TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are no longer speeding through the league, but they are still far stronger than the modest Heidenheim.
Heidenheim
Heidenheim are far from an easy opponent, especially for sides like TSG 1899 Hoffenheim who are fighting for Champions League places. They approach such matches with special motivation. Borussia Dortmund had to come from behind in the second half; only a double within two minutes allowed them to finally subdue the visitors (3:2). Stuttgart were not as fortunate: they twice came from behind at the Voith-Arena, but left with only a draw (3:3). In the last round another relegation rival, Werder Bremen, finally defeated Frank Schmidt's side only in the 97th minute (2:0).
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
The effect of the heavy 1:5 defeat to Bayern München has clearly not disappeared. Their defence looked so disorganised against such an elite opponent that Christian Ilzer's side no longer have complete confidence in themselves, and other teams no longer fear them either. They not only failed to score, they even lost 0:1 at home to 16th-placed St. Pauli.
Their 2.80 xG and five big chances somehow vanished. Of course, a lot of credit must go to St. Pauli goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj, who was given a "1" rating by Bild.
Heidenheim remain third, but these dropped points have left their advantage at only a two-goal cushion in terms of goal difference.
Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction
Hoffenheim's setback against St. Pauli will affect the players' confidence. The hosts are ready to cling to any opponent as long as there is still a chance of survival. Over the last two seasons at home they have taken only one point out of six in this fixture, but they had to snatch their win in the closing minutes. For this reason we are taking the hosts on the handicap.