Odds overview
Sevilla are slight favourites at 2.50 to win, while the draw is available at 3.05 and a Getafe win at 3.15. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is available at around 1.45, compared with 2.65 for Over 2.5. With a handicap of 0, Sevilla (0) at 1.70 look the better option than Getafe (0) at 2.15.
Why Sevilla are favourites
Bookmakers favour Sevilla: an away win is offered at 2.50, a Getafe win at 3.15 and a draw at 3.05.
- Sevilla have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Getafe have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Sevilla have lost to Getafe only once in their last six head-to-head meetings.
Form and Line-up Getafe
Getafe beat Lebrijana 3:2 in the Copa del Rey on 29 October, ending a run of two painful defeats: 0:4 to Athletic Bilbao in La Liga on 25 October and 2:5 to Lugano in the UEFA Conference League on 22 October.
- Fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Getafe's last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- The two teams have received more than 3.5 yellow cards between them in each of Getafe's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable Getafe line-up (5-3-2):David Soria, Andrés García, Daniel Carvajal, Nemanja Gudelj, Djené, Da Vinci, Ramón Terrats, Francho Serrano, Jean Yves Valou, Enes Ünal, Martín Satriano.
Absentees: Christantus Uche, Juanmi (both injured), Johan Mojica, Mario Martín (both suspended), Orel Mangala, Zaid Romero (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up Sevilla
Sevilla thrashed Hortaleza 3:0 in the Copa del Rey on 29 October. It was their second successive win without conceding: they beat Osasuna 2:0 on 26 October. Before that, on 18 October, Sevilla lost 1:4 away to Real Madrid.
- The two teams have registered more than 5.5 shots on target between them in 9 of Sevilla's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- The two teams have taken fewer than 10.5 corners between them in 8 of Sevilla's last 10 away matches in La Liga.
Probable Sevilla line-up (4-4-2):Odysseas Vlachodimos, Juan Iglesias, Kike Salas, Andrés Castrín, Gabriel Suazo, Chidera Ejuke, Youssouf Fofana, Lucien Agoumé, Félix Correia, Lucas Stassin, Isaac Romero.
Absentees:Marcão, Miguel Sierra Ortega (both injured), Lucas Stassin (doubtful).
Each team's chances
The margin-free estimate gives Sevilla a 38.3% chance of winning at fair odds of 2.61; a Getafe win is rated at 30.4% with fair odds of 3.29, and the draw at 31.4% and 3.19. Average odds are 3.15 for a Getafe win, 3.05 for the draw and 2.50 for a Sevilla win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe to win | 3.15 | 3.29 | 30.4% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.19 | 31.4% |
| Sevilla to win | 2.50 | 2.61 | 38.3% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals at 1.45 is considerably more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.65. At a line of 2 goals, the odds are closer: 1.77 for Under 2 and 1.97 for Over 2. At 3.5 goals, the market offers 1.11 for Under 3.5 and 5.10 for Over 3.5.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.45 | 2.65 |
| 2 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
| 3.5 | 1.11 | 5.10 |
Handicap prediction
Getafe (-1.5) are available at 6.50 and Sevilla (-1.5) at 5.10. Getafe (+1.5) are quoted at 1.12 and Sevilla (+1.5) at 1.07; at a handicap line of 1, the odds are 1.18 for Getafe (+1) and 1.10 for Sevilla (+1). With a handicap of 0, Sevilla (0) at 1.70 look the better option than Getafe (0) at 2.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.50 | -1.5 | 5.10 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.50 | -1 | 4.10 |
| 1.18 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.15 | 0 | 1.70 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No is available at 1.63 and looks more likely than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.20; this means at least one team is expected not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.20 |
| No | 1.63 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
53/100
|
9/25
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
9/25
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Getafe — 1 goal; Sevilla — 1 goal.
Getafe team goals
For Getafe, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 0.5. At a line of 1 goal, Under 1 has the shorter odds at 1.57, while Over 1 is available at 2.35. Under 1.5 is offered at 1.27 and Over 1.5 at 3.40.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.57 | 1 | 2.35 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 3.40 |
Sevilla team goals
For Sevilla, Over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably more likely than Under 0.5 at 2.65. At a line of 1 goal, the odds are close: Under 1 is 1.80 and Over 1 is 1.95. Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.35 and Over 1.5 at 2.90.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
