Odds Overview
Riga are clear favourites: the home win is around 1.43, while the draw is 4.60 and the away win is 6.60. In the main totals market, over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is notably shorter than under 2.5 goals at 2.25. Riga Draw No Bet at 1.14 looks substantially more likely than KÍ Klaksvík Draw No Bet at 4.60.
Why Riga are favourites for the match
A Riga win is priced at 1.43, the draw at 4.60 and a KÍ Klaksvík victory at 6.60. The reasons for these odds are:
- Historic motivation. Riga remain the only Latvian club at this stage of European competition and still have the chance to reach the main tournament for the first time in their history.
- Disciplined home defence. In 9 of their 10 home matches, opponents have managed no more than 4 shots on target.
- The opposition's workload. KÍ Klaksvík travel to Latvia after a demanding domestic league match.
Form and Line-up Riga
In the previous round, Riga overcame Hungarian side ETO FC Gyor on aggregate (1:0, 1:1), before drawing 0:0 with KÍ Klaksvík in the first leg. The Latvian side looked decent, registering 13 shots, including 5 on target, compared with 6 by the Faroese. Before the second leg, Riga drew 3:3 with RFS in the Latvian league, scoring three times from 2.29 xG.
Key numbers:
- Unbeaten in 12 consecutive matches.
Both teams to score - Yes has landed in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Fewer than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 5 of their previous 7 matches.
Probable Riga line-up (4-3-3): Frenks Orols — Raivis Jurkovskis, Baba Musah, Paulo Eduardo, Andres Salazar — Iago Siqueira, Karl Gameni Wassom, Ahmed Ankrah — Meissa Diop, Reginaldo Ramires, Raki Aouani.
Absentees: —.
Form and Line-up KÍ Klaksvík
KÍ Klaksvík dropped into the Conference League after being eliminated from the Europa League by Lech Poznan (0:1, 0:5). The Faroese side began their Conference League campaign with a 0:0 draw against Riga, then drew 2:2 with Runavik in the league.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of their last 10 away matches, they have registered no more than 4 shots on target.
- Unbeaten in 3 consecutive matches.
- They have conceded at least one goal in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Probable KÍ Klaksvík line-up (3-4-2-1): Mark Jensen — Mansour Sinyan, Gilli Sorensen, Gaston Tellechea — Joannes Danielsen, Hallur Hansson, Osama Ali, Jean Carlos — Arni Frederiksberg, Jonn Johannesen — Pall Klettskard.
Absentees: —.
Team Chances
The home win is priced at 1.43; the margin-free price is 1.53, with a probability of 65.5%. The corresponding figures for the draw are 4.60, 4.91 and 20.4%, and for the away win they are 6.60, 7.05 and 14.2%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
Riga win | 1.43 | 1.53 | 65.5% |
Draw | 4.60 | 4.91 | 20.4% |
KÍ Klaksvík win | 6.60 | 7.05 | 14.2% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is shorter than under 2.5 goals at 2.25. On the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, under 3.5 goals is 1.50 and over 3.5 goals is 2.40.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.25 | 1.60 |
3.5 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Handicap Prediction
Riga (-1.5) is available at 2.10, while KÍ Klaksvík (+1.5) is 1.70. Riga (-1) is priced at 1.63 and KÍ Klaksvík (+1) at 2.13. In the Draw No Bet market, Riga at 1.14 is considerably shorter than KÍ Klaksvík at 4.60.
Home | Handicap | Away |
2.10 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.70 |
1.63 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 2.13 |
1.14 | 0 | 4.60 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is priced at 1.80, while both teams to score - No is 1.95; the market leans slightly towards both teams scoring.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.80 |
No | 1.95 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X is priced at 1.09, 12 at 1.18 and X2 at 2.70. The market considers 1X the most likely double-chance outcome.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.09 | 1.18 | 2.70 |
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Riga — 2 goals; KÍ Klaksvík — 0.5 goals.
Riga Team Total
Riga: under 0.5 goals — 7.20, over 0.5 goals — 1.05; under 1.5 goals — 2.50, over 1.5 goals — 1.45. At the 2-goal line, the odds are equal: under 2 goals and over 2 goals are both 1.85. At the 2.5-goal line, under 2.5 goals is 1.47 and over 2.5 goals is 2.50.
Under | Team total | Over |
7.20 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
2.50 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
1.85 | 2 | 1.85 |
1.47 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
KÍ Klaksvík Team Total
KÍ Klaksvík: under 0.5 goals — 2.20, over 0.5 goals — 1.60. Under 1 goal is available at 1.40, compared with 2.70 for over 1 goal, while under 1.5 goals is 1.18 compared with 4.10 for over 1.5 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.20 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
1.40 | 1 | 2.70 |
1.18 | 1.5 | 4.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Allard Lindhout (Netherlands)
Matches — 6 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 5.5;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 6;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 6.
