Odds overview
Juventus to win at 2.08 is the clear favourite over Fiorentina to win at 3.50 and the draw at 3.55. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at around 1.80, while Under 2.5 goals is 2.02. In the main handicap market, Juventus (0) at 1.53 are considerably shorter than Fiorentina (0) at 2.50.
Why Juventus are favourites
Juventus are the bookmakers' favourites — an away win is available at 2.08. Fiorentina to win is 3.50, while the draw is 3.55.
- Juventus have consistently picked up points this season: they have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Fiorentina have failed to win 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
Form and Line-up Fiorentina
Fiorentina ended their winless run in the previous league round — beating Sassuolo 4:2 away from home. Before that, they drew 2:2 at home with Atalanta.
Franco Mastantuono stands out in the hosts' attack: he has scored 4 goals in 10 Serie A matches, playing 789 minutes.
- Fiorentina recorded more than 3.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
- Fiorentina's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
Probable line-up: David de Gea, Alejandro Jiménez, Radu Drăgușin, Vieri, João Mário, Cher Ndour, Nicolò Fagioli, Marco Brescianini, Franco Mastantuono, Mateo Pellegrino, Alieu Njie.
Marin Pongračić is unavailable for Fiorentina with a thigh injury.
Form and Line-up Juventus
Juventus beat AZ Alkmaar 2:1 away on 5 November, having previously beaten Napoli 2:0 at home in the Italian league without conceding.
- Both teams recorded more than 5.5 shots on target in 8 of Juventus's last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Both teams received fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in 9 of Juventus's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up: Guglielmo Vicario, Pierre Kalulu, Bremer, Jhon Lucumí, Juan Cabal, Pape Matar Sarr, Douglas Luiz, Teun Koopmeiners, Randal Kolo Muani, Nick Woltemade, Kerim Alajbegović.
Kenan Yıldız, Khéphren Thuram, Francisco Conceição, Manuel Locatelli, Kamil Grabara, Zeki Celik and Nicolás González will miss out for Juventus through injury, while Arkadiusz Milik is also absent by the coach's decision.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Juventus a 45.9% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.08 and fair odds of 2.18. Fiorentina have a 27.3% chance of winning, with average odds of 3.50 and fair odds of 3.67; the figures for a draw are 26.9%, 3.55 and 3.72 respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina to win | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
| Juventus to win | 2.08 | 2.18 | 45.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.02. At the 3.5-goal line, the picture is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is 1.40, while Over 3.5 goals is 2.75.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap prediction
Fiorentina (-1.5) at 6.10 are at considerably longer odds than Juventus (-1.5) at 3.55. At the +1.5 handicap line, the odds are shorter: Fiorentina (+1.5) are 1.25 and Juventus (+1.5) are 1.08. Fiorentina (-1) at 5.40 are longer than Juventus (-1) at 2.85, while at the +1 line the odds are 1.37 for Fiorentina (+1) and 1.10 for Juventus (+1). At the 0 handicap, Juventus (0) at 1.53 are shorter than Fiorentina (0) at 2.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.10 | -1.5 | 3.55 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| 5.40 | -1 | 2.85 |
| 1.37 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.50 | 0 | 1.53 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.67 is considered more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.13: the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.67 |
| No | 2.13 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/10
|
29/100
|
3/10
|
| LeoVegas |
67/100
|
3/10
|
33/100
|
| 888sport |
3/4
|
3/10
|
3/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines for this match: Fiorentina — 1 goal; Juventus — 1.5 goals.
Fiorentina team total goals
For Fiorentina, Over 0.5 goals at 1.38 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.80. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.77 compared with 1.97 for Under 1 goal. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals at 1.45 is the favourite, while Over 1.5 goals is quoted at 2.65.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| 1.97 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Juventus team total goals
For Juventus, Over 0.5 goals at 1.17 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.15, while Over 1 goal at 1.35 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 2.95. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.75 and Over 1.5 goals at 2.00. At 2 goals, Under 2 goals is 1.35 compared with 2.90 for Over 2 goals.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Andrea Colombo (Italy)
Matches — 18 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.2;
Matches with a red card — 1 out of 18;
Matches with a penalty — 4 out of 18.
