Odds Overview
Besiktas are clear favourites: away win is priced at 1.37, while the draw is rated at 4.80 and home win at 8.00. In the main goals line, Over 2.5 at 1.72 is preferred to Under 2.5 at 2.05. On the handicaps, Besiktas (-1) at 1.55 is notably shorter than Kauno Zalgiris (+1) at 2.30; at Kauno Zalgiris (+1.5) it is 1.73 and Besiktas (-1.5) is 2.05, while the Draw No Bet line is heavily in favour of the visitors — Besiktas (0) 1.10 against Kauno Zalgiris (0) 5.50.
Why Besiktas Are Favourites
Bookmakers give the Turkish club a clear advantage: a Besiktas win is priced at 1.37, while a Kauno Zalgiris victory is available at 8.00.
- Besiktas have built up a solid cushion after winning the first meeting 3:0, and they also recorded two clean-sheet wins over Hradec Kralove in the previous qualifying round.
- Kauno Zalgiris have lost two of their last three official matches, drawing with TransINVEST and losing at home to Dinamo Zagreb.
Form and Line-up Kauno Zalgiris
The hosts come into the second leg after a full week of preparation, during which they did not play any domestic matches.
Key numbers:
- At home, Kauno Zalgiris opponents took no more than 5 corners in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- In 8 of Kauno Zalgiris' last 10 home matches in all competitions, their opponents had fewer than 10.5 shots.
- Kauno Zalgiris received at least 2 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Tomas Svedkauskas — Anton Tolordava — Marko Konatar — Joris Moutachy — Rokas Lekiatas — Amine Benchaib — Vykintas Slivka — Anthony Kalik — Franco Baldassarra — Leon Krekovic — Gabriel Debeljuh.
Eduardas Jurjonas has left the team.
Form and Line-up Besiktas
On 23 August, Besiktas lost 0:1 away to Alanyaspor. The club have three matches to play in eight days.
Head coach Vincenzo Italiano noted that fatigue and the heat took their toll in the second half of the match against Alanyaspor, and that the team struggled to convert their chances.
Key numbers:
- Besiktas' opponents had at least 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Europa League matches.
- Besiktas committed no more than 12 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away UEFA Europa League matches.
- Besiktas received at least 2 yellow cards in their last 10 away UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Alexander Nubel — Taylan Bulut — Emmanuel Agbadou — Emirhan Topcu — Ridvan Yilmaz — Salih Ozcan — Wilfred Ndidi — Orkun Kokcu — Vaclav Cerny — Leandro Trossard — Oh Hyeon-gyu.
Vaclav Cerny and Leandro Trossard are available to take part in the match.
Team Chances
A Besiktas win is priced at 1.37, with a no-margin estimate of 1.46 and a probability of 68.6%. The draw is offered at 4.80, the no-margin estimate is 5.10 and the probability is 19.6%; home win is 8.00, with a no-margin estimate of 8.51 and a probability of 11.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Zalgiris to win | 8.00 | 8.51 | 11.8% |
| Draw | 4.80 | 5.10 | 19.6% |
| Besiktas to win | 1.37 | 1.46 | 68.6% |
Goals Total Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.72 is priced lower than Under 2.5 at 2.05. At 3.5, the preference already shifts to Under 3.5 — 1.42 against 2.65 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap Prediction
Besiktas (-1.5) is available at 2.05, while Kauno Zalgiris (+1.5) is 1.73. Besiktas (-1) is priced at 1.55, while Kauno Zalgiris (+1) is at 2.30. On the Draw No Bet line, Besiktas (0) at 1.10 is notably shorter than Kauno Zalgiris (0) at 5.50.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| — | -1.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.73 | 1.5 | — |
| — | -1 | 1.55 |
| 2.30 | 1 | — |
| 5.50 | 0 | 1.10 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.75 is priced lower than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.03: the market is more inclined to expect at least one team not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.03 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double Chance Prediction
X2 is the most likely double chance at odds of 1.06, 12 is offered at 1.17, and 1X at 2.95.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
39/20
|
17/100
|
3/50
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Kauno Zalgiris — 0.5 goals, Besiktas — 2 goals.
Kauno Zalgiris Team Total
Kauno Zalgiris: on the 0.5 line, Under 0.5 and Over 0.5 are both priced at 1.85. Under 1 at 1.27 is notably lower than Over 1 at 3.40, while Under 1.5 at 1.14 is lower than Over 1.5 at 4.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 0.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.27 | 1 | 3.40 |
| 1.14 | 1.5 | 4.70 |
Besiktas Team Total
Besiktas: Over 0.5 at 1.05 is much shorter than Under 0.5 at 7.40. On the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 is 1.48 against 2.45 for Under 1.5; at 2, Under 2 and Over 2 are both priced at 1.85, while Under 2.5 at 1.48 is lower than Over 2.5 at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.40 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.45 | 1.5 | 1.48 |
| 1.85 | 2 | 1.85 |
| 1.48 | 2.5 | 2.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
Matches - 9 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match - 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) - 4.4;
Matches with red cards - 3 of 9;
Matches with penalties - 6 of 9.
