Odds overview
Finland are favourites: a Finland win is available at around 1.75, a draw at 3.50 and a Belarus win at 5.10. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.55 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.45. Finland Draw No Bet (0) at 1.28 is quoted substantially shorter than Belarus Draw No Bet (0) at 3.35.
Why Finland are favourites
The bookmakers favour the hosts: Finland are available to win at 1.75, compared with 5.10 for Belarus and 3.50 for a draw.
• Belarus have lost or drawn 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches, falling short of their opponents in quality and results.
• The visitors struggle to create chances and have had no more shot attempts than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Finland
Finland's first halves tend to be restrained: no more than three goals have been scored before the break in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Finland took fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Finland committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were fewer than 5.5 yellow cards in 9 of Finland's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Viljami Sinisalo, Topi Keskinen, Ville Koski, Samuli Miettinen, Juho Lähteenmäki, Kaan Kairinen, Adam Markhiev, Leo Walta, Adrian Svanbäck, Joel Pohjanpalo, Benjamin Källman
Form and Line-up Belarus
Belarus aim to slow the tempo as much as possible and defend tightly away from home: in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches, their opponents had fewer than five shots on target, while Belarus themselves were limited to no more than 13 shot attempts.
- There were more than 24.5 fouls in 9 of Belarus's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were more than 2.5 offsides in 8 of Belarus's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- The teams received more than 3.5 yellow cards in 9 of Belarus's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Fedor Lapoukhov, Kirill Pechenin, Igor Tikhomirov, Zakhar Volkov, Vladislav Kalinin, Aleksandr Selyava, Max Ebong, Yegor Malashevich, Valery Gromyko, Artyom Kontsevoy, German Barkovskiy
The teams' chances
Finland to win at 1.75 corresponds to fair odds of 1.84 and a probability of 54.3%; the draw at 3.50 corresponds to 3.69 and 27.1%; and Belarus to win at 5.10 corresponds to 5.37 and 18.6%. The hosts remain clear favourites.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finland win | 1.75 | 1.84 | 54.3% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.69 | 27.1% |
| Belarus win | 5.10 | 5.37 | 18.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.45. The odds are close at the 2-goal line: Under 2 goals is 1.91 and Over 2 goals is 1.83. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.15 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 4.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.55 | 2.45 |
| 2 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
| 3.5 | 1.15 | 4.40 |
Handicap prediction
Finland (-1.5) at 3.40 has longer odds than Belarus (+1.5) at 1.27. Similarly, Finland (-1) at 2.60 is longer than Belarus (+1) at 1.50. For the zero handicap, Finland (0) is available at 1.28 and Belarus (0) at 3.35.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.27 | |
| 2.60 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.50 | |
| 1.28 | 0 | 3.35 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No at 1.60 is considered more likely than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.25: at least one team is expected not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.25 |
| No | 1.60 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
29/100
|
1/1
|
| 888sport |
7/50
|
3/10
|
11/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Finland — 1.5 goals; Belarus — 0.5 goals.
Finland team total goals
Finland team total goals: Under 0.5 goals at 3.80 is considerably longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.22; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 2.55 and Over 1 goal is 1.48. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is 1.65 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.17; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.25 is markedly shorter than Over 2 goals at 3.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.55 | 1 | 1.48 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.17 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.55 |
Belarus team total goals
Belarus team total goals: the odds are close at the 0.5-goal line — Under 0.5 goals at 1.92 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.82. Under 1 goal at 1.30 is considerably shorter than Over 1 goal at 3.30, while Under 1.5 goals at 1.14 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 4.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.92 | 0.5 | 1.82 |
| 1.30 | 1 | 3.30 |
| 1.14 | 1.5 | 4.70 |
