.5 goals.
Faroe Islands team goals
For Faroe Islands team goals, Under and Over 0.5 are almost evenly matched at 1.86 and 1.88 respectively. Under 1.5 at 1.13 is much more favoured than Over 1.5 at 4.85; Over 2.5 is available at 9.50.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 0.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 4.85 |
| 2.5 | 9.50 |
Slovakia team goals
For Slovakia team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.20 is far more likely than Under 0.5 at 3.95. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close — 1.76 for Under and 1.99 for Over; Under 2.5 at 1.21 is markedly shorter than Over 2.5 at 3.85.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 1.76 | 1.5 | 1.99 |
| 1.21 | 2.5 | 3.85 |
