Odds overview
Riga are favourites at around 1.92, with the draw at 3.55 and a Kairat Almaty win at 4.10. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Under 2.5 at 1.80 is favoured over Over 2.5 at 2.00. For a handicap of 0, Riga at 1.40 are considerably shorter than Kairat Almaty at 2.80.
Why Riga are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Riga win is offered at 1.92, compared with 4.10 for Kairat Almaty and 3.55 for the draw.
- Riga are solid defensively at home in the UEFA Conference League: in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the competition, the Latvian club's opponents scored no more than one goal.
- Kairat Almaty struggle to create chances away from home: in their last 10 away matches across all competitions, they have never managed more than five shots on target.
Form and Line-up Riga
In their last competitive match on 10 October 2026, Riga beat Tukums 2000 2:0 away from home, thanks to goals from Reginaldo Ramires and Mohamed Badamosi.
In home UEFA Conference League matches, the Latvian club are also disciplined without the ball: Riga's opponents had fewer than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 home games, while visiting teams were caught offside no more than twice in the last 10.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in Riga's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- Riga's opponents managed no more than 5 shots on target in their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- Riga were not beaten on corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Probable line-up: Kenan Pirić, Karl Gameni Wassom, Iago Siqueira Augusto, Reginaldo Ramires de Oliveira Albertino, Andres Salazar Osorio, Zin-Eddine Oulad M'hand, Meissa Diop, Maksims Toņiševs, Antonijs Černomordijs, Ahmed Awua Ankrah, Caio Ferreira Martins.
Form and Line-up Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty come into the match after a 1:0 home win over Zhetysu Taldykorgan, with Marc Gual scoring the only goal in the 87th minute.
- Kairat Almaty's opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
- Kairat Almaty had fewer than 13.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
- Kairat Almaty committed fewer fouls than their opponents in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up: Temirlan Anarbekov, Luis Mata, Lucas Áfrico, Aleksandr Martynovich, Lev Kurgin, Jaakko Oksanen, Olzhas Baybek, Gustavo Mendonça, Oiva Jukkola, N. Nurbol, Marc Gual.
The teams' chances
A Riga win is quoted at 1.92, with fair odds of 2.01 and a 49.8% probability. For the draw, the figures are 3.55, 3.71 and 26.9%; for a Kairat Almaty win, they are 4.10, 4.29 and 23.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riga win | 1.92 | 2.01 | 49.8% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.71 | 26.9% |
| Kairat Almaty win | 4.10 | 4.29 | 23.3% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.80 and Over 2.5 at 2.00, so the under is favoured. For the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.30 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 3.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap prediction
Riga (-1.5) are offered at 3.30, compared with 7.80 for Kairat Almaty (-1.5). At +1.5, Riga are quoted at 1.04 and Kairat Almaty at 1.30; at -1, the respective odds are 2.70 and 6.80. For a +1 handicap, the odds are 1.06 for Riga and 1.47 for Kairat Almaty, while at 0, Riga at 1.40 are shorter than Kairat Almaty at 2.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | -1.5 | 7.80 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.70 | -1 | 6.80 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.40 | 0 | 2.80 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is quoted at 1.85, and Both teams to score — No at 1.90. The odds give a slight edge to both teams scoring; the No option means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/50
|
29/100
|
91/100
|
| William Hill |
1/4
|
3/10
|
4/5
|
| 888sport |
1/4
|
3/10
|
4/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Riga — 1.5 goals; Kairat Almaty — 1 goal.
Riga team goals
Riga team goals: Under 0.5 is offered at 4.10 and Over 0.5 at 1.18; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 2.90 and 1.35. At 1.5, Under is quoted at 1.75 and Over at 2.03, while at 2 goals the odds are 1.32 and 3.05 — the odds strongly favour the hosts scoring at least once.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.03 |
| 1.32 | 2 | 3.05 |
Kairat Almaty team goals
Kairat Almaty team goals: Under 0.5 is quoted at 2.45 and Over 0.5 at 1.52. At the 1-goal line, Under is offered at 1.65 compared with 2.20 for Over, while at 1.5 the odds are 1.30 and 3.30 respectively — the odds lean towards a limited number of goals for the visitors.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 0.5 | 1.52 |
| 1.65 | 1 | 2.20 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.30 |
