Odds overview
Georgia are favourites: a home win is available at 1.83, while the draw is 3.65 and a Northern Ireland win is 4.40. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Under 2.5 at 1.80 looks slightly more likely than Over 2.5 at 2.03. In the main handicap market at 0, Georgia Draw No Bet at 1.35 is clearly preferred to Northern Ireland Draw No Bet at 2.95.
Why Georgia are favourites
Bookmakers rate a Georgia win at 1.83 (around a 52.2% probability without margin). The draw is offered at 3.65, while a Northern Ireland win is 4.40.
- Northern Ireland's opponents have scored no more than two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Northern Ireland come into the match with a substantially refreshed squad, making nine changes to the squad compared with June.
Form and Line-up Georgia
Georgia matches consistently produce goals: at least two have been scored in each of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Georgia have scored no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
- Under 4.5 goals has landed in 8 of Georgia's last 10 matches in all competitions
- Georgia have scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
Probable Georgia line-up (4-3-2-1): Giorgi Mamardashvili, Otar Kakabadze, Saba Goglichidze, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Khvicha Kvarackhelija, Zurab Davitashvili, Luka Lochoshvili, Anzor Mekvabishvili, Irakli Azarovi, Nika Gagnidze, Georges Mikautadze
Form and Line-up Northern Ireland
In a June friendly, Northern Ireland lost to France 1:3 but put together a scoring move involving Justin Devenny and Shea Charles, which Patrick Kelly finished.
In away matches, Northern Ireland's opponents receive no more than two yellow cards in 9 out of 10 cases, reflecting the restrained nature of the team's away fixtures.
- Northern Ireland have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
- No more than 9 shots on target have been recorded in 9 of Northern Ireland's last 10 away matches
- Northern Ireland have made fewer than 11.5 shot attempts in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
Probable Northern Ireland line-up (3-4-2-1): Pierce Charles, Brodie Spencer, Justin Devenny, Trai Hume, Ruairi McConville, Kieran Brown, Ethan Galbraith, Shea Charles, Jamie Donley, Isaac Price, Patrick Kelly
Team chances
Georgia to win is quoted at 1.83; fair odds are 1.92, with a probability of 52.2%. The draw is 3.65, with fair odds of 3.82 and a probability of 26.2%. Northern Ireland to win is available at 4.40, with fair odds of 4.61 and a probability of 21.7%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia win | 1.83 | 1.92 | 52.2% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.82 | 26.2% |
| Northern Ireland win | 4.40 | 4.61 | 21.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is 1.80 and Over is 2.03, with a slight edge for the lower-total option. At 3.5 goals, Under at 1.30 is considerably more likely than Over at 3.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.03 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap prediction
Georgia -1.5 is available at 3.15, while Northern Ireland -1.5 is 8.50. At the 1.5 line, Georgia +1.5 is 1.03 versus 1.30 for Northern Ireland +1.5. Georgia -1 is 2.55 and Northern Ireland -1 is 7.20; at the 1 line, the odds are 1.05 and 1.52 respectively. At handicap 0, Georgia Draw No Bet at 1.35 is preferred to Northern Ireland Draw No Bet at 2.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.03 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.55 | -1 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.52 |
| 1.35 | 0 | 2.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is quoted at 1.90, while Both teams to score - No is 1.85. There is a slight edge for the scenario in which at least one team does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
33/100
|
19/20
|
| William Hill |
11/50
|
3/10
|
17/20
|
| 888sport |
1/5
|
33/100
|
17/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Georgia — 1.5 goals, Northern Ireland — 1 goal.
Georgia team total
Georgia team total: Under 0.5 is 4.20 and Over 0.5 is 1.17; at the 1-goal line, they are 3.10 and 1.32 respectively. At 1.5, Under is 1.80 and Over is 1.97. At 2, Under is quoted at 1.35 and Over at 2.95.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.80 | 1.5 | 1.97 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.95 |
Northern Ireland team total
Northern Ireland team total: Under 0.5 is 2.35 and Over 0.5 is 1.57. At the 1-goal line, Under is offered at 1.58 and Over at 2.30; at 1.5, Under at 1.27 is clearly more likely than Over at 3.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.58 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 3.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Orel Grinfeld (Israel)
Matches — 6 (International matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.6;
Matches with red cards — 0 out of 6;
Matches with penalties — 1 out of 6.
Giorgi Mamardashvili
Lasha Dvali
Luka Lochoshvili
Saba Goglichidze
Saba Kharebashvili
Anzor Mekvabishvili
Giorgi Kochorashvili
Otar Kakabadze
Georges Mikautadze
Giorgi Kvernadze
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Davit Kereselidze
Luka Gugeshashvili
Jemal Tabidze
Giorgi Chakvetadze
Gizo Mamageishvili
Irakli Yegoian
Budu Zivzivadze
George Gagua
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
Zuriko Davitashvili
Pierce Joseph Charles
Ciaron Maurice Brown
Daniel George Ballard
Tom Joseph Atcheson
Ethan Galbraith
Isaac Jude Price
Jamie Donley
Patrick Kelly
Shea Emmanuel Charles
Bailey Peacock-Farrell
Conor Hazard
Patrick James Coleman McNair
Jordan Thompson
Kieran Morrison
Ruairi Conor McConville
Terry Joseph Devlin
Ceadach O'Neill
Joshua Magennis
