Odds overview
Freiburg are clear favourites: a home win is available at around 1.65, compared with 4.00 for a draw and 5.20 for a Schalke 04 win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap market, Freiburg (-1.5) at 2.60 looks considerably more likely than Schalke 04 (-1.5) at 8.50.
Why Freiburg are favourites
Bookmaker Fonbet offers odds of 1.65 for a Freiburg win, 4.00 for a draw and 5.20 for a Schalke 04 win.
- Freiburg have defended reliably at the start of the season, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per game (third-best in the Bundesliga) and winning 5.25 corners per match.
- Schalke 04 have struggled to score, averaging 0.75 goals per Bundesliga game (joint second-lowest) while conceding 1 goal per match.
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Freiburg have shown defensive discipline in their Bundesliga home matches: opponents have managed no more than 5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 home games, while Freiburg have received no more than two yellow cards in 10 consecutive matches.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 9 of Freiburg's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- Freiburg's opponents have committed more than 10.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- Freiburg have been caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Freiburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Jannik Huth, Lukas Kübler, Matthias Ginter, Max Rosenfelder, Christian Günter, Rihito Yamamoto, Patrick Osterhage, Cyriaque Irié, Niklas Beste, Vincenzo Grifo, Lucas Höler
Form and Line-up Schalke 04
During the international break, Schalke 04 beat Austria Lustenau 1:0 thanks to a goal from Moussa Sylla. Loris Karius, Hasan Kuruçay, Robin Gosens and Kenan Karaman returned to the starting line-up for that friendly.
Schalke 04 have struggled to create chances away from home in the Bundesliga, however: they have registered fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 away games.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Schalke 04's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- There have been more than 8.5 corners in 8 of Schalke 04's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Schalke 04 have not had more offsides than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Schalke 04 line-up (5-2-2-1): Loris Karius, Junior Dina Ebimbe, Adrian Gantenbein, Hasan Kuruçay, Vitalie Becker, Robin Gosens, Luka Vozar, Ron Schallenberg, Bryan Lasme, Kenan Karaman, Moussa Sylla
The teams' chances
A Freiburg win is offered at 1.65, with fair odds of 1.73 and a fair probability of 57.8%. A draw is available at 4.00, with fair odds of 4.19 and a probability of 23.8%; a Schalke 04 win is offered at 5.20, with fair odds of 5.45 and a probability of 18.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg win | 1.65 | 1.73 | 57.8% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.19 | 23.8% |
| Schalke 04 win | 5.20 | 5.45 | 18.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.55 has shorter odds than Over 3.5 goals at 2.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.40 |
Handicap prediction
Freiburg (-1.5) are available at 2.60 and Schalke 04 (-1.5) at 8.50. At the 1.5 handicap line, Freiburg (+1.5) are offered at 1.03, compared with 1.47 for Schalke 04 (+1.5). Freiburg (-1) are at 2.05 and Schalke 04 (-1) at 7.20; Freiburg (+1) are at 1.05 and Schalke 04 (+1) at 1.77. At the zero handicap line, Freiburg (0) are quoted at 1.25 and Schalke 04 (0) at 3.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.03 | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| 2.05 | -1 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.60 and looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.25, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Freiburg — 2 goals; Schalke 04 — 1 goal.
Freiburg team total goals
Freiburg's team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 6.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.07. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 2.30 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.60; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is at 1.70 and Over 2 goals at 2.10. Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.40 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.70 | 2 | 2.10 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.75 |
Schalke 04 team total goals
Schalke 04's team total: Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 2.65 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.45. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.72, compared with 2.07 for Over 1 goal; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.32 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.72 | 1 | 2.07 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Martin Petersen (Germany)
Matches — 11 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.4;
Matches with red cards — 0 out of 11;
Matches with penalties — 6 out of 11.
