Odds overview
Brighton are clear favourites to win at 1.58, while a draw is available at 4.00 and a Getafe win at 6.10. The main goals market is closely matched: Under 2.5 goals is 1.87, against 1.93 for Over 2.5. In the handicap market, Brighton (0) at 1.18 are favoured much more strongly than Getafe (0) at 4.05.
Why Brighton are favourites
The bookmakers favour Brighton: the English club are available to win at 1.58. A draw is 4.00, while a Getafe win is 6.10.
- Brighton have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Getafe have failed to win 7 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Brighton have yet to concede a goal in the Conference League, while Getafe have already made six costly errors; only Kauno Zalgiris have fared worse, with eight goals conceded.
Form and Line-up Getafe
Getafe beat Sevilla 3:1 at home on 1 November. Before that, on 29 October, they won 3:2 away to Lebrijana in the Copa del Rey. Things have not gone as smoothly in the Conference League, however — a 1:1 draw with Universitatea Craiova and a heavy 2:5 defeat to Lugano.
- Getafe have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in each of their last 10 official matches across all competitions.
- Getafe's opponents have scored in 9 of their last 10 official matches across all competitions.
Probable Getafe line-up (4-2-3-1): David Soria, Kiko Femenía, Abdel Abqar, Jean Yves Valou, Da Vinci, Djené, Francho Serrano, Andrés García, Borja Mayoral, Alberto Risco, Iván Azón.
Absentees: Juanmi, Christantus Uche, Zaid Romero (all injured).
Form and Line-up Brighton
Brighton beat Manchester City 1:0 away on 31 October. Before that, they lost 0:2 away to Liverpool on 25 October and were beaten on penalties by Manchester City in the League Cup on 28 October (2:2, 3:4 on penalties). Their Conference League results have been fairly good, however — a 4:0 win over Kauno Zalgiris and a goalless draw with Jablonec (0:0).
- Brighton's opponents have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in each of their last 10 official matches across all competitions.
- The two teams combined to score more than 0.5 goals in 9 of Brighton's last 10 official matches across all competitions.
Probable Brighton line-up (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen, Costinha, Olivier Boskagli, Michael Svoboda, Jaouen Hadjam, Malick Yalcouyé, Jack Hinshelwood, Pascal Groß, Ibrahim Osman, Georginio Rutter, Matt O'Riley.
Absentees: Femi Azeez, Evan Ferguson, Kaoru Mitoma, Stefanos Tzimas, Zadok Yohanna (all injured); Ferdi Kadıoğlu and Pascal Struijk (both doubtful).
Teams' chances
Getafe are available to win at 6.10, with fair odds of 6.39 and a 15.7% probability. A draw is offered at 4.00, with fair odds of 4.19 and a 23.9% probability. Brighton & Hove Albion are 1.58 to win, with fair odds of 1.65 and a 60.5% probability.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe to win | 6.10 | 6.39 | 15.7% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.19 | 23.9% |
| Brighton to win | 1.58 | 1.65 | 60.5% |
Total goals analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is 1.87 and Over is 1.93, giving the lower-scoring outcome a slight edge. At the 3.5-goal line, Under at 1.33 is considered much more likely than Over at 3.00.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Handicap analysis
Brighton (-1.5) are offered at 2.55, while Getafe (+1.5) are 1.48. At the -1 handicap line, Brighton (-1) are available at 1.95; at the +1 line, Getafe (+1) are 1.85. At the zero handicap, Brighton (0) at 1.18 have considerably shorter odds than Getafe (0) at 4.05.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.55 | |
| 1.48 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.95 | |
| 1.85 | 1 | |
| 4.05 | 0 | 1.18 |
Both teams to score analysis
Both teams to score — No is 1.82, slightly shorter than Both teams to score — Yes at 1.92; the No outcome means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.92 |
| No | 1.82 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/10
|
1/4
|
13/100
|
| William Hill |
5/4
|
1/4
|
7/50
|
| 888sport |
5/4
|
1/4
|
7/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals analysis
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Getafe at 0.5 goals and Brighton at 1.5 goals.
Getafe team goals
For Getafe, Under 0.5 goals is 2.10 and Over 0.5 is 1.70. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.40 against 2.80 for Over; at 1.5, the respective odds are 1.20 and 4.20.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 0.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.80 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
Brighton team goals
For Brighton, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 5.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.10. At the 1-goal line, Under is 3.90 and Over is 1.20; at 1.5, the respective odds are 2.05 and 1.73. At the 2-goal line, Under is 1.55 and Over is 2.40.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 3.90 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| 1.55 | 2 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Filip Glova (Slovakia)
Matches — 12 (international fixtures, 2024/25–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 12;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 12.
