Odds overview
Rayo Vallecano have a slight edge in the 1X2 market: an away win is available at 2.70, compared with around 2.95 for a Getafe win and 3.00 for a draw. In the main goals market, Under 2.5 at 1.50 is considered considerably more likely than Over 2.5 at 2.50. Rayo Vallecano Draw No Bet at 1.83 has shorter odds than Getafe Draw No Bet at 1.98.
Why there is no clear favourite
Bookmakers give the visitors a narrow edge: a Rayo Vallecano win is offered at 2.70, compared with 2.95 for a Getafe win and 3.00 for a draw.
- The sides come into their meeting with similar league records: Rayo Vallecano are 13th with 8 points, while Getafe sit just behind them in 14th, also on 8 points.
- Getafe have conceded at least once in six of their last seven matches, while Rayo Vallecano have conceded in seven consecutive games.
- Six of the last 10 meetings between Getafe and Rayo Vallecano have ended in draws.
Form and Line-up Getafe
In their last match before the break, Getafe lost 0:3 away to Barcelona, managing just 1 shot on target to the Catalans' 8. The hosts also played Universitatea Craiova in the UEFA Conference League, drawing 1:1 after equalising in the 81st minute. The biggest news for Getafe, however, was the signing of free agent Daniel Carvajal; Jadon Sancho is also rumoured to be a possible addition.
- Getafe: Under 2.5 goals has landed in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
- Getafe: Under 2.5 goals has landed in all 4 of their La Liga home matches this season.
- Getafe: their opponents have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of Getafe's last 10 La Liga home matches.
Probable Getafe line-up (5-4-1): David Soria, Kike Femenía, Djené Dakonam, Nemanja Gudelj, Abdel Abqar, Johan Mojica, Martín Satriano, Francho Serrano, Mario Martín, Ramón Terrats, Iván Azón.
Absentees: Zaid Romero and Christantus Uche (both injured); Enes Ünal and Orel Mangala (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano drew 1:1 with Osasuna in the last round, with Sergio Camello equalising in the second half. Before that, they beat Espanyol (2:1), bouncing back from a defeat to Real Madrid (1:4).
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in all 7 of their La Liga matches this season.
- Rayo Vallecano have conceded in 13 consecutive matches.
- Rayo Vallecano have committed over 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
Probable Rayo Vallecano line-up (4-3-3): Emil Audero, Iván Balliu, Florian Lejeune, Mujaid Sadick, Adrià Pedrosa, Pedro Díaz, Pathé Ciss, Unai López, Jorge de Frutos, Sergio Camello, Álvaro García.
Absentees: Augusto Batalla and Andrei Rațiu (both injured).The teams' chances
On a margin-free basis, a Rayo Vallecano win is the most likely result, with a 35.5% probability, average odds of 2.70 and fair odds of 2.82. A Getafe win is rated at 32.5% (2.95; fair odds of 3.08), while a draw stands at 32.0% (3.00; 3.13). The teams' chances look closely matched.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe to win | 2.95 | 3.08 | 32.5% |
| Draw | 3.00 | 3.13 | 32.0% |
| Rayo Vallecano to win | 2.70 | 2.82 | 35.5% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.50. At the 2-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 2 at 1.85 and Over 2 at 1.90. Under 3.5 goals at 1.14 is much shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 4.70.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 2 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| 3.5 | 1.14 | 4.70 |
Handicap betting prediction
Getafe (-1.5) are available at 5.90 and Rayo Vallecano (-1.5) at 5.50. Getafe (+1.5) are offered at 1.10 and Rayo Vallecano (+1.5) at 1.08; at the +1 line, the odds are 1.14 for Getafe (+1) and 1.12 for Rayo Vallecano (+1). At a handicap of 0, Rayo Vallecano Draw No Bet at 1.83 is shorter than Getafe Draw No Bet at 1.98.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.90 | -1.5 | 5.50 |
| 1.10 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| 4.90 | -1 | 4.60 |
| 1.14 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 1.98 | 0 | 1.83 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No at 1.67 is shorter than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.15, so bookmakers consider it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.15 |
| No | 1.67 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
9/25
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
9/25
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Getafe — 1 goal; Rayo Vallecano — 1 goal.
Getafe team goals
For Getafe team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.50 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.55. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.67 and Over 1 at 2.15; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.30 against 3.20 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | 1 | 2.15 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Rayo Vallecano team goals
For Rayo Vallecano team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.45 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.65. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.80 and Over 1 at 1.95; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.35 and Over 1.5 at 2.95.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
