Odds overview
KAA Gent are favourites at 1.60 to win, while the draw is available at 4.30 and an AGF Aarhus win at 5.30. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 has slightly shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 1.95. In the main handicap market, KAA Gent (0) at 1.23 are markedly more likely than AGF Aarhus (0) at 3.75.
Why KAA Gent are favourites
The bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: a KAA Gent win is available at 1.60, compared with 5.30 for an AGF Aarhus win. The draw is offered at 4.30.
• The Belgian club have been strong at home in European competition: KAA Gent have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
• KAA Gent lead the Belgian league, which is stronger than the Danish Superliga.
• The visitors face a demanding schedule: AGF Aarhus played a domestic league match on 12 October, leaving the Danish side very little recovery time before the trip. KAA Gent played their previous match on 10 October.
Form and Line-up KAA Gent
KAA Gent go into their European fixture in good spirits after a 2:0 away win over Zulte Waregem in the Belgian league. That result took them back to the top of the Belgian Pro League. Across their last five domestic league matches, they have also beaten Standard Liège (2:1), Cercle Brugge (3:0) and Oud-Heverlee Leuven (1:0), dropping points only in a draw with Genk (1:1).
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of KAA Gent's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- KAA Gent's players received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 matches in the competition.
- KAA Gent's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of the club's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- The total number of fouls did not exceed 25.5 in 8 of KAA Gent's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Probable KAA Gent line-up (3-4-2-1): Davy Roef, Maksim Paskotsi, Christian Burgess, Siebe Van der Heyden, Tiago Araújo, Mathias Delorge, Tibe De Vlieger, Mattis Vokart, Momodou Sonko, Abdelkahar Kadri, Kyrell Wilson
Unavailable: Josué Vergara, László Bénes, Mouhamed Ngom (injured)
Form and Line-up AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus comfortably beat Sønderjyske 3:0 in their most recent competitive match, but it was only their first win in the Danish Superliga. Their September league trips were difficult: they drew with Horsens (2:2) and lost to Nordsjælland (0:2). After 10 rounds, the club sit 10th in the table.
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of AGF Aarhus's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- The total number of offsides did not exceed 3.5 in any of AGF Aarhus's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- AGF Aarhus scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- AGF Aarhus took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
Probable AGF Aarhus line-up (3-4-2-1): Jesper Hansen, Tobias Mölgaard, Daniel Gretarsson, Colin Rösler, Rasmus Carstensen, Magnus Knudsen, Kristian Arnstad, Sebastian Jørgensen, Mikael Anderson, Tobias Bech, Janni Serra
The teams' chances
A KAA Gent win is offered at 1.60, with fair odds of 1.67 and a 59.7% probability. The draw is quoted at 4.30, with fair odds of 4.50 and a 22.2% probability; an AGF Aarhus win is offered at 5.30, with fair odds of 5.55 and an 18.0% probability.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent win | 1.60 | 1.67 | 59.7% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.50 | 22.2% |
| AGF Aarhus win | 5.30 | 5.55 | 18.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals has slightly shorter odds at 1.85 than Under 2.5 goals at 1.95. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is favoured at 1.37, compared with 2.85 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
Handicap prediction
KAA Gent (-1.5) are quoted at higher odds of 2.55 than AGF Aarhus (+1.5) at 1.48. At the 1-goal line, KAA Gent (-1) are offered at 1.98 and AGF Aarhus (+1) at 1.82. KAA Gent (0) at 1.23 are clearly favoured over AGF Aarhus (0) at 3.75.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.48 | |
| 1.98 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.82 | |
| 1.23 | 0 | 3.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is offered at 1.85, slightly shorter than Both teams to score – No at 1.90: the market leans slightly towards both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
11/50
|
5/4
|
| William Hill |
17/100
|
11/50
|
5/4
|
| 888sport |
17/100
|
11/50
|
5/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: KAA Gent at 1.5 goals and AGF Aarhus at 0.5 goals.
KAA Gent team total goals
KAA Gent team total goals: Under 0.5 at 5.40, Over 0.5 at 1.10; Under 1 at 4.10, Over 1 at 1.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is available at 2.05 and Over at 1.73; at the 2-goal line, the odds are 1.57 and 2.30 respectively.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.10 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| 1.57 | 2 | 2.30 |
AGF Aarhus team total goals
AGF Aarhus team total goals: Under 0.5 at 2.25, Over 0.5 at 1.60. Under 1 at 1.48 has shorter odds than Over 1 at 2.55, while at the 1.5-goal line Under is offered at 1.23 compared with 3.75 for Over.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.48 | 1 | 2.55 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Bulat Sariev (Kazakhstan)
Matches – 7 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.4;
Matches with a red card – 1 of 7;
Matches with a penalty – 0 of 7.
