Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Thun to win are slight favourites at 2.40: Hearts to win are available at 2.85 and the draw at 3.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.40. At a handicap of 0, Thun at 1.75 have shorter odds than Hearts at 2.10.
Why Thun are favourites
Bookmakers favour Thun: a home win is offered at 2.40, a Hearts win at 2.85 and a draw at 3.60.
- Thun are active in attack: they have taken more than 11.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Hearts have struggled to pick up wins: they have failed to win 7 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Form and Line-up Thun
On 1 November, Thun won a high-scoring away encounter with Lausanne in the Swiss league — 5:4. Before that, on 25 October, they lost at home to Lugano (2:3).
In Europe, Thun lost at home to Hajduk Split on 22 October — 0:1.
- Thun have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Thun's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of Thun's last 10 home matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up: Niklas Steffen, Fabio Fehr, Marco Bürki, Jan Bamert, Olivier Mambwa, Nils Reichmuth, Justin Roth, Mattias Käit, Nico Maier, Brighton Labeau, Furkan Dursun
Thun will be without Louis Passavant, Fabio Saiz and Genís Montolio through injury.
Form and Line-up Hearts
Hearts lost at home to Hibernian on 1 November — 1:2. They also failed to win at home on 28 October, drawing 2:2 with Rangers.
On 25 October, however, the Scottish side beat Motherwell away (2:0). They failed to score in their European match on 22 October, losing away to Trabzonspor — 0:2.
- Hearts have scored more than 0.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 8 of Hearts' last 10 away matches in the Conference League.
Probable line-up: Bo Royce, Stephen Kingsley, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Jamie McCart, Rogers Mato, Sabah Kerjota, Jordi Altena, Severin Sabri Guendouz, Joshua McPake, Cláudio Braga, James Wilson
Hearts have Harry Milne, Tom Renaud, Christian Borchgrevink, Blair Spittal and Craig Halkett out injured.
Teams' chances
Thun to win have average odds of 2.40, fair odds of 2.51 and a probability of 39.9%. For Hearts to win, the figures are 2.85, fair odds of 2.98 and 33.6%; for the draw, they are 3.60, 3.76 and 26.6%, respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thun to win | 2.40 | 2.51 | 39.9% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.76 | 26.6% |
| Hearts to win | 2.85 | 2.98 | 33.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal mark, Over at 1.55 is favoured considerably more than Under at 2.40. At 3.5 goals, the market is closer to even: Under is 1.62 and Over is 2.30.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
In the handicap market, Thun (-1.5) are available at 3.60 and Hearts (-1.5) at 4.80. The odds are shorter for a +1.5 handicap: Thun (+1.5) are 1.13 and Hearts (+1.5) are 1.25. At -1, Thun (-1) are offered at 3.10 and Hearts (-1) at 4.10; at +1, Thun (+1) are 1.18 and Hearts (+1) are 1.32. At a handicap of 0, Thun at 1.75 have shorter odds than Hearts at 2.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | -1.5 | 4.80 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 3.10 | -1 | 4.10 |
| 1.18 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.75 | 0 | 2.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.47 looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.60, which would mean at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.47 |
| No | 2.60 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
29/100
|
67/100
|
| William Hill |
2/5
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals totals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals totals for this match: Thun — 1.5 goals, Hearts — 1.5 goals.
Thun team goals total
For Thun's team goals total, Over 0.5 at 1.17 has substantially shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 4.15. At 1 goal, Over is 1.35 and Under is 2.90; at 1.5, the odds are almost equal: Under is 1.82 and Over is 1.93. At 2 goals, Under at 1.40 is favoured over Over at 2.75.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.82 | 1.5 | 1.93 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.75 |
Hearts team goals total
For Hearts' team goals total, Over 0.5 at 1.23 has noticeably shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 3.75. At 1 goal, Over is available at 1.50 and Under at 2.45; at 1.5, Under at 1.67 has shorter odds than Over at 2.15. At 2 goals, Under is 1.27, while Over is 3.40.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | 0.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.45 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
| 1.27 | 2 | 3.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Kyriakos Athanasiou (Cyprus)
Matches — 9 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.4;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 5 of 9.
