Odds overview
Freiburg are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.33, a draw at 5.40 and a Jablonec win at 9.00. In the 2.5-goal market, Over 2.5 at 1.52 is markedly shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.45. For handicaps, Freiburg (-1.5) at 1.82 are shorter than Jablonec (+1.5) at 2.00.
Why Freiburg are favourites
Bookmakers make Freiburg clear favourites: the German club are offered at 1.33 to win, Jablonec at 9.00 and the draw at 5.40.
• The German club have been strong at home, winning 8 of their last 10 home matches.
• Freiburg lead the Bundesliga, ahead of both Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich.
• Jablonec play in a weaker league and are away from home.
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Freiburg go into their European campaign in good form: this autumn in the Bundesliga, the western German side beat Paderborn (1:0), drew away to Eintracht Frankfurt (2:2) and thrashed Borussia Mönchengladbach (5:0). After the international break, Julian Schuster's side beat Schalke 04 2:1 at home, snatching victory despite Yuito Suzuki's sending-off. The Japanese player will be available for the European match. With their rivals dropping points, Freiburg moved top of the Bundesliga after Matchday 5.
- Freiburg scored more than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions
- There were fewer than 11.5 corners in 9 of Freiburg's last 10 home matches in all competitions
- Freiburg were unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions
Probable Freiburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Mio Backhaus, Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo, Yannik Engelhardt, Maximilian Eggestein, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Scherhant, Igor Matanović
Form and Line-up Jablonec
The Czech club go into the competition on a run of wins without conceding: they beat Dukla Prague away in the domestic cup (1:0) and Zbrojovka by the same score in the Czech First League. Their solid defence has still not lifted Jablonec above fifth in the table. In the last match, head coach Lubos Kozel rotated his side and rested internationals Saidou Alioum and Jiří Sláma.
- Jablonec had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
- Jablonec players received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
- There were fewer than 8.5 corners in 8 of Jablonec's last 10 UEFA Conference League matches
Probable Jablonec line-up (4-1-4-1): Jan Hanus, Martin Cedidla, Dusan Pavlovic, Nemanja Tekijaški, Jiří Sláma, Vakhtang Chanturishvili, Filip Zorvan, Sebastian Nebyla, Richard Sedláček, Matěj Polidar, Lamin Jawo
Absentees: Kevin-Prince Milla, Klemen Mihelak (injured); Jan Suchan (doubtful)
The teams' chances
Freiburg to win are quoted at 1.33, with fair odds of 1.39 and a 71.7% probability. The draw is available at 5.40, with fair odds of 5.66 and a 17.7% probability; the corresponding figures for Jablonec to win are 9.00, 9.43 and 10.6%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg to win | 1.33 | 1.39 | 71.7% |
| Draw | 5.40 | 5.66 | 17.7% |
| Jablonec to win | 9.00 | 9.43 | 10.6% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.52 is markedly shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.45. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is available at 1.62 and Over 3.5 at 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Handicap betting
Freiburg (-1.5) are offered at 1.82 and Jablonec (+1.5) at 2.00. At the one-goal line, Freiburg (-1) are 1.45 and Jablonec (+1) are 2.65; for a zero handicap, Freiburg (0) are 1.08 against 6.00 for Jablonec (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.00 | |
| 1.45 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.65 | |
| 1.08 | 0 | 6.00 |
Both teams to score betting
The market is almost evenly matched: Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.88 and Both teams to score — No at 1.87, so the scenario in which at least one team fails to score is marginally favoured.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.88 |
| No | 1.87 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/25
|
17/100
|
11/4
|
| William Hill |
1/25
|
3/20
|
14/5
|
| 888sport |
1/25
|
3/20
|
14/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Freiburg — 2.5 goals; Jablonec — 0.5 goals.
Freiburg team goals
Freiburg team goals: Over 2 at 1.62 is shorter than Under 2 at 2.20. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is 1.68 against 2.12 for Over 2.5, while at 3 goals, Under 3 at 1.35 is markedly shorter than Over 3 at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 2 | 1.62 |
| 1.68 | 2.5 | 2.12 |
| 1.35 | 3 | 2.90 |
Jablonec team goals
Jablonec team goals: Over 0.5 is available at 1.75 against 2.00 for Under 0.5. At the one-goal line, Under 1 is 1.30 and Over 1 is 3.20; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.15 and Over 1.5 is 4.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.30 | 1 | 3.20 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 4.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Edgars Malcevs (Latvia)
Matches — 7 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 29;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.6;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 7;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 7.
