Odds overview
Ajax are clear favourites to win at 1.52, while the draw is available at 4.70 and a Hajduk win at 5.70. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. The visitors are also favoured in the Draw No Bet (0) market: Ajax are available at 1.20, compared with 4.20 for Hajduk.
Why Ajax are favourites
Bookmakers favour Ajax: their win is offered at 1.52 (approximately a 62.9% probability excluding the margin), while the draw is available at 4.70 and a Hajduk win at 5.70.
- Ajax's consistency in European competition: they have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Hajduk's away record: the Croatian club have failed to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Form and Line-up Hajduk
The Croatian club enter the European campaign after beating Dinamo Zagreb 2:1. Their earlier match against the Zagreb side was interrupted because the pitch was waterlogged, but Hajduk coped with the difficult conditions and showed resilience.
Hajduk defend tightly at home: in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League, their opponents have had fewer than 4.5 shots on target and fewer than 11.5 shots overall.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Hajduk's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Hajduk have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Hajduk's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Toni Silic, Fran Karačić, Dario Maresic, Ron Raci, Simun Hrgovic, Khalil Fayad, Adrion Pajaziti, Abdoulie Sanyang, Marin Soticek, Michele Sego, Dalisson de Almeida
Form and Line-up Ajax
Before travelling to Croatia, Ajax drew 1:1 with NEC Nijmegen in the league. Head coach Míchel stressed the team's intention to press and control the game, although dangerous situations regularly arise in defence around Maarten Paes's goal.
Ajax maintain a high attacking tempo in European competition: the two teams combined for more than 7.5 shots on target in 9 of the Dutch club's last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Over 3.5 goals has landed in 9 of Ajax's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- More than 3.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Ajax's last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Ajax's last 6 UEFA Conference League matches have produced Over 2.5 goals.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Maarten Paes, Lucas Rosa, Aaron Bouwman, Thilo Kehrer, Owen Wijndal, Jorthy Mokio, Davy Klaassen, Julian Brandt, Oscar Gloukh, Oliver Edvardsen, Tolu Arokodare
The teams' chances
A Hajduk win is offered at 5.70, with fair odds of 5.96 and a probability of 16.8%. The draw is available at 4.70, with fair odds of 4.92 and a probability of 20.3%. An Ajax win at 1.52 corresponds to fair odds of 1.59 and a probability of 62.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability excluding margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split to win | 5.70 | 5.96 | 16.8% |
| Draw | 4.70 | 4.92 | 20.3% |
| Ajax to win | 1.52 | 1.59 | 62.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At 3.5 goals, the relationship is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.60 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Ajax (-1.5) are offered at 2.30, while Hajduk (+1.5) are available at 1.60. At the 1-goal handicap line, Ajax (-1) are at 1.80 and Hajduk (+1) at 2.00. The zero handicap strongly favours the visitors: Ajax Draw No Bet (0) is available at 1.20, compared with 4.20 for Hajduk Draw No Bet (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.30 | |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.80 | |
| 2.00 | 1 | |
| 4.20 | 0 | 1.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.67 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.15; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.67 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/2
|
9/50
|
7/50
|
| William Hill |
3/2
|
1/5
|
7/50
|
| 888sport |
3/2
|
1/5
|
7/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goal totals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 1 goal for Hajduk Split and 2 goals for Ajax.
Hajduk Split team goal total
For Hajduk Split's team goal total, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.53, compared with 2.45 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is at 1.63 and Over 1 goal at 2.20; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is at 1.30 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.30.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 0.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.63 | 1 | 2.20 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.30 |
Ajax team goal total
For Ajax's team goal total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.04 is much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 7.60. Over 1.5 goals is available at 1.50, compared with 2.45 for Under 1.5 goals; at the 2-goal line, the odds are almost equal — Under 2 goals at 1.87 and Over 2 goals at 1.88. At 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals is at 1.50 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.50.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.60 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.45 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.87 | 2 | 1.88 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
