Odds Overview
Georgia are favourites: a home win is available at 1.83, while the draw is at 3.65 and an away win at 4.40. Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 looks slightly more likely than Over 2.5 at 2.03. In the main handicap market at 0, Georgia Draw No Bet at 1.35 is clearly preferred to Northern Ireland Draw No Bet at 2.95.
Why Georgia Are Favourites
Bookmakers rate a Georgia win at 1.83 (around a 52.2% probability without margin). The draw is available at 3.65, while a Northern Ireland win is at 4.40.
- Northern Ireland's opponents scored no more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Northern Ireland come into the match with a substantially refreshed squad, making nine changes to the squad compared with June.
Form and Line-up Georgia
Georgia matches consistently produce goals: at least two goals were scored in each of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Georgia scored no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
- Under 4.5 goals landed in 8 of Georgia's last 10 matches in all competitions
- Georgia scored at least once in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
Probable Georgia line-up (4-3-2-1): Giorgi Mamardashvili, Otar Kakabadze, Saba Goglichidze, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Khvicha Kvarackhelija, Zurab Davitashvili, Luka Lochoshvili, Anzor Mekvabishvili, Irakli Azarovi, Nika Gagnidze, Georges Mikautadze
Form and Line-up Northern Ireland
In their June friendly, Northern Ireland lost to France 1:3 but put together a scoring move involving Justin Devenny and Shea Charles, which Patrick Kelly finished.
In away matches, Northern Ireland's opponents receive no more than two yellow cards in 9 of 10 cases, reflecting the restrained nature of the team's away fixtures.
- Northern Ireland scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
- No more than 9 shots on target were recorded in 9 of Northern Ireland's last 10 away matches
- Northern Ireland had fewer than 11.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
Probable Northern Ireland line-up (3-4-2-1): Pierce Charles, Brodie Spencer, Justin Devenny, Trai Hume, Ruairi McConville, Kieran Brown, Ethan Galbraith, Shea Charles, Jamie Donley, Isaac Price, Patrick Kelly
Team Chances
A Georgia win is quoted at 1.83; the fair odds are 1.92 and the probability is 52.2%. Draw: 3.65, with fair odds of 3.82 and a probability of 26.2%. A Northern Ireland win is available at 4.40, with fair odds of 4.61 and a probability of 21.7%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia to win | 1.83 | 1.92 | 52.2% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.82 | 26.2% |
| Northern Ireland to win | 4.40 | 4.61 | 21.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under is at 1.80 and Over at 2.03, with a slight advantage for the lower-total option. At 3.5, Under at 1.30 is considerably more likely than Over at 3.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.03 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap Prediction
Georgia (-1.5) is available at 3.15 and Northern Ireland (-1.5) at 8.50. At the 1.5 line, Georgia (+1.5) is at 1.03 versus 1.30 for Northern Ireland (+1.5). Georgia (-1) is at 2.55 and Northern Ireland (-1) at 7.20; at the 1 line, the odds are 1.05 and 1.52 respectively. At a handicap of 0, Georgia Draw No Bet at 1.35 is preferred to Northern Ireland Draw No Bet at 2.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.03 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.55 | -1 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.52 |
| 1.35 | 0 | 2.95 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is quoted at 1.90, while Both teams to score - No is at 1.85. There is a slight advantage for the scenario in which at least one team does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/5
|
29/100
|
91/100
|
| William Hill |
11/50
|
3/10
|
17/20
|
| 888sport |
11/50
|
3/10
|
17/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Georgia — 1.5 goals, Northern Ireland — 1 goal.
Georgia Team Total
Georgia team total: Under 0.5 is at 4.20, Over 0.5 at 1.17; at the 1 line, they are 3.10 and 1.32 respectively. For 1.5, Under is at 1.80 and Over at 1.97. At 2, Under is quoted at 1.35 and Over at 2.95.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.80 | 1.5 | 1.97 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.95 |
Northern Ireland Team Total
Northern Ireland team total: Under 0.5 is at 2.35 and Over 0.5 at 1.57. At the 1 line, Under is available at 1.58 and Over at 2.30; at 1.5, Under at 1.27 is clearly more likely than Over at 3.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.58 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 3.40 |
