Odds overview
Getafe are clear favourites: a home win is priced at 1.30, while the draw is around 5.00 and an away win at 11.00. The prices on the main 2.5-goal line are almost level: Under 2.5 at 1.85 is marginally preferred to Over 2.5 at 1.90. In the main handicap market, Getafe (-1.5) at 1.80 is priced lower than Partizan (+1.5) at 1.95.
Why Getafe are favourites for the match
Bookmakers favour Getafe: the Spanish club's victory is priced at 1.30, the draw at 5.00 and a Partizan win at 11.00.
For Getafe, this knockout play-off round is a long-awaited opportunity to return to the main stage of European competition after a six-year absence.
Partizan have conceded in 4 of their previous 6 matches in all competitions.
The Belgrade side have managed only 4 away wins in their previous 11 matches in all competitions.
Form and Line-up Getafe
Getafe lost 0:3 to Alaves in the opening round of La Liga, but the key moment was Kiko Femenia's dismissal in the 42nd minute. The team conceded all three goals after the 72nd minute while down to ten men.
Before the season began, Jose Bordalas stressed that the squad-building process was not yet complete: following the departures of central midfielders Luis Milla and Mauro Arambarri, the club need reinforcements in central midfield and on the flanks.
Key numbers:
Getafe's opponents have taken no more than 4 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in 5 of Getafe's last 6 matches.
Fewer than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 6 of the previous 8 matches.
Probable Getafe line-up (3-5-2): David Soria — Djene Dakonam, Abdel Abqar, Zaid Romero — Kiko Femenia, Ramon Terrats, Orel Mangala, Mario Martin, Davinchi — Andres Garcia, Martin Satriano
Absentees: Crisantus Uche, Juanmi (both injured).
Form and Line-up Partizan
Partizan reached the Conference League knockout play-off round by beating Tobol 2:1 away after a 3:0 home win. However, immediately after their European away trip, the Belgrade side lost 0:1 at home to Radnicki in the domestic league, leaving them minimal time to recover before visiting Spain.
Key numbers:
More than three goals have been scored in 7 of Partizan's previous 9 matches.
More than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 5 of the last 6 matches.
The Belgrade side have conceded at least one goal in 5 of their last 8 matches.
Probable Partizan line-up (4-1-4-1): Milos Krunic — Milan Roganovic, Stefan Milic, Stefan Mitrovic, Vukasin Djordjevic — Milan Vukotic — Demba Seck, Demir Alilovic, Bogdan Kostic, Nemanja Trifunovic — Erik Koizek
Team chances
A home win is priced at 1.30; the margin-free estimate is 1.38 and 72.6%. The draw is priced at 5.00, with a margin-free estimate of 5.30 and 18.9%; an away win is offered at 11.00, with a margin-free estimate of 11.66 and a probability of 8.6%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
Getafe to win | 1.30 | 1.38 | 72.6% |
Draw | 5.00 | 5.30 | 18.9% |
Partizan Belgrade to win | 11.00 | 11.66 | 8.6% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.85 is only marginally shorter than Over 2.5 at 1.90, indicating an almost even balance. On the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.33 is clearly preferred to Over 3.5 at 3.05.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Getafe (-1.5) is priced at 1.80, while Partizan (+1.5) is at 1.95. On the -1 line, Getafe (-1) is 1.42, whereas Partizan (+1) is 2.65. With a zero handicap, Getafe (0) is 1.05 against 7.00 for Partizan (0).
Home | Handicap | Away |
1.80 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.95 |
1.42 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 2.65 |
1.05 | 0 | 7.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.45 looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.70: the market expects at least one of the teams not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.70 |
No | 1.45 |
Double chance prediction
1X at 1.02 is the most likely double-chance outcome; 12 is priced at 1.15, while X2 at 3.35 looks substantially less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.02 | 1.15 | 3.35 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Getafe — 2 goals, Partizan Belgrade — 0.5 goals.
Getafe team total
Getafe: Under 0.5 is priced at 6.30 versus Over 0.5 at 1.07; on the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 at 2.40 is longer than Over 1.5 at 1.50. For a total of 2, the prices are level — Under 2.0 and Over 2.0 are both 2.00: the table shows 1.85 for each option. At the 2.5 mark, Under 2.5 at 1.50 is preferred to Over 2.5 at 2.40.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
2.40 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
1.85 | 2 | 1.85 |
1.50 | 2.5 | 2.40 |
Partizan Belgrade team total
Partizan Belgrade: Under 0.5 at 1.52 is priced lower than Over 0.5 at 2.35, which points towards the away side failing to score.
Under | Team total | Over |
1.52 | 0.5 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Andris Treimanis (Latvia)
Matches — 8 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 5.1;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 8;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 8.
