Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, KAA Gent look slight favourites: KAA Gent to win — 2.55, Hibernian to win — 2.70, draw — 3.30. On the 2.5 total, Under at 1.65 is notably preferred to Over at 2.18. On the main handicap 0 line, prices are also slightly with the visitors: KAA Gent (0) — 1.82 against Hibernian (0) at 1.92.
Why KAA Gent are favourites for the match
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.55 on a KAA Gent win, rate Hibernian's chances at 2.70, while the draw in regular time is available at 3.30.
- In the first meeting, KAA Gent drew 0:0, keeping the tie level before the away leg, while head coach Rik De Mil had already praised the Edinburgh side's physical and direct style before the game.
- The Belgian club's defence keeps opponents well contained: in 8 of KAA Gent's last 10 Conference League matches, their opponents scored no more than one goal.
Form and Line-up Hibernian
Hibernian shared a 0:0 draw with KAA Gent in the first game, missing the chance to go in front from a missed penalty, then beat Partick Thistle 1:0 at home.
Across their last ten matches in all competitions, the Scottish club have played pragmatic games: in 9 of 10 cases the team scored a maximum of two goals, and in the same number of games the overall total did not exceed three goals.
Key numbers:
- Hibernian and their opponents took a maximum of 10 corners in 8 of their last 10 Conference League matches
- In 8 of their 10 Conference League games, Hibernian committed no more than 13 fouls
- In 9 of their last 10 Conference League matches, Hibernian received at least 2 yellow cards
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Raphael Sallinger — Felix Passlack — Warren O'Hora — Jason Kerr — Adam Mayor — Josh Mulligan — Miguel Chaiwa — Jordan Obita — Owen Elding — Nathan Lowe — Josh Campbell
Absentees: Rocky Bushiri is a doubt for the game.
Form and Line-up KAA Gent
After a goalless draw with Hibernian, the Belgian club played an away match and won 2:1.
In away Conference League matches, KAA Gent build from defence: in 8 of their 10 away games there were no more than three goals, while opponents had a maximum of four shots on target.
Key numbers:
- In 8 of their last 10 Conference League matches, KAA Gent were caught offside a maximum of 2 times
- KAA Gent's opponents took a maximum of 5 corners in 8 of their 10 Conference League matches
- In 9 of their 10 Conference League games, KAA Gent earned a maximum of 2 yellow cards
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Davy Roef — Mouhamed Ngom — Christian Burgess — Siebe Van der Heyden — Tiago Araujo — Mathis Suray — Thibe De Vlieger — Mathias Delorge — Laszlo Benes — Momodou Sonko — Josue Vergara
Absentees: Matisse Samoise and Abdul Ayinde will miss the match through injury.
Team chances
The no-margin estimate gives KAA Gent a 36.8% chance of victory at average odds of 2.55 on KAA Gent to win and a fair price of 2.72. Hibernian are on 34.8%, with Hibernian to win at 2.70 and an estimate of 2.88; the draw is rated at 28.4%, with 3.30 and 3.52 respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian to win | 2.70 | 2.88 | 34.8% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.52 | 28.4% |
| KAA Gent to win | 2.55 | 2.72 | 36.8% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 is offered at 1.65 against 2.18 for Over 2.5. For the 2-goal line, Under is priced at 2.10, while Over is 1.65; on 3.5, Under is rated at 1.22 and Over at 3.85.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.18 |
| 2 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.22 | 3.85 |
Handicap prediction
Hibernian (-1.5) is offered at 5.50 and KAA Gent (-1.5) at 5.30; on the 1.5 line, the prices are almost level: Hibernian (+1.5) — 1.11 and KAA Gent (+1.5) — 1.10. Hibernian (-1) is 4.60 against 4.40 on KAA Gent (-1), while Hibernian (+1) is 1.16 against 1.14 on KAA Gent (+1). On the Draw No Bet line, KAA Gent (0) at 1.82 is slightly shorter than Hibernian (0) at 1.92.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | -1.5 | 5.30 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.60 | -1 | 4.40 |
| 1.16 | 1 | 1.14 |
| 1.92 | 0 | 1.82 |
Both teams to score prediction
The prices are close: Both teams to score — No is 1.85, Both teams to score — Yes is 1.90. There is a slight edge for the scenario in which at least one team fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance prediction
The lowest odds are on 12 at 1.30. The 1X and X2 options are priced close together: 1.48 and 1.45 respectively.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
12/25
|
3/10
|
9/20
|
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Hibernian — 1 goal, KAA Gent — 1 goal.
Hibernian team total
Hibernian: Under 0.5 is priced at 2.80 against 1.38 for Over 0.5; on the 1-goal line the prices are level — Under 1 at 1.85 and Over 1 at 1.85. For 1.5, Under is offered at 1.40 and Over at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| 1.85 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
KAA Gent team total
KAA Gent: Under 0.5 is rated at 2.90, Over 0.5 at 1.35. On the 1-goal line, Under is 1.95 against 1.75 for Over, while on 1.5 Under is 1.43 against 2.65 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.95 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.43 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Juan Martinez (Spain)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.2;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 9;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 9.
