Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Andorra are narrow favourites to win at 2.45, while the draw is available at 2.90 and a Gibraltar win at around 3.40. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.40 is considered considerably more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.70. For the handicap (0) market, Andorra Draw No Bet at 1.65 is favoured over Gibraltar Draw No Bet at 2.25.
Why Andorra are favourites
Bookmakers give the visitors a modest edge: Andorra are offered at 2.45 to win, Gibraltar at 3.40 and the draw at 2.90.
- Gibraltar have failed to win 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Gibraltar's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches, reflecting the low scoring in their games.
Form and Line-up Gibraltar
In September 2026, Gibraltar drew 0:0 with São Tomé and Príncipe in a home friendly. The game took place during the first few months of Scott Wiseman's tenure as head coach, following his appointment in June.
Several regular squad members returned for the September camp, while Nicholas Pozo, James Scanlon, Tjay De Barr and Mauro received their first call-ups since changing clubs.
- Gibraltar's opponents received at least two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Gibraltar and their opponents managed no more than 9 shots on target between them in 8 of Gibraltar's last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Gibraltar committed no more than 12 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Gibraltar line-up: Bradley Banda, Patrick McClafferty, Bernardo Lopes, Ethan Jolley, Julian Valarino, James Scanlon, Nicholas Pozo, Hans Stevens, Jaiden Bartolo, Leon Mason, Jesse Gomez.
Form and Line-up Andorra
Andorra have struggled for goals, scoring no more than one in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- At least one goal was scored in 8 of Andorra's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Fewer than 4.5 goals were scored in each of Andorra's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Andorra line-up: A. Ruiz, B. Borrà, M. Llovera, I. Olivera, M. San Nicolás, A. Rodrigo, E. de las Heras Izquierdo, P. Babot, J. Cervós, G. López, A. Rosas Ubach.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Andorra a 39% chance of winning, with odds of 2.45 and fair odds of 2.57. The draw is rated at 32.9%, with odds of 2.90 against fair odds of 3.04. Gibraltar are given a 28.1% chance, with odds of 3.40 and fair odds of 3.56.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gibraltar to win | 3.40 | 3.56 | 28.1% |
| Draw | 2.90 | 3.04 | 32.9% |
| Andorra to win | 2.45 | 2.57 | 39.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.70. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.70 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.10, while at the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.12 is strongly favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 5.10.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
| 2 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 3.5 | 1.12 | 5.10 |
Handicap prediction
Gibraltar (-1.5) at 7.10 have longer odds than Andorra (-1.5) at 5.30. At +1.5, Gibraltar (+1.5) at 1.11 and Andorra (+1.5) at 1.05 are close; at +1, the odds are 1.17 for Gibraltar (+1) and 1.07 for Andorra (+1). For the handicap (0) market, Andorra Draw No Bet at 1.65 has shorter odds than Gibraltar Draw No Bet at 2.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.10 | -1.5 | 5.30 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 1.05 |
| 6.10 | -1 | 4.20 |
| 1.17 | 1 | 1.07 |
| 2.25 | 0 | 1.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No at 1.55 has considerably shorter odds than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.40, suggesting that at least one team is more likely to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.40 |
| No | 1.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
53/100
|
1/2
|
29/100
|
| William Hill |
53/100
|
11/25
|
29/100
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
11/25
|
29/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Gibraltar — 0.5 goals; Andorra — 1 goal.
Gibraltar team goals
For Gibraltar's team goals, Under 0.5 at 2.18 has longer odds than Over 0.5 at 1.65. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.50 is shorter than Over 1 at 2.55, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.25 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 3.65.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 2.55 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.65 |
Andorra team goals
For Andorra's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.45 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.65. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.78 and Over 1 at 1.98 are close, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.35 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.95.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.78 | 1 | 1.98 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Genc Nuza (Kosovo)
Matches — 9 (international fixtures, 2024/25–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.9;
Matches with a red card — 2 of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 2 of 9.
Bradley Banda
Bernardo Morgado Gaspar Lopes
Kian Joe Ronan
Daniel David Bent
Nicholas Pozo
Andre Tjay De Barr
Dylan Borge
Jesse Gomez
Carlos Richards
Han Stevens
Jaiden Bartolo
Iker Álvarez de Eulate Molné
Biel Borrà Font
Ian Bryan Olivera de Oliveira
Max Llovera
Moisés San Nicolás Schellens
Éric Izquierdo
Jordi Aláez Peña
Pau Babot
Arón Rodrigo Tapia
Gerard Solà García
Marc de Castro Prat
Alex Cornellà
Francisco Pomares
Joel Guillén
Ot Remolins Planes
Éric Vales Ramos
Albert Rosas Ubach
Ricard Fernández Betriu
