Odds overview
Fulham are favourites to win at 1.85, while the draw and a Crystal Palace win are available at around 3.95–4.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. For the handicap (0), Fulham at 1.38 are shorter than Crystal Palace at 2.80.
Why Fulham are favourites
Bookmakers favour Fulham: a home win is available at 1.85, the draw at 3.95 and a Crystal Palace win at 4.00.
• Fulham have avoided defeat in nine of their last 10 home EFL Cup matches.
• Fulham have won two successive Premier League matches, while Crystal Palace have lost their last two league games.
Form and Line-up Fulham
Fulham have recorded two successive clean-sheet wins in their latest Premier League matches, beating Hull City (1:0) and Coventry (1:0). Those results lifted Alvaro Arbeloa's side out of the relegation zone. In the previous round of the EFL Cup, Fulham beat West Ham away (3:2).
- Fulham: Under 3.5 goals has landed in all 10 of their most recent home EFL Cup matches.
- Fulham have committed fewer than 10.5 fouls in nine of their last 10 EFL Cup matches.
- Fulham's opponents have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in all 10 of their most recent EFL Cup matches.
Probable Fulham line-up (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno, Timothy Castagne, David Affengruber, Calvin Bassey, Antonee Robinson, Hugo Larsson, Shea Charles, Oscar Bobb, Joshua King, Alex Iwobi, Gonzalo García
Unavailable: Ryan Sessegnon (suspended)
Form and Line-up Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace travel for this cup tie after a 2:2 draw with Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League and a 0:2 home defeat to Newcastle in the Premier League. Pierre Sage's side have gone four matches without a win in all competitions. In the previous round of the EFL Cup, Crystal Palace beat Middlesbrough 3:0 at Selhurst Park.
- Under 3.5 goals has landed in eight of Crystal Palace's last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
- Under 11.5 corners has landed in nine of Crystal Palace's last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
- Over 20.5 fouls has landed in eight of Crystal Palace's last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
Probable Crystal Palace line-up (5-4-1): Walter Benítez, Jérémy Kanvo, Axel Disasi, Chris Richards, Anan Khalaili, Adam Wharton, Tyrick Mitchell, Daichi Kamada, Yeremy Pino, Dwight McNeil, Jean-Philippe Mateta
Unavailable: Takehiro Tomiyasu (injured), Jørgen Strand Larsen, Quinten Timber (doubtful)
The teams' chances
Fulham to win is offered at 1.85, with fair odds of 1.93 and a probability of 51.8%. The draw is available at 3.95, with fair odds of 4.12 and a probability of 24.3%; Crystal Palace to win is offered at 4.00, with fair odds of 4.17 and a probability of 24.0%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham to win | 1.85 | 1.93 | 51.8% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.12 | 24.3% |
| Crystal Palace to win | 4.00 | 4.17 | 24.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is the favourite at 1.50, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, Fulham at 2.95 are much shorter than Crystal Palace at 6.60. At the +1.5 line, Fulham at 1.06 are favoured over Crystal Palace at 1.35; at the +1 line, Fulham are 1.09 and Crystal Palace 1.55. With a handicap of 0, Fulham are available at 1.38 and Crystal Palace at 2.80. At the -1 line, Fulham at 2.45 are shorter than Crystal Palace at 5.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | -1.5 | 6.60 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.45 | -1 | 5.80 |
| 1.09 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.38 | 0 | 2.80 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.60 is favoured over Both teams to score – No at 2.25: the latter means that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/50
|
1/4
|
91/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Fulham — 1.5 goals; Crystal Palace — 1 goal.
Fulham team total goals
For Fulham's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.11 is much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.30, while Over 1 goal at 1.25 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 3.65. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals at 1.77 is shorter than Under 1.5 goals at 2.00; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.52 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.30 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.65 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.52 | 2 | 2.45 |
Crystal Palace team total goals
For Crystal Palace's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.37 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.85. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close: Over 1 goal is 1.82 and Under 1 goal is 1.93. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.40 is favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 0.5 | 1.37 |
| 1.93 | 1 | 1.82 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Simon Hooper (England)
Matches – 19 (Premier League and English cup competitions, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4;
Matches with a red card – 3 of 19;
Matches with a penalty – 1 of 19.
