Odds overview
Getafe CF are the favourites in the 1X2 market: a home win is available at around 2.15, the draw at 3.05 and an away win at 3.95. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 — 1.45 versus 2.60 — indicating expectations of a low-scoring game. Getafe CF Draw No Bet at 1.50 is preferred to Málaga Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Why Getafe CF are favourites
Bookmakers favour the home side: a Getafe CF win is available at odds of 2.15, the draw at 3.05 and a Málaga win at 3.95.
- Málaga have struggled badly away from home, failing to win any of their last 10 away league matches.
- The visitors' attacking potential is severely limited: they average just 0.4 goals per match, the lowest figure in the league.
Form and Line-up Getafe CF
In the previous La Liga round, Getafe CF drew 1:1 with Deportivo A Coruña.
The team play low-scoring, slow-tempo home matches: no more than 9 shots on target were recorded in 9 of their last 10 home league games, while Getafe CF's own total number of shots did not exceed 13.5 in 9 of 10 matches.
- There have been no more than 3 goals in 9 of Getafe CF's last 10 La Liga matches.
- There have been no more than 10 corners in 9 of Getafe CF's last 10 La Liga matches.
- Getafe CF players were caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): David Soria, Djené Dakonam, Johan Mojica, Nemanja Gudelj, Sebastián Boselli, Orel Mangala, Mario Martín, Ramón Terrats, Martín Satriano, Enes Ünal, Iván Azón
Form and Line-up Málaga
Málaga also drew their previous match, 1:1 away to Celta, on 13 September.
The visitors have shown little attacking activity: they are bottom of the league's pre-match standings for shots on target, with 1.8 per game, and have not outshot their opponents in 10 consecutive away matches.
- Málaga scored no more than 1 goal in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
- Málaga won no more than 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away La Liga matches.
- Málaga committed at least 12 fouls in their last 10 home La Liga matches.
Probable line-up (4-1-4-1): Alfonso Herrero, Rafita, José Salinas, Ángel Recio, Einar Galilea, Izan Merino, Pablo Martinez, David Larrubia, Joaquín Muñoz, Dani Lorenzo, Chupe
Team chances
A Getafe CF win is available at 2.15, with fair odds of 2.25 and a 44.5% probability. The draw is available at 3.05, with fair odds of 3.19 and a 31.3% probability. A Málaga win is priced at 3.95, with fair odds of 4.13 and a 24.2% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe CF to win | 2.15 | 2.25 | 44.5% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.19 | 31.3% |
| Málaga to win | 3.95 | 4.13 | 24.2% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 is available at 1.45 compared with 2.60 for Over 2.5, so the market clearly leans towards fewer goals. At the line of 2, Under is 1.77 and Over is 1.97, giving a slight edge to the lower total. For 3.5, Under is available at 1.12 while Over is at 4.90, making a four-goal-or-more scenario unlikely according to the odds.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.45 | 2.60 |
| 2 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
| 3.5 | 1.12 | 4.90 |
Handicap prediction
Getafe CF (-1.5) is available at 4.40, while Málaga (-1.5) is at 8.00. At the 1.5 line, Getafe CF (+1.5) is available at 1.04 and Málaga (+1.5) at 1.15. Getafe CF (-1) is at 3.50 compared with 7.00 for Málaga (-1); at the line of 1, the respective odds are 1.05 and 1.25. In the Draw No Bet market, Getafe CF at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Málaga at 2.60.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.40 | -1.5 | 8.00 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.50 | -1 | 7.00 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.50 | 0 | 2.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No is available at 1.60 compared with 2.30 for Both teams to score - Yes, so the odds more often suggest that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.30 |
| No | 1.60 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/50
|
9/25
|
4/5
|
| 888sport |
1/4
|
9/25
|
7/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Getafe CF — 1 goal; Málaga — 0.5 goals.
Getafe CF team total
Getafe CF team total: Under 0.5 is available at 3.00 and Over 0.5 at 1.35; the market expects at least one goal from the home side. At the line of 1, Under is available at 2.05 and Over at 1.72. For 1.5, Under is available at 1.43 compared with 2.65 for Over, limiting expectations of two or more Getafe CF goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.05 | 1 | 1.72 |
| 1.43 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Málaga team total
Málaga team total: Under 0.5 is available at 2.10 and Over 0.5 at 1.70. At the line of 1, Under at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over at 2.75, while for 1.5, Under is available at 1.20 compared with 4.20 for Over. The odds lean strongly towards limited Málaga scoring.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 0.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.75 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
