Odds overview
Hoffenheim are moderate favourites: a home win is available at around 1.93, compared with 3.50 for an away win, while the draw is quoted at 4.10. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is favoured over Under 2.5 goals — 1.44 against 2.60. Hoffenheim on a handicap of 0 are available at 1.48, while Besiktas on a handicap of 0 are 2.49.
Why Hoffenheim are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Hoffenheim win is available at 1.93, compared with 3.50 for a Besiktas win and 4.10 for the draw.
Despite losing two of their three home matches, Hoffenheim came close to taking points, conceding the decisive goals only in the closing minutes.
The German Bundesliga ranks above the Turkish league, where Besiktas play.
The Turkish club have lost three of their last four away matches in all competitions.
Form and Line-up Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim lost 0:2 to OFI in the opening round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. That was followed by two consecutive Bundesliga defeats — to Paderborn (1:3) and Hamburg (2:3), with Hoffenheim playing with ten men from the 65th minute against Hamburg.
- There have been fewer than 4.5 goals in 8 of Hoffenheim's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- At least three goals have been scored in 9 of Hoffenheim's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Hoffenheim's opponents have committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Oliver Baumann, Vladimír Coufal, Ozan Kabak, Koki Machida, Mats Rots, Wouter Burger, Leon Avdullahu, Bambasé Conté, Nathan De Cat, Adam Hložek, Tim Lemperle.
Absentees: Luis Engelns, Patrick Wimmer (both injured); Hajdari (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Besiktas
Besiktas began the league phase with a 4:1 home win over Marseille, scoring three times in the second half. Then, in the Turkish league, the black-and-whites lost to Amed (2:3) despite dominating every metric (70% possession, 21 shots and 2.04 xG), before beating Kocaelispor (2:1).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Besiktas's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Besiktas have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Besiktas's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable line-up (4-1-4-1): Alexander Nubel, Amir Murillo, Emmanuel Agbadou, Emirhan Topçu, Kassoum Ouattara, Salih Özcan, İlhan Fakılı, Orkun Kökçü, Junior Olaitan, Leandro Trossard, Dušan Vlahović.
Absentees: Milot Rashica, Václav Černý (both injured).
The teams' chances
A Hoffenheim win is offered at 1.93, with fair odds of 2.02 and a 49.5% probability. The draw is 4.10, with fair odds of 4.30 and a 23.3% probability; a Besiktas win is 3.50, 3.67 and 27.3%, respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim win | 1.93 | 2.02 | 49.5% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.30 | 23.3% |
| Besiktas win | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.3% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.60 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.44, making the higher-scoring option the favourite. At the 2-goal line, Under is 4.25 against 1.17 for Over. At 3.5 goals, Under is 1.69 and Over is 2.08.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.60 | 1.44 |
| 2 | 4.25 | 1.17 |
| 3.5 | 1.69 | 2.08 |
Handicap prediction
Hoffenheim on a handicap of 0 at 1.48 are clear favourites over Besiktas on a handicap of 0 at 2.49.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | 0 | 2.49 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes has shorter odds at 1.45 than No at 2.65, so the market considers both teams scoring more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.45 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
29/100
|
1/4
|
91/100
|
| William Hill |
1/4
|
1/4
|
17/20
|
| 888sport |
1/4
|
1/4
|
17/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Hoffenheim — 2 goals; Besiktas — 1.5 goals.
Hoffenheim team goals
Hoffenheim team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.11 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 5.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Over is 1.62 against 2.19 for Under; at 2 goals, Under is 1.68 and Over is 2.10; at 2.5 goals, Under is 1.37 against 2.85 for Over.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 2.19 | 1.5 | 1.62 |
| 1.68 | 2 | 2.10 |
| 1.37 | 2.5 | 2.85 |
Besiktas team goals
Besiktas team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.24 is favoured over Under 0.5 at 3.60. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.63 against 2.17 for Over; at 2 goals, Under is 1.25 and Over is 3.65.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | 0.5 | 1.24 |
| 1.63 | 1.5 | 2.17 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Lawrence Visser (Belgium)
Matches — 7 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 29;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 6.7;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 7;
Matches with a penalty — 2 of 7.
