Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Hungary are the favourites: a home win is available at around 2.25, while the draw and an away win are at 3.30 and 3.25 respectively. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.05. In the main handicap market, Hungary Draw No Bet at 1.63 is rated more highly than Ukraine Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Why Hungary are favourites for the match
Bookmakers give the hosts a slight advantage: Hungary to win is available at 2.25, Ukraine to win at 3.25, and the draw at 3.30.
- Hungary are playing at home, and home advantage often becomes a decisive factor in Nations League matches.
- Ukraine will be without Dovbyk — the team's main striker. Without him, the visitors' attack becomes less dangerous, reducing their chances of a positive result in Budapest.
- Hungary have lost only once in their last eight matches.
Form and Line-up Hungary
Hungary did not qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, finishing third in qualifying with eight points. In the Nations League, the Magyars were relegated from League A after losing to Turkey in the play-offs — 1:3 and 0:3.
However, Hungary have been confident in their recent matches — victories over Kazakhstan (3:1), Finland (2:1) and Slovenia (1:0), as well as a draw with Greece (0:0).
- At least 8 corners were recorded in 8 of Hungary's last 10 matches in all competitions
- Referees showed at least 3 yellow cards in 8 of Hungary's last 10 home matches
- Hungary's opponents were caught offside at least twice in 8 of their last 10 home matches
Probable Hungary line-up (4-3-2-1): Balázs Tóth, Bendeguz Bolla, Willi Orban, Márk Csinger, Milos Kerkez, Milán Vitális, Andras Schafer, Roland Sallai, Alex László Tóth, Dominik Szoboszlai, Zsombor Gruber.
Absentees: Barnabás Varga (injury).
Form and Line-up Ukraine
In their previous official match in March 2026, Ukraine lost 1:3 to Sweden in the World Cup qualifying play-offs. In April, Sergiy Rebrov left his post as head coach, and Andrea Maldera is preparing the team for the current start of the Nations League.
After that, Ukraine played three friendlies, beating Albania (1:0) and Poland (2:0), while their match against Denmark (1:2) was abandoned after Christian Eriksen lost consciousness.
- Ukraine have not lost the fouls count in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
- Ukraine have not received more yellow cards than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches
- No more than 22 fouls were recorded in 8 of Ukraine's last 10 matches in all competitions
Probable Ukraine line-up (4-1-4-1): Anatoliy Trubin, Bogdan Mihaylichenko, Ilya Zabarnyi, Mykola Matvienko, Vitaliy Mikolenko, Volodymyr Brazhko, Viktor Tsyhankov, Yegor Nazaryna, Georgiy Sudakov, Alexandr Zubkov, Matviy Ponomarenko.
Absentees: Artem Dovbyk, Oleksandr Andriyevskyi, Ruslan Malinovskyi (all injured).
Team chances
A Hungary win is available at 2.25; the fair probability is 42.1% and the fair odds are 2.37. The draw is at 3.30, with a fair probability of 28.7% and fair odds of 3.48, while a Ukraine win is at 3.25, with 29.2% and 3.43 respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary win | 2.25 | 2.37 | 42.1% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.48 | 28.7% |
| Ukraine win | 3.25 | 3.43 | 29.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under is available at 1.77 and Over at 2.05. At the 3.5 mark, Under is considerably more likely at 1.30, while Over is offered at 3.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.77 | 2.05 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap prediction
Hungary (-1.5) at 4.20 is less likely than Ukraine (-1.5) at 6.50. At the 1.5 line, Hungary (+1.5) is available at 1.07 and Ukraine (+1.5) at 1.20; at the -1 line, the odds are 3.30 versus 5.60. For the 1 handicap, the odds are 1.09 for Hungary (+1) and 1.28 for Ukraine (+1), while for the zero handicap, they are 1.63 for Hungary Draw No Bet versus 2.30 for Ukraine Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | -1.5 | 6.50 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.30 | -1 | 5.60 |
| 1.09 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 1.63 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.80 and looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 1.97, under which at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.97 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
33/100
|
57/100
|
| William Hill |
33/100
|
7/20
|
31/50
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
33/100
|
61/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Hungary — 1.5 goals, Ukraine — 1 goal.
Hungary team total
Hungary team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.70 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.23; at the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.55 and 1.48. At the 1.5-goal mark, the odds are 1.60 for Under and 2.25 for Over; at 2 goals, they are 1.23 and 3.75 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | 0.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.55 | 1 | 1.48 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
Ukraine team total
Ukraine team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.75 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: 1.90 for Under and 1.85 for Over; at the 1.5-goal mark, Under is available at 1.35 and Over at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Matches — 7 (international matches, 2023–2026);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 6;
Matches with red cards — 0 out of 7;
Matches with penalties — 4 out of 7.
