Odds overview
Fulham to win is available at around 2.05, while the draw is quoted at 3.70 and Newcastle to win at 3.45. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals: 1.65 against 2.25. On the zero-handicap line, Fulham (0) are at 1.53 and Newcastle (0) at 2.50, making the hosts clear favourites.
Why Fulham are favourites
Fulham are the bookmakers' favourites, with the hosts available to win at 2.05. The draw is at 3.70 and a Newcastle United win at 3.45.
- Fulham are unbeaten in three Premier League matches (two wins and a draw).
- Newcastle have won just once and lost three times in their last four league matches.
- Fulham won the previous Premier League meeting at Craven Cottage in May 2026 (2:0).
Form and Line-up Fulham
In Matchweek 9, Fulham drew 1:1 away to Aston Villa: they had fallen behind, but an own goal by the Birmingham side's goalkeeper allowed them to take a point home. They also lost 0:1 at home to Crystal Palace on 28 October. Although Alvaro Arbeloa's side have scored exactly one goal in each of their last five league matches, they have taken 8 points from a possible 15. Fulham are the only Premier League team without a player on the injury list, while Ryan Sessegnon has served a three-match suspension and will be available for selection.
- Fulham have had more than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 home Premier League matches.
- The teams have had more than 19.5 shots between them in 9 of Fulham's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Fulham's opponents have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno, Timothy Castagne, David Affengruber, Calvin Bassey, Antonee Robinson, Sander Berge, Shea Charles, Oscar Bobb, Joshua King, Alex Iwobi, Gonzalo Garcia
Form and Line-up Newcastle
Newcastle lost 0:1 at home to Everton in the previous league match. Matthias Jaissle's side are struggling — they have lost six of their last seven matches in domestic competitions. The exception was a 2:1 home win over Hull on 19 September. Anthony Elanga is only just getting back to full fitness, while Jacob Ramsey has been suspended after receiving two yellow cards in the last match against Everton.
- The teams have had more than 5.5 shots on target between them in 9 of Newcastle's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Newcastle have not had more shots on target than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 away Premier League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hornicek, Amar Dedic, Fabian Schar, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall, Nicolas Gonzalez, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, Joe Willock, Harvey Barnes, William Osula
Absentees: Tino Livramento, Ewen Jaouen (injured), Jacob Ramsey (suspended); Lewis Miley, Matias Fernandez-Pardo (doubtful)
The teams' chances
Fulham have a 46.5% chance of winning based on fair odds: their average odds are 2.05 and their fair odds 2.15. The draw has a 25.8% chance, with average and fair odds of 3.70 and 3.88 respectively; Newcastle have a 27.7% chance of winning, with odds of 3.45 and 3.62.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham to win | 2.05 | 2.15 | 46.5% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
| Newcastle to win | 3.45 | 3.62 | 27.7% |
Total goals betting
On the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is at 2.25 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.65, so the market expects at least three goals. At 3.5 goals, the picture is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.52 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.45.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
Handicap betting
For the larger handicap, Fulham (-1.5) are offered at 3.40, while Newcastle (-1.5) are at 5.80. On the 1.5-goal line, Fulham (+1.5) and Newcastle (+1.5) are at 1.08 and 1.27. Fulham (-1) are at 2.75 against 5.20 for Newcastle (-1), while on the 1-goal line Fulham (+1) are at 1.11 and Newcastle (+1) at 1.40. At a zero handicap, Fulham (0) at 1.53 have considerably shorter odds than Newcastle (0) at 2.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | -1.5 | 5.80 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.75 | -1 | 5.20 |
| 1.11 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.53 | 0 | 2.50 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.55 and is considered more likely by the market than Both teams to score — No at 2.35; the latter means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/10
|
29/100
|
73/100
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
3/10
|
7/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Fulham — 1.5 goals; Newcastle — 1 goal.
Fulham team total goals
For Fulham, Under 0.5 goals is at 4.80 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.13; on the 1-goal line, Under is available at 3.30 and Over at 1.28. At 1.5 goals, the odds are almost equal: 1.90 for Under and 1.85 for Over. On the 2-goal line, Under is offered at 1.45 and Over at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.30 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 1.90 | 1.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.45 | 2 | 2.65 |
Newcastle team total goals
For Newcastle, Under 0.5 goals is at 3.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.30. On the 1-goal line, Under is at 2.25 against 1.62 for Over; at 1.5 goals, the respective odds are 1.53 and 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Robert Jones (England)
Matches — 5 (Premier League, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.6;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 5;
Matches with a penalty — 1 out of 5.
