Odds overview
Freiburg are clear favourites: they are available to win at 1.33, compared with 5.40 for a draw and 9.00 for a Jablonec win. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.52 is much shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.45. Freiburg (-1.5) at 1.82 is shorter than Jablonec (+1.5) at 2.00 in the handicap market.
Why Freiburg are favourites
Bookmakers make Freiburg clear favourites: the German club are available to win at 1.33, compared with 9.00 for Jablonec and 5.40 for a draw.
• The German club have been strong at home, winning 8 of their last 10 home matches.
• Freiburg lead the Bundesliga, ahead of both Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich.
• Jablonec play in a weaker league and are away from home.
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Freiburg enter their European campaign in good form: this autumn in the Bundesliga, the western German side beat Paderborn (1:0), drew away to Eintracht Frankfurt (2:2) and thrashed Borussia Mönchengladbach (5:0). After the international break, Julian Schuster's side beat Schalke 04 2:1 at home, snatching victory despite Yuito Suzuki's dismissal. The Japanese player will be available for the European match. With their rivals dropping points, Freiburg moved top of the Bundesliga after the fifth round of fixtures.
- Freiburg scored more than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions
- There were fewer than 11.5 corners in 9 of Freiburg's last 10 home matches in all competitions
- Freiburg avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions
Probable Freiburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Mio Backhaus, Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo, Yannik Engelhardt, Maximilian Eggestein, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Scherhant, Igor Matanovic
Form and Line-up Jablonec
The Czech club enter the competition on a run of wins without conceding: they beat Dukla Prague away in the domestic cup (1:0) and Zbrojovka Brno by the same score in the Czech First League. Despite their strong defence, Jablonec have been unable to climb above fifth in the table. Head coach Lubos Kozel rotated his side in the last match, resting internationals Saidou Alioum and Jiří Sláma.
- Jablonec had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
- Jablonec players received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
- There were fewer than 8.5 corners in 8 of Jablonec's last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
Probable Jablonec line-up (4-1-4-1): Jan Hanus, Martin Cedidla, Dusan Pavlovic, Nemanja Tekijaški, Jiří Sláma, Vakhtang Chanturishvili, Filip Zorvan, Sebastian Nebyla, Richard Sedláček, Matěj Polidar, Lamin Jawo
Absentees: Kevin-Prince Milla, Klemen Mihelak (injured); Jan Suchan (doubtful)
Teams' chances
Freiburg are quoted at 1.33 to win, with fair odds of 1.39 and a 71.7% probability. A draw is available at 5.40, with fair odds of 5.66 and a 17.7% probability; the corresponding figures for a Jablonec win are 9.00, 9.43 and 10.6%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg to win | 1.33 | 1.39 | 71.7% |
| Draw | 5.40 | 5.66 | 17.7% |
| Jablonec to win | 9.00 | 9.43 | 10.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.52 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.45. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is quoted at 1.62 and Over 3.5 at 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
Freiburg (-1.5) are available at 1.82 and Jablonec (+1.5) at 2.00. At the one-goal handicap line, Freiburg (-1) are quoted at 1.45 and Jablonec (+1) at 2.65; with a zero handicap, Freiburg (0) are available at 1.08 against 6.00 for Jablonec (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.00 | |
| 1.45 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.65 | |
| 1.08 | 0 | 6.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
The market is almost evenly balanced: Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.88 and No at 1.87, so the scenario in which at least one team fails to score is marginally favoured.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.88 |
| No | 1.87 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/20
|
7/50
|
11/4
|
| William Hill |
1/20
|
17/100
|
5/2
|
| 888sport |
1/20
|
17/100
|
5/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Freiburg — 2.5 goals; Jablonec — 0.5 goals.
Freiburg team total goals
For Freiburg's team total, Over 2 goals at 1.62 is shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.20. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.68 against 2.12 for Over 2.5; at 3 goals, Under 3 at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Over 3 at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 2 | 1.62 |
| 1.68 | 2.5 | 2.12 |
| 1.35 | 3 | 2.90 |
Jablonec team total goals
For Jablonec's team total, Over 0.5 goals is quoted at 1.75 against 2.00 for Under 0.5. At the one-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.30 and Over 1 at 3.20; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.15 and Over 1.5 at 4.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.30 | 1 | 3.20 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 4.50 |
