Odds overview
Freiburg are clear favourites: a home win is available at around 1.65, while the draw is quoted at 4.00 and an away win at 5.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap market, Freiburg (-1.5) at 2.60 looks considerably more likely than Schalke (-1.5) at 8.50.
Why Freiburg are favourites
Bookmaker Fonbet offers odds of 1.65 on a Freiburg win, 4.00 on a draw and 5.20 on a Schalke win.
- Freiburg have defended reliably at the start of the season, conceding an average of 0.75 goals per game (third-best in the Bundesliga) and winning 5.25 corners per match.
- Schalke have struggled to score, averaging 0.75 goals per Bundesliga game (joint second-lowest) and conceding 1 goal per match.
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Freiburg have shown defensive discipline in Bundesliga home matches: in 8 of their last 10 home games, opponents had no more than 5 shots on target, while Freiburg have received no more than two yellow cards in 10 consecutive games.
- There were fewer than 10.5 corners in 9 of Freiburg's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- Freiburg's opponents committed more than 10.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- Freiburg were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Freiburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Jannik Huth, Lukas Kübler, Matthias Ginter, Max Rosenfelder, Christian Günter, Rihito Yamamoto, Patrick Osterhage, Cyriaque Irié, Niklas Beste, Vincenzo Grifo, Lucas Höler
Form and Line-up Schalke
During the international break, Schalke beat Austria Lustenau 1:0 thanks to a goal from Moussa Sylla. Loris Karius, Hasan Kuruçay, Robin Gosens and Kenan Karaman returned to the starting line-up for that friendly.
Schalke have nevertheless struggled to create chances away from home in the Bundesliga: they had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 away games.
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Schalke's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- More than 8.5 corners were taken in 8 of Schalke's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Schalke did not have more offsides than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Schalke line-up (5-2-2-1): Loris Karius, Junior Dina Ebimbe, Adrian Gantenbein, Hasan Kuruçay, Vitalie Becker, Robin Gosens, Luca Vozar, Ron Schallenberg, Bryan Lasme, Kenan Karaman, Moussa Sylla
Each team's chances
A Freiburg win is available at 1.65, with fair odds of 1.73 and a fair probability of 57.8%. The draw is offered at 4.00, with fair odds of 4.19 and a probability of 23.8%; a Schalke win is available at 5.20, with fair odds of 5.45 and a probability of 18.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg to win | 1.65 | 1.73 | 57.8% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.19 | 23.8% |
| Schalke to win | 5.20 | 5.45 | 18.3% |
Total goals
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals has shorter odds of 1.55 than Over 3.5 goals at 2.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.40 |
Handicap betting
Freiburg (-1.5) are available at 2.60, while Schalke (-1.5) are at 8.50. On the 1.5-goal line, Freiburg (+1.5) are offered at 1.03 against 1.47 for Schalke (+1.5). Freiburg (-1) are at 2.05 and Schalke (-1) at 7.20; Freiburg (+1) are at 1.05 and Schalke (+1) at 1.77. On the zero handicap line, Freiburg (0) are quoted at 1.25 and Schalke (0) at 3.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.03 | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| 2.05 | -1 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.65 |
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.60 and looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.25, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
11/50
|
5/4
|
| 888sport |
17/100
|
1/4
|
6/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goal totals
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Freiburg — 2 goals; Schalke — 1 goal.
Freiburg team goal total
For Freiburg's team goal total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 6.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.07. On the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 2.30 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.60; on the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is at 1.70 and Over 2 goals at 2.10. Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.40 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.75.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.70 | 2 | 2.10 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.75 |
Schalke team goal total
For Schalke's team goal total, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 2.65 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.45. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.72 against 2.07 for Over 1 goal; on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.32 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.10.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.72 | 1 | 2.07 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
