Hungary vs Ukraine: prediction & betting odds 25 September 2026

Odds overview

In the 1X2 market, Hungary are the favourites: a home win is available at around 2.25, while the draw and an away win are at 3.30 and 3.25 respectively. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.05. In the main handicap market, Hungary Draw No Bet at 1.63 is rated more highly than Ukraine Draw No Bet at 2.30.

Why Hungary are favourites for the match

Bookmakers give the hosts a slight advantage: Hungary to win is available at 2.25, Ukraine to win at 3.25, and the draw at 3.30.

• Hungary are playing at home, and home advantage often becomes a decisive factor in Nations League matches.
• Ukraine will be without Dovbyk — the team's main striker. Without him, the visitors' attack becomes less dangerous, reducing their chances of a positive result in Budapest.
• Hungary have lost only once in their last eight matches.

Form and Line-up Hungary

Hungary did not qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, finishing third in qualifying with eight points. In the Nations League, the Magyars were relegated from League A after losing to Turkey in the play-offs — 1:3 and 0:3.

However, Hungary have been confident in their recent matches — victories over Kazakhstan (3:1), Finland (2:1) and Slovenia (1:0), as well as a draw with Greece (0:0).

• At least 8 corners were recorded in 8 of Hungary's last 10 matches in all competitions
• Referees showed at least 3 yellow cards in 8 of Hungary's last 10 home matches
• Hungary's opponents were caught offside at least twice in 8 of their last 10 home matches

Probable Hungary line-up (4-3-2-1): Balázs Tóth, Bendeguz Bolla, Willi Orban, Márk Csinger, Milos Kerkez, Milán Vitális, Andras Schafer, Roland Sallai, Alex László Tóth, Dominik Szoboszlai, Zsombor Gruber.

Absentees: Barnabás Varga (injury).

Form and Line-up Ukraine

In their previous official match in March 2026, Ukraine lost 1:3 to Sweden in the World Cup qualifying play-offs. In April, Sergiy Rebrov left his post as head coach, and Andrea Maldera is preparing the team for the current start of the Nations League.

After that, Ukraine played three friendlies, beating Albania (1:0) and Poland (2:0), while their match against Denmark (1:2) was abandoned after Christian Eriksen lost consciousness.

• Ukraine have not lost the fouls count in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions
• Ukraine have not received more yellow cards than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 matches
• No more than 22 fouls were recorded in 8 of Ukraine's last 10 matches in all competitions

Probable Ukraine line-up (4-1-4-1): Anatoliy Trubin, Bogdan Mihaylichenko, Ilya Zabarnyi, Mykola Matvienko, Vitaliy Mikolenko, Volodymyr Brazhko, Viktor Tsyhankov, Yegor Nazaryna, Georgiy Sudakov, Alexandr Zubkov, Matviy Ponomarenko.

Absentees: Artem Dovbyk, Oleksandr Andriyevskyi, Ruslan Malinovskyi (all injured).

Team chances

A Hungary win is available at 2.25; the fair probability is 42.1% and the fair odds are 2.37. The draw is at 3.30, with a fair probability of 28.7% and fair odds of 3.48, while a Ukraine win is at 3.25, with 29.2% and 3.43 respectively.

Total goals prediction

At the 2.5 line, Under is available at 1.77 and Over at 2.05. At the 3.5 mark, Under is considerably more likely at 1.30, while Over is offered at 3.25.

Handicap prediction

Hungary (-1.5) at 4.20 is less likely than Ukraine (-1.5) at 6.50. At the 1.5 line, Hungary (+1.5) is available at 1.07 and Ukraine (+1.5) at 1.20; at the -1 line, the odds are 3.30 versus 5.60. For the 1 handicap, the odds are 1.09 for Hungary (+1) and 1.28 for Ukraine (+1), while for the zero handicap, they are 1.63 for Hungary Draw No Bet versus 2.30 for Ukraine Draw No Bet.

Both teams to score prediction

Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.80 and looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 1.97, under which at least one team will not score.

Double chance forecast

Bookmaker	1X	12	X2
Bet365	9/25	9/25	1/2
William Hill	33/100	7/20	31/50
888sport	2/5	9/25	11/25

Odds are current as of the material publication date

Team totals prediction

For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Hungary — 1.5 goals, Ukraine — 1 goal.

Hungary team total

Hungary team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.70 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.23; at the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.55 and 1.48. At the 1.5-goal mark, the odds are 1.60 for Under and 2.25 for Over; at 2 goals, they are 1.23 and 3.75 respectively.

Ukraine team total

Ukraine team total: Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.75 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: 1.90 for Under and 1.85 for Over; at the 1.5-goal mark, Under is available at 1.35 and Over at 2.90.