Odds overview
AC Milan are clear favourites to win at 1.80, compared with 4.70 for a Genoa victory, while the draw is available at around 3.55. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. On the 0 handicap, AC Milan (0) at 1.30 are considerably shorter than Genoa (0) at 3.15.
Why AC Milan are favourites
AC Milan are the bookmakers' favourites: a Milan win is offered at 1.80, the draw at 3.55 and a Genoa win at 4.70.
- AC Milan have been picking up points consistently in the league, avoiding defeat in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Genoa have failed to win 6 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Form and Line-up Genoa
On 1 November, Genoa beat Lecce 2:1 away in Serie A. Before that, they won twice at home: 2:0 against Juventus on 28 October and 1:0 against Venezia on 25 October.
Milutin Osmajic is a notable figure in Genoa's attack. The Montenegrin forward has scored 4 goals and provided 1 assist in the Italian league this season.
- Genoa have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Under 3.5 goals were scored in 9 of Genoa's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up: Justin Bijlow, Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Ostigard, Johan Vasquez, Mikael Ellertsson, Morten Frendrup, Hamed Junior Traore, Stephan El Shaarawy, Samuel Viaf, Junior Messias, Milutin Osmajic.
Form and Line-up AC Milan
On 5 November, AC Milan lost 0:2 to Ferencvaros in the Champions League. But the Rossoneri continue to win in Serie A: they beat Inter 3:1 on 31 October and Udinese 2:0 on 25 October.
Adrien Rabiot is among AC Milan's leading contributors to goals in the domestic league, with 5 goals and 3 assists.
- AC Milan have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- AC Milan's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of Milan's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up: Mike Maignan, Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Diego Moreira, Luka Modric, Yunus Musah, Sanhoun Diarra, Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic, Goncalo Ramos.
Fikayo Tomori, Samuel Chukwueze, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Matteo Gabbia are confirmed absentees for AC Milan.
The teams' chances
On a fair-odds basis, a Genoa win has odds of 4.94 and a probability of 20.3%, against average odds of 4.70; the draw is at 3.73 and 26.8%, against 3.55; and an AC Milan win is at 1.89 and 52.9%, against 1.80.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa win | 4.70 | 4.94 | 20.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.73 | 26.8% |
| AC Milan win | 1.80 | 1.89 | 52.9% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.73 is shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.10. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2 at 2.40, while at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.27 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 3.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap betting
AC Milan (-1.5) are offered at 3.30, while Genoa (+1.5) are at 1.28. At the 1-goal line, AC Milan (-1) are at 2.60 against 1.50 for Genoa (+1), while AC Milan (0) at 1.30 are considerably shorter than Genoa (0) at 3.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.30 | |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.60 | |
| 1.50 | 1 | |
| 3.15 | 0 | 1.30 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — No at 1.80 is shorter than Both teams to score — Yes at 1.95: the market slightly favours at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
19/20
|
29/100
|
9/50
|
| LeoVegas |
23/25
|
3/10
|
1/5
|
| 888sport |
1/1
|
29/100
|
1/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Genoa — 0.5 goals; AC Milan — 1.5 goals.
Genoa team total goals
For Genoa, Over 0.5 goals at 1.62 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.25. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.53 is shorter than Over 1 at 2.40, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 at 3.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.62 |
| 1.53 | 1 | 2.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.55 |
AC Milan team total goals
For AC Milan, Over 0.5 goals at 1.16 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.30, while Over 1 is at 1.30 against 3.20 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.75 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.00, while at 2 goals, Under 2 at 1.30 is favoured over Over 2 at 3.15.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | 0.5 | 1.16 |
| 3.20 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.15 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches — 21 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.4;
Matches with a red card — 4 of 21;
Matches with a penalty — 6 of 21.
