Odds overview
KAA Gent are favourites at 1.60 to win, while the draw is available at 4.30 and AGF Aarhus to win at 5.30. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 is slightly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 1.95. In the main handicap market, KAA Gent (0) at 1.23 are much more likely than AGF Aarhus (0) at 3.75.
Why KAA Gent are favourites
Bookmakers give the home side a clear advantage: KAA Gent are 1.60 to win, while AGF Aarhus are available at 5.30. The draw is 4.30.
• The Belgian club have been very strong at home in European competition: KAA Gent have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
• KAA Gent lead the Belgian league, which is stronger than the Danish Superliga.
• The visitors face a demanding schedule: AGF Aarhus played a domestic league match on 12 October, leaving the Danish side very little time to recover before this away trip. KAA Gent, meanwhile, played their previous match on 10 October.
Form and Line-up KAA Gent
KAA Gent head into their European match in good spirits after a 2:0 away win over Zulte Waregem in the Belgian league. That victory returned them to the top of the Belgian Pro League. Over their last five domestic league rounds, they also beat Standard Liège (2:1), Cercle Brugge (3:0) and Oud-Heverlee Leuven (1:0), dropping points only in a draw with Genk (1:1).
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of KAA Gent's last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
- KAA Gent players received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 matches in the competition.
- KAA Gent's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
- The total number of fouls did not exceed 25.5 in 8 of KAA Gent's last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
Probable KAA Gent line-up (3-4-2-1): Davy Roef, Maksim Paskotsi, Christian Burgess, Siebe Van der Heyden, Tiago Araújo, Mathias Delorge, Tibe De Vlieger, Mattis Vollaert, Momodou Sonko, Abdelkahar Kadri, Kyrell Wilson
Unavailable: Josué Vergara, László Bénes, Mouhamed Ngom (injured)
Form and Line-up AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus comfortably beat Sønderjyske 3:0 in their last competitive match, but that was only their first win in the Danish Superliga. Their September league trips were difficult, however: they drew with Horsens (2:2) and lost to Nordsjælland (0:2). After 10 rounds, the club sit 10th in the table.
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of AGF Aarhus's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- The total number of offsides was under 3.5 in each of AGF Aarhus's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- AGF Aarhus scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- AGF Aarhus took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
Probable AGF Aarhus line-up (3-4-2-1): Jesper Hansen, Tobias Mölgaard, Daniel Gretarsson, Colin Rösler, Rasmus Carstensen, Magnus Knudsen, Kristian Arnstad, Sebastian Jørgensen, Mikael Anderson, Tobias Bech, Janni Serra
Teams' chances
KAA Gent are available at 1.60 to win, with fair odds of 1.67 and a 59.7% probability. The draw is quoted at 4.30, with fair odds of 4.50 and a 22.2% probability; the corresponding figures for an AGF Aarhus win are 5.30, 5.55 and 18.0%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent to win | 1.60 | 1.67 | 59.7% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.50 | 22.2% |
| AGF Aarhus to win | 5.30 | 5.55 | 18.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals is quoted slightly shorter at 1.85 than Under 2.5 goals at 1.95. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the favourite at 1.37, compared with 2.85 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
Handicap prediction
KAA Gent (-1.5) are quoted at longer odds of 2.55 than AGF Aarhus (+1.5) at 1.48. At the 1-goal handicap line, KAA Gent (-1) are available at 1.98 and AGF Aarhus (+1) at 1.82. KAA Gent (0) at 1.23 are much more strongly favoured than AGF Aarhus (0) at 3.75.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.48 | |
| 1.98 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.82 | |
| 1.23 | 0 | 3.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.85, slightly shorter than Both teams to score – No at 1.90: the market leans slightly towards both sides scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
1/5
|
13/10
|
| William Hill |
17/100
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
| 888sport |
3/20
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: KAA Gent at 1.5 goals and AGF Aarhus at 0.5 goals.
KAA Gent team goals
KAA Gent team goals: Under 0.5 at 5.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.10; Under 1 at 4.10 and Over 1 at 1.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is available at 2.05 and Over at 1.73; at the 2-goal line, the odds are 1.57 and 2.30 respectively.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.10 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| 1.57 | 2 | 2.30 |
AGF Aarhus team goals
AGF Aarhus team goals: Under 0.5 at 2.25 and Over 0.5 at 1.60. Under 1 is quoted shorter at 1.48 than Over 1 at 2.55; at the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.23 compared with 3.75 for Over.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.48 | 1 | 2.55 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.75 |
