Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the home win at 1.70 is the clear favourite, with the draw at around 4.20 and the away win at 4.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.57 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. In the main handicap market, the home Draw No Bet at 1.30 is shorter than the away Draw No Bet at 3.25.
Why Freiburg are favourites for the match
The bookmakers consider the home side favourites: Freiburg are available at odds of 1.70 to win, while a Borussia Monchengladbach victory is quoted at 4.50.
Freiburg have begun the Bundesliga with two wins and sit second in the table on 6 points, while they have won five consecutive matches in all competitions this season.
Borussia Monchengladbach are 17th with no points after two matchdays and have not won any of their last 10 away matches in the German leagues.
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Freiburg beat Paderborn 1:0 in their last match. Head coach Julian Schuster noted that errors in possession put the team under pressure from their opponents, but they managed to regain control of the game.
In home league matches, Freiburg's opponents score an average of only 0.5 goals, the second-best defensive record in the Bundesliga, and in 8 of 10 home matches their opponents registered no more than five shots on target.
Key numbers:
In 8 of 10 Bundesliga home matches, Freiburg's opponents scored no more than one goal
In 8 of 10 Bundesliga home matches, Freiburg committed no more than 10 fouls
In 10 of 10 Bundesliga home matches, Freiburg received no more than two yellow cards
Probable Freiburg line-up (4-4-2): Mio Backhaus, Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo, Jan-Niklas Beste, Maximilian Eggestein, Yannik Engelhardt, Derry Scherhant, Yuito Suzuki, Igor Matanovic
Form and Line-up Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach lost 3:4 to Elversberg in the previous matchday, despite leading 3:1 during the second half and conceding the equaliser in stoppage time.
Their away problems are systemic: the team concede an average of 3.5 goals away from home — the worst record in the league — have gone 24 consecutive away halves without a win, and were outshot on target by their opponents in each of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Key numbers:
In 9 of 10 Bundesliga away matches, Borussia Monchengladbach scored no more than one goal
In 9 of 10 Bundesliga away matches, Borussia Monchengladbach had no more than four shots on target
In 10 of 10 Bundesliga away matches, Borussia Monchengladbach were outshot on target
Probable Borussia Monchengladbach line-up (4-2-3-1): Moritz Nicolas, Joe Scally, Ko Itakura, Kevin Diks, Lukas Ullrich, Philipp Sander, Mathieu N'Guessan, Franck Honorat, Wael Mohya, Hugo Bolin, Tim Kleindienst
Team chances
Home win: 1.70, fair odds of 1.78 and a probability of 56.1%. The draw is available at 4.20, with fair odds of 4.40 and a probability of 22.7%; the away win is 4.50, with fair odds of 4.72 and a probability of 21.2%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Freiburg to win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.1% |
Draw | 4.20 | 4.40 | 22.7% |
Borussia Monchengladbach to win | 4.50 | 4.72 | 21.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.57 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.35. At the 3.5 line, the situation is reversed: Under 3.5 is 1.58 and Over 3.5 is 2.35.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
3.5 | 1.58 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap, the home handicap (-1.5) is 2.65, while the away handicap (-1.5) is 7.60. At the 1.5 line, the home handicap (+1.5) is shorter at 1.04 versus 1.43 for the away handicap (+1.5). For the -1 handicap, the home handicap (-1) is 2.15 and the away handicap (-1) is 6.60; at the 1 line, the home handicap (+1) is 1.06 and the away handicap (+1) is 1.70. At handicap 0, the home Draw No Bet is 1.30 and the away Draw No Bet is 3.25.
Home | Handicap | Away |
2.65 | -1.5 | 7.60 |
1.04 | 1.5 | 1.43 |
2.15 | -1 | 6.60 |
1.06 | 1 | 1.70 |
1.30 | 0 | 3.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.58 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.30; the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.58 |
No | 2.30 |
Double chance prediction
In the double chance market, 1X is 1.22, 12 is 1.25 and X2 is 2.15. The market considers an outcome without an away win considerably more likely than an outcome in which the away side avoid defeat.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.22 | 1.25 | 2.15 |
Team total prediction
Team totals are presented separately for each side.
Freiburg team total
Freiburg team total: at the 0.5 line, Over 0.5 is 1.09 versus 5.80 for Under 0.5. At 1.5, Over 1.5 is available at 1.62 and Under 1.5 at 2.20; at 2, Under 2 is 1.70 and Over 2 is 2.10. At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 is shorter at 1.42 versus 2.65 for Over 2.5.
Under | Team total | Over |
5.80 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
2.20 | 1.5 | 1.62 |
1.70 | 2 | 2.10 |
1.42 | 2.5 | 2.65 |
Borussia Monchengladbach team total
Borussia Monchengladbach team total: at the 0.5 line, Over 0.5 is 1.40 and Under 0.5 is 2.75. At 1, the odds are almost equal: Under 1 is 1.85 and Over 1 is 1.90. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is 1.38, while Over 1.5 is 2.80.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.85 | 1 | 1.90 |
1.38 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Richard Hempel (Germany)
Matches — 12 (2. Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 5.6;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 12;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 12.
