Odds overview
Hungary are favourites: a home win is available at around 2.05, while the draw is 3.45 and a Georgia win is 3.80. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is shorter at 1.75 than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For the handicap (0) market, Hungary at 1.48 are clearly favoured over Georgia at 2.65.
Why Hungary are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Hungary to win is available at 2.05, the draw at 3.45 and Georgia to win at 3.80.
- Hungary have lost only once in their last five home matches.
- Like Georgia, Hungary have failed to score in their two UEFA Nations League matches, but have created more chances over that period (3.17 xG against 2.71 xG).
- Georgia's key player, Khvicha Kvarackhelija, is not yet at his best (just 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 10 matches), while Dominik Szoboszlai has become a key player at Liverpool and has already scored three goals since the start of the season.
Form and Line-up Hungary
Hungary began the UEFA Nations League with a narrow defeat to Ukraine (0:1), but looked much better — 2.07 xG, 57% possession and 17 shots (4 on target). In their second match, Hungary played out a goalless draw with Northern Ireland (0:0) and again performed well (64% possession and 1.14 xG), but their finishing let them down (just one shot on target).
- Nine of Hungary's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League have finished with Under 2.5 goals.
- Hungary have scored Under 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
- Hungary's opponents have scored Under 1.5 goals in 8 of Hungary's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Balázs Tóth, Attila Osváth, Willi Orban, Márk Csinger, Milos Kerkez, András Schäfer, Áron Csongvai, Gábor Jurek, Tamás Szűcs, Dominik Szoboszlai, Dániel Lukács.
Absentees: Barnabás Varga, Roland Sallai, Bendegúz Bolla, Damir Redzic (all injured).
Form and Line-up Georgia
Georgia started much like Hungary: a defeat to Northern Ireland (0:1), conceding in the 90+9th minute, and a goalless draw with Ukraine (0:0). Against Ukraine, Georgia were much better — 0.96 xG and 14 shots (4 on target). Even so, Kvarackhelija and his team-mates could not score.
- Eight of Georgia's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches have finished with Under 3.5 goals.
- Four of Georgia's last 5 matches have featured Over 4.5 yellow cards.
- Four of their previous 5 matches have featured Under 10.5 corners.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Giorgi Mamardashvili, Otar Kakabadze, Lasha Dvali, Saba Goglichidze, Luka Lochoshvili, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Otar Kiteishvili, Heorhiy Tsitaishvili, Georges Mikautadze, Khvicha Kvarackhelija.
The teams' chances
Hungary to win has a margin-free probability of 46.9%, with odds of 2.05 and fair odds of 2.13. The draw accounts for 27.8%: 3.45 against fair odds of 3.59. Georgia to win has a margin-free probability of 25.3% — odds of 3.80 against fair odds of 3.96.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary to win | 2.05 | 2.13 | 46.9% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.59 | 27.8% |
| Georgia to win | 3.80 | 3.96 | 25.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. At 2 goals, Over 2 goals is shorter at 1.52 than Under 2 goals at 2.45, while at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals at 1.28 is clearly favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 3.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.28 | 3.35 |
Handicap prediction
In the handicap market, Hungary (-1.5) at 3.75 are shorter than Georgia (-1.5) at 7.30. Hungary (+1.5) and Georgia (+1.5) are available at 1.05 and 1.23; Hungary (-1) and Georgia (-1) at 2.95 and 6.40; and Hungary (+1) and Georgia (+1) at 1.07 and 1.35. At handicap (0), Hungary at 1.48 are favoured over Georgia at 2.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | -1.5 | 7.30 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.95 | -1 | 6.40 |
| 1.07 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.48 | 0 | 2.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is offered at 1.85, slightly shorter than Both teams to score – No at 1.90. The No option means that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
29/100
|
33/100
|
73/100
|
| 888sport |
3/10
|
33/100
|
7/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Hungary — 1.5 goals; Georgia — 1 goal.
Hungary team goals
For Hungary's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.10. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.40 against 2.75 for Under 1 goal; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.65 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.18. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is available at 1.25 and Over 2 goals at 3.50.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.75 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.18 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.50 |
Georgia team goals
For Georgia's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.50 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.50. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.73 is favoured over Over 1 goal at 2.05, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.32 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 at 3.10.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.73 | 1 | 2.05 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Srđan Jovanović (Serbia)
Matches – 7 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4;
Matches with a red card – 2 of 7;
Matches with a penalty – 2 of 7.
