Odds overview
Manchester United are the favourites: an away win is available at 2.00, compared with 3.55 for a home win and 3.80 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is notably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the handicap market, Fulham Draw No Bet is available at 2.55, while Manchester United Draw No Bet is 1.50.
Why Manchester United are favourites for the match
Bookmakers consider Manchester United the favourites: an away win is available at 2.00 (a 47.9% fair probability), while Fulham to win is 3.55 (27.0%) and the draw is 3.80 (25.2%).
• Fulham have made a poor start to the season and sit 18th in the Premier League table, with only one point from four matches and a goal difference of 4:7.
• Manchester United have been fairly solid defensively away from home: their opponents have not scored more than two goals in any of their last 10 away league matches.
Form and Line-up Fulham
On 15 September, Fulham won 3:2 away to West Ham United in the League Cup, with Cesar Palacios the key figure in the match after scoring and providing an assist. However, Alvaro Arbeloa made widespread changes, as the club have plenty of early Premier League problems.
At home, the London side regularly apply pressure: in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches, they have attempted at least 13 shots, including blocked efforts. According to the league's pre-match data, the combined xG in Fulham matches is 3.64, which ranks fifth in the competition.
- Fulham: Under 2.5 team goals has landed in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Fulham's opponents have had no more than five shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
- Fulham have taken at least five corners in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable Fulham line-up (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno, Timothy Castagne, David Affengruber, Calvin Bassey, Antonee Robinson, Sander Berge, Shea Charles, Joshua King, Oscar Bobb, Alex Iwobi, Gonzalo Garcia
Absentees: Kenny Tete, Thomas Cairney (injured), Ryan Sessegnon (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Manchester United
On 16 September, Manchester United lost 2:3 at home to Brighton & Hove Albion in the League Cup, so they head to London with one fewer day to recover than the hosts.
However, United's attacking potential remains high: their team xG in the league's pre-match data is 2.12, putting them second in the Premier League on this metric.
- Manchester United have had no more than five shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- No more than 10 shots on target have been recorded in each of Manchester United's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- A total of no more than four offsides have been recorded in all of Manchester United's last 10 away league matches.
Probable Manchester United line-up (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens, Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martinez, Patrick Dorgu, Kobbie Mainoo, Youri Tielemans, Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford, Matheus Cunha
Absentees: Matthijs de Ligt, Manuel Ugarte, Amad Diallo, Carlos Baleba, Tom Heaton (injured), Luke Shaw (doubtful)
Team chances
A home win is available at 3.55; the fair odds are 3.71 and the probability is 27.0%. The draw is 3.80, with fair odds of 3.97 and a probability of 25.2%. An away win at 2.00 appears the most likely outcome: the fair odds are 2.09 and the probability is 47.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham win | 3.55 | 3.71 | 27.0% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.97 | 25.2% |
| Manchester United win | 2.00 | 2.09 | 47.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is notably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, the relationship is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is 1.60 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap, Manchester United (-1.5) at 3.20 is shorter than Fulham (-1.5) at 6.20. At the 1.5 handicap, Manchester United (+1.5) is available at 1.07, compared with 1.30 for Fulham (+1.5). At the -1 handicap, Manchester United (-1) is 2.65 while Fulham (-1) is 5.50; at the +1 handicap, the odds are 1.10 for Manchester United (+1) and 1.45 for Fulham (+1). At the 0 handicap, Manchester United Draw No Bet at 1.50 is shorter than Fulham Draw No Bet at 2.55.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.20 | -1.5 | 3.20 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.50 | -1 | 2.65 |
| 1.45 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.55 | 0 | 1.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.50, while Both teams to score - No is 2.50: the market rates the scenario in which both teams score more highly.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
4/5
|
1/4
|
29/100
|
| 888sport |
4/5
|
29/100
|
3/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Fulham — 1 goal; Manchester United — 1.5 goals.
Fulham team total
Fulham team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.28 is notably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.35. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.60 compared with 2.25 for Under 1 goal, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.50 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.35 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
Manchester United team total
Manchester United team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.10 is available at much shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 5.30, while Over 1 goal is 1.22 compared with 3.85 for Under 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is 1.75 and Under 1.5 goals is 2.00. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.50 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.30 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 3.85 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.50 |
