Odds overview
Sabah Baku are favourites to win at 1.80, while the draw and Hapoel Beer Sheva to win are priced at similar levels — 3.95 and 3.90. In the main total market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 is priced lower than Under 2.5 goals at 1.98. Sabah Baku Draw No Bet at 1.38 is notably preferred to Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No Bet at 2.80.
Why Sabah Baku are match favourites
Bookmakers consider the hosts favourites: Sabah Baku to win is priced at 1.80, Hapoel Beer Sheva to win at 3.90, and the draw at 3.95.
- Sabah Baku have performed confidently at home in the current Champions League qualifying campaign: before travelling to Romania, the Azerbaijani club secured an emphatic 4:0 clean-sheet win.
- The match in Bucharest was played at a neutral venue, so the trip to Baku will be Hapoel's first genuine away test in this tie.
Form and Line-up Sabah Baku
In the first match, Sabah Baku took the lead as early as the sixth minute through Veljko Simic, but could not hold on and lost 1:2 after conceding the decisive goal in the 79th minute.
Summer signing Xander Severina quickly established himself in the Azerbaijani club's starting line-up and started the first match against the Israelis.
Goals remain a defining feature of the team: at least two have been scored in 9 of Sabah's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Key numbers:
- Sabah Baku have won the corner count in 10 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Sabah's opponents have taken no more than 4 corners in 10 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- No more than 5 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of Sabah's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Sabah Baku line-up (4-3-3): Stas Pokatilov — Steve Solvet — Rahman Dashdamirov — Akim Zedadka — Tymoteusz Puchacz — Ivan Lepinjica — Umarali Rakhmonaliev — Aleksey Isayev — Veljko Simic — Xander Severina — Joy-Lance Mickels
Form and Line-up Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva turned the first match around: after conceding an early goal, the team responded through Javon East before half-time and Igor Zlatanovic in the second half.
The Israeli club are enjoying a convincing Champions League qualifying campaign, having won four of their five matches in the competition from late July to mid-August.
The visitors' attack has been consistent throughout the run: at least two goals have been scored in 9 of Hapoel's last 10 matches.
Key numbers:
- Hapoel Beer Sheva have received at least 2 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 away Champions League matches.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva have scored at least one goal in 10 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva's opponents have scored under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Hapoel Beer Sheva line-up (4-3-3): Ofir Marciano — Miguel Vitor — Itay Rotman — Guy Mizrahi — Pedro Amador — Niv Yehoshua — Lucas Ventura — Eliel Peretz — Javon East — Zahi Ahmed — Igor Zlatanovic
Team chances
Sabah Baku to win is priced at 1.80; the margin-free price is 1.92, with a probability of 52.2%. The figures for the draw are 3.95, 4.21 and 23.8%, while for Hapoel Beer Sheva to win they are 3.90, 4.15 and 24.1%: the chances of an away win and a draw are close.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah Baku to win | 1.80 | 1.92 | 52.2% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.21 | 23.8% |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva to win | 3.90 | 4.15 | 24.1% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.98 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.78, so the market slightly favours a higher-scoring scenario. On the 3.5 line, Under is 1.40 against 2.75 for Over, which more strongly favours the lower-scoring option.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap prediction
Sabah Baku (-1.5) is priced at 2.90, compared with 7.40 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (-1.5). For Sabah Baku (+1.5), the odds of 1.05 are lower than 1.35 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (+1.5). On the -1 line, Sabah Baku (-1) is 2.35 and Hapoel Beer Sheva (-1) is 6.50; on the +1 line, Sabah Baku (+1) is 1.07 and Hapoel Beer Sheva (+1) is 1.55. With a zero handicap, Sabah Baku Draw No Bet is priced at 1.38 and Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No Bet at 2.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | -1.5 | 7.40 |
| 1.05 | +1.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.35 | -1 | 6.50 |
| 1.07 | +1 | 1.55 |
| 1.38 | 0 | 2.80 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is priced at 1.70, while Both teams to score - No is 2.07. The lower price for Yes indicates an expectation of goals from both teams; No means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.07 |
Double chance prediction
1X and 12 are priced equally at 1.23, while X2 is 1.95. The market rates scenarios in which Sabah Baku do not lose, as well as a match without a draw, notably higher.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.95 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Sabah Baku — 1.5 goals; Hapoel Beer Sheva — 1 goal.
Sabah Baku team total
Sabah Baku: Under 0.5 goals is 4.80 against 1.13 for Over 0.5 goals; Under 1 is 3.40 and Over 1 is 1.27. On the 1.5 line, the prices are equal: 1.85 for both Under and Over. For the 2-goal line, Under is 1.45 and Over is 2.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.45 | 2 | 2.60 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva team total
Hapoel Beer Sheva: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 2.60 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.45. On the 1-goal line, Under is 1.73 against 1.97 for Over, while on the 1.5 line, Under is 1.35 and Over is 3.00.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.73 | 1 | 1.97 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 3.00 |
