Odds overview
Freiburg to win at 1.50 is the clear favourite over the draw at 4.60 and a Union Berlin win at 6.30. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. For the handicap (0), Freiburg at 1.16 are much shorter than Union Berlin at 4.30.
Why Freiburg are favourites
The bookmakers make Freiburg favourites, offering 1.50 for a home win. The draw is available at 4.60 and a Union Berlin win at 6.30.
- Freiburg have consistently avoided defeat, going unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Union Berlin have regularly dropped points, failing to win 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Freiburg played their most recent match on 5 November, beating Trabzonspor 1:0 away from home.
Before that, Freiburg also won in domestic competitions: they beat Augsburg 2:1 away on 31 October and Wolfsburg 3:2 at home on 28 October.
- Freiburg scored in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Freiburg's last 10 home matches in the Bundesliga.
Probable Freiburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Mio Backhaus, Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo, Maximilian Eggestein, Yannik Engelhardt, Jan-Niklas Beste, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Scherhant, Igor Matanović
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
In their most recent match, on 1 November, Union Berlin drew 1:1 with Köln. Yet just four days earlier, on 27 October, the Berlin club had suffered a heavy 0:5 defeat to the same opponents.
Union Berlin's defence has regularly faltered: they conceded at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- At least one goal was scored in 9 of Union Berlin's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Union Berlin's opponents took more than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the Bundesliga.
Probable Union Berlin line-up (3-4-3): Frederik Rønnow, Zeno Van Den Bosch, Marvin Friedrich, Rani Khedira, Janik Haberer, Andras Schafer, Michel Aebischer, Derrick Köhn, Kastriot Imeri, Tim Skarke, Livan Burcu
Teams' chances
The average odds for a Freiburg win are 1.50, with fair odds of 1.56 and a probability of 63.9%. The draw has odds of 4.60, fair odds of 4.80 and a probability of 20.8%. For a Union Berlin win, the corresponding figures are 6.30, 6.57 and 15.2%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg win | 1.50 | 1.56 | 63.9% |
| Draw | 4.60 | 4.80 | 20.8% |
| Union Berlin win | 6.30 | 6.57 | 15.2% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the favourite at 1.53, compared with 2.40 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.30 | 1.63 |
| 3.5 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
Handicap betting
Freiburg (-1.5) are available at 2.25, while Union Berlin (+1.5) are at 1.60. At the one-goal handicap line, Freiburg (-1) are offered at 1.77 and Union Berlin (+1) at 2.05. The handicap (0) market favours Freiburg much more strongly: Freiburg (0) are at 1.16 against 4.30 for Union Berlin (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.60 | |
| 1.77 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.05 | |
| 1.16 | 0 | 4.30 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.75, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is available at 2.00.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
9/50
|
163/100
|
| LeoVegas |
7/50
|
1/5
|
29/20
|
| 888sport |
7/50
|
1/5
|
3/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Freiburg — 2 goals; Union Berlin — 0.5 goals.
Freiburg team total goals
For Freiburg, Over 0.5 goals is offered at 1.05, against 7.40 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is at 1.50 and Under 1.5 goals at 2.50. At 2 goals, the odds are close: Under 2 goals is 1.85 and Over 2 goals is 1.90. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is shorter at 1.50, while Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.40 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.50 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.85 | 2 | 1.90 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Union Berlin team total goals
For Union Berlin, Over 0.5 goals at 1.60 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.25. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is the favourite at 1.53, compared with 2.45 for Over 1 goal. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.25 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.53 | 1 | 2.45 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sascha Stegemann (Germany)
Matches — 17 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.2;
Matches with a red card — 4 of 17;
Matches with a penalty — 6 of 17.
